Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (4/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (8/2/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (7/5/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (1/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (5/9/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (10/4/11/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (9/1/7/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (8/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-12   Win (4/6/9/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA FANTASTICA Oct20 Sep07 Aug10 May02   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 15.00    
CHASTEN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 26% 2.80    
PRINCESS EM TOO Sep29         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
STAY CLASSY Nov15         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
BANKING SILVER Oct27 Sep29       (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 11% 7.80    
OUR SHENANIGAN Oct25 Sep06 Aug11     (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
SCR  GOING STEADY Oct27 Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
DELICIOUS DIVA         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SYCAMORE SHOALS Oct24         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
CD-2   11/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIGER DIVISION Nov02 Oct10 Sep01 Aug12   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SMOKIN HOT WIFE Oct24         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
RUNNING AWAY Oct19 Jul21       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
NO OTHER LIKE YOU Nov02         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 10% 9.40    
QUEEN JUBILEE Oct27 Sep22       (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 24% 3.10    
POPPYLAND Oct10         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 8% 12.10    
HALFIN Nov13         (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00    
DAWN AFTER DAWN Oct10 Sep15 Aug11 Jul04   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
ANNA'S PROMISE Nov13 Sep28 Sep11 Aug25   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
10  DERRY GIRL Oct26 Sep05 Jul06 Jun14   (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
11  PRETTY TAPIT Oct10         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
 
CD-3   11/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINN'S PROMISE Nov15 Oct18 Sep14 Jul29 Jul04 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
SCR  MIZMALICE Nov15 Oct18 Sep25 Aug17   (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
RUNNIN N GUNNIN Oct29 Sep15 Jul29     (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 15.00    
BOOK'EM Oct27 Sep26 Jun16     (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
JUST RUTHLESS Nov10 Oct13       (heath g)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
QUANTUM BURST Nov02 Oct05       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
SWEET NOTE Oct27         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 8% 12.00    
RANDO Nov06 Sep15 Aug03     (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
LADY ORIENT Nov01 Aug28 Jul13     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-4   11/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED KISSES Nov10         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
TAKE NOTE OF THIS Oct19 Sep08 Aug04 Jul06   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 2.50 21% 3.80    
EXCLUSIVE STAR Oct24         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SUPER MAXIMA Nov13 Jul21 Jun21 May31 May14 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00    
CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS Sep15 Aug11       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00    
ARE YOU A SPY Nov10 Oct13 Sep08 Aug25   (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 30.00    
BIRKIN GIRL Oct19 Aug29 Aug12     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 11% 7.90    
GOOD CONDUCT Oct06 Aug23 Jul18     (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
VICE         (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  VINO EXPRESS         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  FAITH Oct27 Sep15       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
12  CHERE AMIA Oct26         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  TIZNTSHELOVELY Oct26 Sep11 Aug17 Jul16 Jun28 (stewart dal)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 10.00    
SCR  PEDIATRIC PRINCESS Oct10 Sep15 Aug04     (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  EVELYN LOUISE Oct19 Sep11 Aug12     (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MISS PHARAOH Oct12         (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
CD-5   11/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAUST Nov01         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
NATIVE RUNNER Oct25         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
MOGORDY Oct27 Oct02       (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
MASTER MULE Oct31         (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 18.20    
ZAT'S THE ONE Oct27 Sep26       (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
ANEW         (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 10.00    
PATCH ADAMS Oct11         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 33% 2.00    
TRAITOUR         (hancock b)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
DIXIE DEVIL Aug05         (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  CANT STOP MUNNINGS Nov01 Oct06       (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
11  SHOGUN (IRE) Oct27 Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul05 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
12  MISSED THE TURN Oct11 Jul25 Jun22 May26   (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
13  RIPPED Nov01 Sep14 Aug03     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  MASHBURN         (miller darrin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  THE WARDEN Oct12 Sep15       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  READY TO SEIZE Nov11         (lauer michael)ROMAN A 119 15.00    
 
