Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - April 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (8/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/9/5)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/5)-(3/4/6)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(2/5)-(8/5/6/3/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(8/5/6/3/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(8/5/6/3/4)-(9/5/7/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/5/6/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/3/4)-(8/5/6/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/3/4)-(8/5/6/3/4)-(8/5/6/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/6/3/4)-(9/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/3/4)-(9/5/7/8)-(4/1/3/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/7/8)-(4/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/8)-(4/1/3/2)-(3/5/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2)-(3/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/2)-(3/5/1/7)-(5/10/9/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-9   WIN (3/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/7)-(5/10/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-10   WIN (5/10/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/9/6/7)-(5/10/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/9/6/7)-(5/10/9/6/7)-(5/10/9/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   04/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEAR THE CROWN Mar26 Mar13 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 10.00    
2  MONGOLIAN MOON Mar25 Mar04 Feb14 Jan30 Jan13 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00    
3  HIGH PRESS Mar09 Jan21 Dec31 Dec16 Sep23 (evans justin)REYES R 124 5.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  BEDROCK (GB) Apr09 Mar21 Mar13 Feb12 Nov14 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
5  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Apr03 Mar18 Mar05 Feb12 Jan30 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TEE CLASS Mar26 Feb06 Oct22 Oct09 Sep16 (brown allen)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
7  SURPRISE FASHION Mar25 Mar08 Feb18 Dec03 Nov23 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.50    
8  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Mar25 Feb28 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 61% 0.60    
9  TRIBAL IMPACT Mar19 Feb28 Dec16 Sep17 Sep09 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-3   04/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cactus Flower Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA LACE Mar19 Feb26 Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 (cuccia susa)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CANONITA by SKIMMING)
2  UNRIVALED QUEEN Mar26 Mar11 Feb13 Feb01 Dec31 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
  (by EDDINGTON out of ANGIE'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
3  OUTSIDE THE LAW Mar18 Feb01 Jan07 Oct28 May06 (campo stacy)REYES R 124 0.80 32% 2.10    
  (by MACHO UNO out of AGAINST THE LAW by OFFICER)
4  BEYOND AWESOME Mar28 Mar18 Feb14 Feb01 Jan05 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
5  BANGIE GO Apr10 Mar11 Feb26 Mar19 Feb18 (mccartney jack)PENA BRYAN 120 8.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of JUSTCALLHERAGGIE by CAUSE UR MINE)
6  BOLD INTENTION Mar28 Feb26 Dec14 Nov15 Sep19 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of MYINTENTION by REGAL INTENTION)
 
TUP-4   04/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL JOY Apr06 Mar17 Feb24 Jan12 Nov26 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.00    
SCR  VITALE Mar27 Jan11 Dec22 Dec01 Oct26 (gangidino)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
3  IRISH HEATWAVE Jan27 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00    
4  DE LA LUNA Mar25 Mar05 Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 6% 15.50    
5  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Mar27 Mar18 Feb21 Feb05 Jan11 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 68% 0.50    
6  ARIZONA JEREMY Mar21 Apr22 Apr15 Mar25 Feb13 (laufenberg joyc)CORBETT W 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BODEMONSTER Mar25 Mar12 Feb27 Oct14 Sep30 (he)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   04/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cactus Wren Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEW Apr04 Mar19 Apr22 Apr05 Mar27 (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 120 6.00 ★    
  (by TOP HIT out of DARING DRACO by ROCKY BAR)
2  KATAR Feb14 Sep11 Jun17 May02 Apr04 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 0.60 67% 0.50    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of OPENSHAFT by MINESHAFT)
3  WE MISS GENO Mar28 Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Aug06 (figueroa ju)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MISS CATALINA by BOSTON HARBOR)
4  SMOOTH PAPA Apr03 Mar25 Mar13 Feb12 Jan31 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 20.00    
  (by PAPA CLEM out of WELL POLISHED by BERNSTEIN)
5  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Dec28 Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 Sep05 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 120 5.00 6% 16.30    
  (by VERRAZANO out of KATE'S POSSE by POSSE)
6  ARIZONA ANDREW Mar28 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
 
