The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
TUP-4   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -3.90
TUP-5   Win (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
TUP-6   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
TUP-7   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
TUP-8   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
TUP-9   Win (5/9/10/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $6.20 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL VINTAGE 3 2 1nk 1   11 1 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 1.00 38% 1.60 0.70 W
ROCKY BAY RAE 6 4 32 2   21 2 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 4.50 5% 18.60 1.90 P
ZORINA 4 3 5 55   34 3 (moreno ca)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 10.60  
CAN'T WANT THAT 5 1 2nk 3   4 4 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 3.50 33% 2.00 6.50  
BOURBON TIGER 1 5 4 44   5 511 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 7.40  
CAT ON THE RUN 2 6 6 611   617½ 619½ (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 116 20.00 55.50  
 
TUP-4   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST ATBA Sales Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONY'S TAPIT 5 4 2nk 1   1 1 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 1.00 63% 0.60 0.05 W
ARIZONA ANDREW 4 1 1nk 2   2 2 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 1.20 16% 5.40 6.80 P
WE MISS GENO 2 3 4 3   311 317¼ (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 20.00 61.70  
ARIZONA STEPHEN 1 2 3 4   411½ 424¼ (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
I'M MR. SHENANIGAN 3 5 5 514   518½ 535¾ (o'brien da)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 120 30.00 74.30  
SCR  RECONCILING FORCE               (gonzalez andres)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00    
 
TUP-5   03/28/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:16
See original race card.
1:35         1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNEBEC 4 7 7 7 5 4 1 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 122 3.50 12% 7.10 1.00 W
MR. WHO 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 8% 12.20 6.60 P
PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) 6 6 6 6 2½ 2nk 3 (evans justin)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 3.80  
KEEN HEIR 1 5 44 5 4¾ 3½ 44 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 5.40  
TULANE TRYST 7 4 5 32 3½ 55 513¼ (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.00 53% 0.90 5.00  
IMPOSSIBLE TASK 3 2 21 2½ 6 6 617¼ (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 6.00 13.40  
SEA TO SUCCESS 5 3 3 42 7 710½ 720 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 25.80  
 
TUP-6   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST ATBA Sales Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:22 :441 :561     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND AWESOME 4 1 1½ 12   1 1 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 33% 2.10 0.30 W
DADS ESTRELLA 1 4 3½ 22   2 2 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 29% 2.50 3.00 P
ALBERTA SUN 2 2 2½ 3   3 39 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.50 4.90  
STARLET COLE 3 3 4¾ 4   4 4 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00 11.80  
SCR  HOLY TUTTA BELLA               (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00    
SCR  STARDUST DREAMS               (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00    
 
TUP-7   03/28/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:213 :433       :552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESPERATE MAN 5 1 1nk 12   17 1 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 2.00 39% 1.60 0.60 W
NOW N LATER GATOR 6 4 3 3   27 2 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60 P
TRACK ROBBER 4 2 2nk 22   37 39 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 34% 1.90 1.30 S
GONZAGA BAY 2 5 4 46   412½ 416½ (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 12.00 27.10  
HATAGASAL 1 3 53 513   516 518¾ (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 4.00 19.20  
MARVELOUS MARK 3 6 66 614½   619½ 624¾ (mccartney jack)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 21.00  
RAIDER NATION 7 7 77 717½   726½ 732¾ (simpson s)BRAVO MISAEL 116 10.00 35.90  
 
TUP-8   03/28/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:212 :442       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD INTENTION 5 1 2½ 1½   1½ 1 (barraza s)CORBETT W 122 2.50 28% 2.50 0.40 W
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 1 6 65 4   5 2 (silva-martinez al)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 13.50  
DANNYBOB 6 3 33 3   4 3 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 6.00  
MISSCZECH 3 5 5 66   6 4 (anderson gonzalo)CRUZ M 122 3.50 46% 1.20 5.10  
WE ALL AGREE 2 4 4 5   3 5 (barrio serg)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
FEATHER INTHE WIND 4 2 1½ 2½   2½ 6 (lawrence hea)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 18.10  
 
TUP-9   03/28/2024 4950ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:103 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASHVILLE SKYLINE 1 1 12 1 1 15 1 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 2.10  
I'M NOBLE 3 3 34 44 43 25 2 (person a)CRUZ M 122 5.00 4.30  
MOUNTAIN BREEZE 9 7 7 7 66 5 3 (moreno carlo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 16% 5.40 20.60 S
10  MR LOVE MUFFIN 10 5 56 6 33 4 4 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 9% 9.70 11.60  
GREENBRIER 6 6 6 5 5 6 5 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 12.00 37.90  
NOTACRY 7 2 22 2 2 3 610¼ (valerio g)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 8% 12.10 9.10  
GO LAKER GO 4 10 1012¼ 1011¾ 10 9 710¾ (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 43.70  
HEIR (FR) 5 8 8 8 7 7 811 (evans justin)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.80  
PANZER PRIDE 2 9 911¼ 9 8 8 914½ (eikleberry kev)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 6.00 9% 10.10 8.50  
EL CAPRICHO 8 4 44 34 9 1012¾ 1018¾ (dennis clif)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 29.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.