Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $6.30 $2.30 58%
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6-1 $7.90 $3.90 98%
CTD-8   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.90 $2.90 73%
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-5 $16.90 $12.90 323%
CTD-10   WIN (6/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $18.70 $10.70 134%
    EXA (6/2/8/9)-(6/2/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-2 $65.50 $41.50 173%
Simulator Race results
 
CTD-4   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Birdcatcher Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:231 :49 1:14 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRATED COCONUT 2 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 15 112¼ (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 8.00 2.00  
  (by THE FACTOR out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
1  SUDDENLY FAMOUS 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 25 212¼ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 6.00 49% 1.00 0.90 P
  (by CAR TALK out of SUDDEN by SPEED JARO (FR))
4  SAWCHUK 3 3 31½ 31½ 33½ 39 313¾ (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 10.00 2.00  
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  ITSALLGOODMAN               (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 0.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CTD-5   10/22/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Freedom Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:132     1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SILKSTONE 3 4 1½ 1½   11 13¾ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 0.80 56% 0.80 0.65 W
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
2  MORNING RAIN 2 3 3½ 2½   21 23¾ (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 123 1.80 20% 4.00 1.65 DQ↓4
  (by GAYEGO out of CALL ME CHARM by TRIBAL RULE)
4  BROKEN PROMISES 4 1 42 44   32½ 36¼ (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.50 6.50  
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
1  KULSUM 1 2 2½ 33½   47 432½ (brown r)NELSON DANE 120 10.00 12.60  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
 
CTD-6   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR 5 5 54½ 59 43 24½ 11¼ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00 15% 5.60 2.15 W
1  MONEY MUNCHER 1 1 42 23 1½ 14½ 21¼ (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 120 1.20 50% 1.00 0.60 P
5  TEE CLASS 4 4 2½ 34 32 36 310¾ (brown)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 15.00 10.20  
3  BORN ON FIRE 2 2 31 47½ 55 510½ 415½ (bell ken)BRYAN D 120 20.00 39.20  
4  MY BOY CHRISTIAN 3 3 1½ 13 2½ 46½ 516¼ (ward anderson)LUNAN RICHARD 123 3.50 6.35  
SCR  TRICKY SPEEDSTER               (nichols)CHASE RICHARD 118 8.00    
 
CTD-7   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :46 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BABS DELIGHT 3 2 31 2½   1nk 11¼ (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 3.50  
2  WITT'S TENNY TEN 2 4 1½ 1½   2nk 21¼ (gaski)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.50 45% 1.20 3.95 P
4  STOLEN JEWEL 4 3 41 3½   3½ 32½ (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 1.80 1.15  
1  TAKE CHARGE GWEN 1 1 2½ 42   42 43¼ (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 17% 4.90 5.05  
5  CAPA BELLA 5 5 57 56   58½ 56 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 5.00 6.70  
 
CTD-8   10/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :444 1:09     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUSEAWHATISEA 1 1 11½ 13½   15 11½ (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 122 3.50 26% 2.90 2.45 W
5  FOUR O SIX CREED 4 3 42½ 44   25 21½ (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.00 41% 1.40 1.65 P
6  KAUAI DAN 5 4 52¾ 54½   46½ 35¾ (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 4.00 4.60  
3  READYTOTAPNSING 2 2 21½ 23½   36 48½ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 3.00 5.70  
4  SAXON SAGA 3 5 31½ 34   57 510¼ (anderson gonz)CUMBERBATCH R 122 6.00 4.30  
SCR  NORTHERN JEWEL               (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 8.00    
 
CTD-9   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:23 :46 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GWIZZ 6 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 1.75  
5  MILITARY SASS 5 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 10.50  
4  DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE 4 6 79½ 614   611 38½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 117 15.00 12.95  
3  HERE'S LEXIE 3 3 31½ 32   34 49½ (nichols)CHASE RICHARD 120 2.50 17% 4.90 2.50  
2  SHES A COOL CAT 2 4 55½ 511   59½ 510 (davies de)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 6% 14.70 4.75  
1  BONNIE AND MOE 1 1 43½ 48   48 619½ (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 30.00 57.35  
7  GOTTALOVETHATGIRL 7 7 68½ 715   717 729 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 49% 1.00 4.55  
SCR  FIRST WILDCAT               (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 4.50    
 
CTD-10   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:223 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  THE ITALIAN MAN 7 7 42¼ 42¾   4¾ 1nk (heggie rod)SIMPSON W 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.35 W
2  LAHUN 2 2 32 32½   3.2 2nk (biggs sey)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 2.50 22% 3.60 1.20 P
5  AMEER 4 5 76¼ 79¼   67¼ 32¾ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 10.00 11.05  
8  DADDY'S PEPPER 6 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 43¼ (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 120 4.00 17% 5.00 8.95  
6  BOBS BUDDY 5 6 53¾ 54¾   53¾ 56½ (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 34% 2.00 3.20  
1  FAVORITE LIGHT 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 67¼ (brown shelle)NATERA KEIHTON 120 6.00 5.65  
3  CAROSWAY 3 4 64¼ 69¼   77¼ 79 (kettle)STEADMAN LEON 120 15.00 18.30  
SCR  CMON SHARON               (willard )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
SCR  THREE DAY BENDER               (kingston robe)CUMBERBATCH R 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.