TUP-6   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTA BOY LLOYD Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 Dec08 Nov11 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
2  WHEREVER YOU ARE Aug19         (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 4.00    
3  KNOCKOUT GUY Mar27 Mar14 Feb26 Dec11 Nov27 (fearon johnathon)PENA BRYAN 124 20.00 10% 9.10    
4  MY CAIRO KID Sep09 Jul31       (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Apr03 Mar16 Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 (toye joe)CRUZ M 118 3.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  DIVERSIFUL Mar27 Mar14 Sep16 Aug27 Jul22 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  GOFASTANDWIN Jan23         (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
8  MR. CAPTAIN JACK         (lawrence heath)MAWING A 124 4.50 27% 2.80    
9  ARIZONA MADE Apr02 May06       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONRADO Mar12 Mar04 Feb15 Jan29 Dec14 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
2  NOTACRY Mar28 Mar13 Feb20 Feb05 Jul09 (valerio raymond )PENA BRYAN 122 10.00    
3  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Mar26 Mar05 Feb13 Jan31 Oct27 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
SCR  RESPECT THE UNION Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 Mar14 Feb27 (ferguson curt)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
5  YOU ENJOY MYSELF Mar21 Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 Dec30 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
6  BIG JACK Mar19 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00    
7  BRAYBRAY Feb22 Aug26 Jul31 Jul15 Jun17 (martinez a)REYES R 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
8  BEAU MISCHIEF Mar27 Mar04 Oct08 Sep03 Aug18 (bean a)CORBETT W 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
9  UNCLE LEON Mar19 Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 Sep24 (rosales jorge)LOPEZ KARLO 116 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
TUP-8   04/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMIES INHERITANCE Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  LOANA Mar14 Feb18 Nov21 Oct07 Sep04 (hone ba)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIRT FLIRT Apr03 Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Feb07 (silva jose )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
4  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Feb19 Feb01 Jan06 Nov24 Nov03 (silva-mar)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
5  LOVE TANK Mar14 Feb18 Dec19 Nov28 Sep24 (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
6  FREE AND HUMBLE Mar14 Feb10 Nov11 Oct01 Sep09 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50    
7  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Feb19 Feb01 Dec11 Nov13 Sep22 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
 
TUP-9   04/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTPORT CAPTAIN Mar14 Dec01 Nov09 Aug13 Jun30 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  CLEAR THE COAST Mar26 Feb27 Feb16 Jan20 Dec30 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 118 5.00    
3  O'BANION (IRE) Mar13 Feb27 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 (rosales jor)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  BRANDYN Mar26 Feb14 Jan28 Dec10 Nov15 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
5  IT'S TURBO May14 Apr17 Mar14 Sep18 Aug07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  FLEET OF FLAGS Mar19 Feb27 Feb06 Jan12 Nov20 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
7  WELTON Mar22 May06 Mar04     (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 6% 15.10    
8  PRECEDENT Mar11 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 Jul29 (martinez a)REYES R 122 15.00    
 
TUP-10   04/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST AS FAST CAN B Feb13 Jan31 Sep28 Sep18 Jul27 (hernandez)IRONEYES R 119 15.00    
SCR  TOLEDO ROCKET Mar06 Feb10 Jan06 Dec15   (evans justin)REYES R 124 5.00    
3  PIRATE MISCHIEF Mar21 Mar06 Feb13 Jan31 Dec12 (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
4  LITTLE J P Mar26 Feb28 Sep16 Sep05 Aug02 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
SCR  FULL BORE Apr02 Mar13 Feb13 Jan31 Jan11 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 10.00 30% 2.40    
6  SCOPELLO Mar13 Feb20 Feb05 Dec18 Dec04 (mcfarlane dan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
7  UNCLE JUJU Apr02 Mar20 Feb28 Feb12 Jan12 (bean a)PENA BRYAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROYAL CANDY Mar21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 (silva-mart)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
9  CRYPTO CONSPIRACY Mar18 Feb15 Nov13     (eikleberry k)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 4.00 12% 7.00    
10  RANTANEN Mar21 Feb11 May01 Mar25   (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.