Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BEL-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BEL-3   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/7/4)-(8/3/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/3)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BEL-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BEL-5   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BEL-6   WIN (8/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/1)-(8/7/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/1)-(8/7/1/10)-(8/7/1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BEL-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-8   WIN (4/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/9)-(4/7/6/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/9)-(4/7/6/9/3)-(4/7/6/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/6/9)-(9/8/10/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-9   WIN (9/8/10/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/10/5/2)-(9/8/10/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/10/5/2)-(9/8/10/5/2)-(9/8/10/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPERATION TORCH Apr08 Mar03       (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Nov18 Oct16 Jul30     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
3  SCRAMBLE Mar03 Jan21 Nov06 Oct16 Sep03 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  THUNDERIAN Apr27 Apr15 Mar25 Mar19 Dec02 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
5  LIFE AND LIGHT Apr15 Mar25 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
SCR  KING'S FORTUNE Apr01 Feb04       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
7  KALIK Mar17 Oct23 Sep16     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
8  CLASSIC CREATION Apr15 Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 Sep03 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  WARRIOR RICHARD Apr23 Mar31 Mar12 Feb09 Jan13 (falcone n)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  PAROS Apr27 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
 
BEL-2   05/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXXTOP Apr15 Mar30 Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
1A  R BOY CHEEKUM Apr28 Apr01 Mar19 Dec01 Nov20 (thompson)DAVIS A 124 15.00    
2  BINGO JOHN Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
3  SALUTE TO AMERICA Apr13 Mar05 Feb19 Jan27 Dec16 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 126 4.00    
4  ONE MORE SCORE Apr15 Mar27 Feb18 Jan12 Apr08 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 15.00 ★    
5  HIGHER QUALITY Apr13 Jan28 Aug28 Jul16 Jun11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 ★    
6  MAJOR SPIN Apr14 Mar03 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 58% 0.70    
 
BEL-3   05/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Beaugay Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVVIE JETS Apr16 Nov20 Oct22 Sep24 Jul27 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  CONSUMER SPENDING Aug20 Jul09 Jun09 Apr24   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
3  MARKETSEGMENTATION Apr01 Feb04 Dec31 Sep30   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  CONTEMPORARY ART Mar26 Aug07 Jun17 May01   (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 ★    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of COVER SONG by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) Mar11 Nov25 Sep24     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of KALDERA by SINNDAR (IRE))
6  VERONICA GREENE Apr08 Nov13 Sep18 Jul23 Jun09 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  FINEST WORK Nov20 Oct30 Sep30 Sep10 Jul30 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 ★    
  (by OUTWORK out of NERO'S PLEASURE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
8  SURPRISINGLY Mar11 Feb04 Dec26 Sep06 Jul23 (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by MASTERY out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
 
BEL-4   05/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL AMI Mar25 Feb18 Jan07     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALMINA by MACHO UNO)
SCR  RIDE UP Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  MONDEGO (GB) Apr08 Feb18       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
4  FERAL'S JOY Apr15 Jul31       (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 13% 6.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HUNGRY ISLAND by MORE THAN READY)
5  SGT. PEPPER Mar31 Feb26 Jan14     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAME DOROTHY by BERNARDINI)
6  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Oct02 Aug07 Jul03     (handal ra)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TASHA'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  SPINZAR Mar18 Dec24 Oct28     (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of FLEET OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) Mar12         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of ENJOYABLE by HOLY BULL)
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA Apr29 Apr21 Mar11 Feb24 Jan20 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 50.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ALONG CAME POLLY by JUDPOT)
10  ROCKSTAR RED Mar18 Jan21       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DARING DUCHESS by ARCH)
SCR  SHERIFF RONNIE Apr06 Mar19 Mar04 Feb10 Jan27 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  CORTON CHARLEMAGNE Mar10 Feb02 Apr09     (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 125 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
BEL-5   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY'S PRIDE Mar25 Mar03 Feb09 Jan21 Jan12 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50    
SCR  OPTIC WAY Mar25 Mar10 Mar04 Jan21 Nov17 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 2.50    
2  ZERTZ Apr15 Mar25 Mar03 Feb09 Jan22 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 15% 5.70    
3  PRINTRACK Mar25 Feb12 Dec16 Oct25 Sep24 (dipr)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  GANDY DANCING Apr01 Mar11 Mar03 Feb11 Jan05 (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
5  MOTION TO STRIKE Apr15 Mar04 Jan05 Dec10 Nov20 (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  THE SICARII Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Dec31 Dec17 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
 
