Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - April 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/5)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/2/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/7/6)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/6)-(5/3/6)-(2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/4/1)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(1/8/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POT COMMITTED Feb01 Nov27 Oct30 Oct06 Sep06 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00 19% 4.20    
2  NAPA DUDE Apr09 Feb05 Jan15 Dec12 Nov30 (casalinova )PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
3  STEP AHEAD Mar26 Mar12 Feb22 Feb12 Jan02 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 4.00 7% 14.00    
4  HOUSED Feb19 Dec27 Dec12 Nov27 Sep28 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  HAD RIGHT Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONSTER HUNTER Apr02 Mar14 Feb27 Feb14 Jan22 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.00    
SCR  TIDE RISING Mar17 Feb05 Jan18 Jan02 Dec19 (mahan josep)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00    
3  NAMBITI Apr08 Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 Dec12 (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
4  ROYAL'D Sep11 Aug09 Jul18 Jun15 May24 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.20 73% 0.40    
5  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 (shanyfelt valeri)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINDNESS IS FREE Feb21 Jan10 Dec28 Nov25 Nov03 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
2  BULLS N BERRY Mar19 Mar05 Apr13     (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
3  LUNA PRIMAVERA Apr10 Jan24 Jan04 Dec11 Nov27 (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00    
4  QADIRA Apr04 Mar20 Sep05     (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
5  NO VIOLENCE Mar27 Mar01 Dec16 Sep21   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
6  SISTER CODE Apr10 Apr02 Jan24 Jan01 Dec19 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  OH ATLANTA Apr10 Mar07       (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
TDN-4   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNT MAN Apr01 Mar13 Feb28 Feb15 Feb06 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50    
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS Apr03 Dec14 Nov29 Oct24 Sep13 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
3  MEDIA DARLING Apr01 Feb28 Sep25 Aug12 May05 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  KNOCK WOOD Apr01 Mar14 Feb28 Jan11 Dec28 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50    
5  GUNNER GABRIEL Apr13 Mar18 Mar04 Jan18 Dec19 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 1.60 46% 1.20    
6  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Feb28 Jun24 Jun01 Apr26 Jan28 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   04/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINO Apr03 Mar19 Feb15 Jan25 Jan09 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  POKER PARTNER Mar19 Mar11 Feb15 Jan24 Dec28 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 36% 1.80    
3  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Jan30 Dec30 Dec20 Nov21 Oct13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 4.50    
4  DARK BARON Mar20 Mar05 Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
5  TIME THE AVENGER Feb29 Feb01 Jan11 Jan02 Dec13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 1.60    
 
TDN-6   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK OUT LINE Apr04 Mar17 Feb27 Jan23 Jan01 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.00    
2  JETTIN PEGASUS Apr11 Mar26 Mar07 Feb28 Feb13 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 17% 5.00    
3  STAR MABEE Sep26 Sep06 Aug10 Jul19 Jul04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.60 51% 1.00    
4  COWCHI Mar17 Mar06 Feb27 Feb19 Jan23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAY MAGIC Apr04 Feb27 Feb06 Jan22 Dec18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   04/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEISTHEHERO Apr10 Mar27 Mar18 Feb24 Aug06 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 5.00    
2  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Mar27 Feb28 Feb13 Dec18 Nov28 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  LIONISTIC Dec26 Nov20 Oct31 Oct11 Jul11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
4  IN TROUBLED WATERS Apr09 Mar26 Mar14 Feb29 Jan08 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARKET SUCCESS Oct28 Sep26 Aug12 Jul20 Jun24 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
6  CHARGINA Apr10 Mar27 Mar18 Feb13 Jan30 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00    
 
TDN-8   04/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLARS IN CHARGE Mar30 Feb16 Jan12     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of STELLAR CLOUD by CLOUD HOPPING)
2  PACE May16 Apr14 Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 (londono odin )SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of MAKE IT SNAPPY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MEXITEXAFORNIA Apr01 Mar14 Oct23 Sep28 Sep05 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
4  GLOBAL PRIDE Jan02 Dec18 Oct25 Sep27 Apr01 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HAMSIN by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  SAM WHEAT Apr27 Apr18       (farrior )MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STUNNING GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  STREET TRAFFIC Sep11 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 Jun27 (jackson jam)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  QUICK QUICK WHIT Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 Dec18 Nov14 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 4.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
8  PANTHERA'S FATE Jul28 Jun10       (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SENECA DESTINY by SENECA JONES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.