CD-6   11/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ed Brown Purse ($225K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH CATCH Oct26 Sep02 Jul13     (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
GLEAN Oct20 Sep07       (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
EL DANDI Nov07 Oct20 Sep18 Sep06 Jul17 (acevedo is)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00    
WISCONSIN GAL Nov02 Oct19 Sep26 Sep15 Sep04 (mcentee paul)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 5.00    
THRILLA Oct19 Sep07 Aug16 Jul18   (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
COMING IN HOT Oct30 Oct18 Jun22 May26   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
KEEP IT EASY Aug10 Jun27 Jun06     (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
VEHEMENTLY Oct31 Aug01 Jun04     (elliott michel)CALLEJA ANDRES 122 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEDGE Nov01 Oct05 Aug05 Jun13   (colebrook be)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GIFT CERTIFICATE Nov13 Oct23 Sep18 Jul17   (garcia gena)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
TREW VIOLENCE Oct03 Sep04 Jul29 Jul05   (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
LUCKY MISCHIEF Nov08 Oct12 Sep11 Aug18 Jul29 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
DISCO TIME Nov01         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
C K WONDER Nov02 Oct06 Aug24 Aug03   (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MCKELLEN Oct19         (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 8% 11.10    
HEAVENVILLE Nov02 Sep21 Aug26 Jul27   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00    
LIL MUGGS Oct27 Sep28       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
CD-8   11/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK DANGER Oct25         (miller darrin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
HALTER BOY Oct26         (butcher james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
HARD AS LIFE Oct25 Aug29 Jul22     (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50    
ORNATO Oct19 Jun05       (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  BOURBONATOR Oct27 Sep27 Aug05     (desormeaux keit)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
POWER OF WILL Sep11         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
CULTURE WAR Nov03 Oct05 Sep01     (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
FLEXIBLE TERMS         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
PREDECESSOR May30 May01       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
10  ANEGADA Oct05 Sep05 Aug10     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
11  TO MONARCH Nov01 Oct06       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00 18% 4.60    
12  BAKER HAYFIELD Nov01         (heath desti)TORRES A 119 8.00    
13  IMPERIAL RULER         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  VIKING SUN Oct05         (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
SCR  MY FATHER'S PLACE Oct12         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  WAR AND MAJESTY Oct04 Sep07 Aug24     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50    
 
CD-9   11/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC13 FAST Golden Rod Purse ($400K) 2 F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLATANT Oct04 Jun21       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
FIXIN TO BEE Oct19 Sep11 Jul13     (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD CHEER Oct27 Sep28 Aug05     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 0.80 31% 2.20    
QUIETSIDE Oct04 Aug31 Aug04     (ortiz a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
STURGEON MOON Oct18 Aug26 Jun04     (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 20.00    
MY LIL PUNKY Oct12 Sep20 Aug25     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
FLASH WEAR Oct27 Sep26 Jun22     (vance thoma)TORRES A 122 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fern Creek Purse ($225K) 2 F PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO SOUND Oct25 Sep12 Aug03     (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
ATOMIC CITY Oct25 Sep14 Aug04 Jun28   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00    
SCR  HOLLYGROVE Nov01 May24       (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 122 30.00    
SHISOSPICY Oct18         (d'angelo jose )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50    
PRAYING Oct25 Sep04 Jul06 Jun14   (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
COTILLARD Nov07 Oct11 Sep08 May22 Apr26 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 122 30.00    
SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER Oct04 Sep08 Jul05 Jun02   (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 24% 3.20    
ROSATO Nov06 Oct27 Sep13 Jun16   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
IMPULSE BUY Nov02 Oct05 Aug11     (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
10  ME GOVERNOR Nov02 Sep29 Aug18 Jul28 Jul04 (david a)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
11  VIRAL PLANE LADY Oct23 Oct07 Sep04 Aug10   (labra rogelio)FELIX E 122 30.00    
 
CD-11   11/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC13 FAST Kentucky Jockey Club Purse ($400K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S NOT JOKING Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug04   (carroll josie)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
JONATHAN'S WAY Nov01 Sep14 Aug17     (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
TIZTASTIC Oct27 Sep08 Aug29 Jul27   (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
DAPPER MOON Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 Jul20   (stewart da)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
FILOSO Oct05 Aug29 Jul20     (summers chad)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  CLOCK TOWER Oct06 Aug29 Aug10 May24   (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SONIC SKIDADDLE Nov01 Sep19       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
FIRST RESORT Sep14 Aug10 Jul05     (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
RENDER JUDGMENT Oct27 Oct06       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  REDACTED Nov14         (stewart dallas)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
 
CD-12   11/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUZZ ROCKET Oct27 Sep27       (mott willia)TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  GAME DAY Nov01         (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  LIMITED EDITION Oct27 Sep21       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
KALAHARI DREAMS Nov01 Sep12       (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
MULTIVERSE Nov01         (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
AMERICAN PROMISE Oct27 Sep27 Aug29 Jul27   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
MAGNUM FORCE (IRE) Nov01         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
COPP Oct17 Sep12       (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BURNHAM SQUARE Oct26         (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 8% 11.40    
10  GENERATIVE Oct25 Sep28       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
11  SOUND CAUSE Oct25 Aug29 Jul18 Jun21   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  STORMIN THE BEACH         (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00    
SCR  WHITE WHALE Nov01 Oct11       (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 8.00    
SCR  MASTER CONTROLLER Nov03 Oct17 Sep01     (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 15.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC GALLOP Nov03 Oct05 Aug31 Jul20   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
16  MONET'S MAGIC Nov07 Oct09 Sep14 Aug12   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.