BEL-6   05/07/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGS LIKE EAGLES Apr16 Feb24 Jan15 Dec18 Nov17 (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 23% 3.40    
2  OUT OF SIGHT Oct30 Sep30 Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 (donk davi)VARGAS A 125 12.00    
3  FORTINENO (IRE)         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
SCR  CANDLE Apr08 Feb12 Nov04 Aug28 Jul31 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 ★    
5  SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) Apr16         (johnson clev)SAMUEL L 125 30.00    
6  PARTY ON GIRL (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
7  EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) Apr08 Jan14 Nov20 Sep16 Apr15 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  FROSTED OATS Mar26 Feb08 Jan06 Jun24 May27 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 4.00 29% 2.40    
9  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Apr16 Dec09 Nov17 Oct15 Sep15 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 125 20.00    
10  FONTANAFREDDA Apr16 Nov17 Oct15 Sep16 Aug18 (bond j)VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00 ★    
11  BROADWAY FORCE Apr06 Feb26 Jan21     (jerkens a)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00    
SCR  AWILLAWAY Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Jun10 May07 (friedman)DAVIS A 125 50.00    
13  CLITHEROE (GB)         (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 125 10.00    
SCR  RUN DEVIL Mar26 Mar18 Feb19 Jan13 Dec18 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
SCR  CHASING CARA Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Dec09 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 125 5.00    
SCR  CUPIDS GIRL Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 Feb09 Jan28 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
 
BEL-7   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE P Apr13 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Feb10 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 ★    
1A  GAME THEORY Apr28 Apr21 Mar31 Mar18 Mar11 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
2  DIVA BANKER Apr13 Mar19 Mar03 Jan27 Jan08 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  ICY STARE DOWN May04 Mar12 Feb20 Jan01 Dec09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50    
4  ALPINE QUEEN Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 Jan13 Dec17 (tosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 5.00 15% 5.80    
5  I'M BUZZY Apr16 Mar11 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50    
6  ROYAL MEGHAN Mar10 Jan27 Dec31 Oct28 May27 (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
7  MON PETIT CHOU Apr06 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
 
BEL-8   05/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBRETTO (IRE) Mar04 Nov20 Sep18 Aug14 Jul20 (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 125 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOPERA by MONSUN (GER))
2  LA MAZEL Mar26 Feb16 Sep04 Aug07   (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of STARSTRUCK (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
3  TREASURED GEM Mar26 Oct22 Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MEI LING by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) Feb11         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MARACENA by MARJU (IRE))
5  WAY TOO EARLY Mar23 Feb19 Jan08 Nov20   (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
6  PREREQUISITE Apr01         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 5% 17.60    
  (by UPSTART out of ETSU by SMART STRIKE)
7  HIGHLAND GRACE Mar05 Jan22 Nov05     (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CAROLINE THOMAS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  MEOW MEOW HISS Apr01         (jerkens a)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of DEANAALLEN'SKITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  VOLATILITY Mar11 Feb04 Jan04 Nov19   (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of TAPITAL GAINS by TAPIT)
10  RIVER OAKS Feb05 Oct01       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BOUNTY KILLAH Mar19 Mar03 Feb24 Jan13 Jan07 (richards m)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SISTER FRIEND by MINESHAFT)
 
BEL-9   05/07/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM License Fee Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPUN GLASS Apr14 Feb18 Dec24 Oct23 Oct16 (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ALLWEWANTFORXMAS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  POPPY FLOWER Apr14 Sep13 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 8% 11.50    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MESSIDOR (IRE) Nov20 Oct22 Jul27 Jul03 Jun10 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
  (by VADAMOS out of PYRENEAN QUEEN by ZOFFANY (IRE))
4  MINAUN (IRE) Apr15 Mar02 Jul18 May13 Apr16 (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by ZOFFANY (IRE) out of BEE EATER by GREEN DESERT)
5  GOIN' GOOD Apr14 Feb21 Jan28 Jul18 May05 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by CONGRATS out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
6  IMAGERY Mar11 Feb11 Dec24 Nov19 Oct29 (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of BERTIE'S IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
7  HOT FUDGE Apr16 Mar18 Jan29     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  BUBBLE ROCK Apr16 Nov25 Oct28 Sep13 Apr02 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
9  YUUGIRI Apr08 Feb25 Dec30 May06 Apr02 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of YUZURU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  STAR DEVINE (IRE) Apr15 Nov27 Oct16 Sep10 Jul23 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by FASTNET ROCK (AUS) out of STARS AT NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.