Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/4/1)-(7/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(7/4/2/5)-(5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(5/2)-(5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/4/6)-(3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/5/2)-(5/9/10/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-8   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/9/10/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (5/9/10/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/2/7)-(5/9/10/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/2/7)-(5/9/10/2/7)-(5/9/10/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TIGER Feb26 Feb13 Jan06 Dec01 Nov05 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
2  CAT ON THE RUN Mar18 Mar05 Feb15 Apr29   (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 20.00    
3  APRIL VINTAGE Mar04 Dec29 Nov10 Oct07 Sep01 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 1.00 38% 1.60    
4  ZORINA Mar14 Feb26 Dec12 Sep10 Jul29 (moreno )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00    
5  CAN'T WANT THAT Feb21 Nov21 Sep23 Aug13 Jul21 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  ROCKY BAY RAE Mar13 Feb21       (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 4.50 5% 18.60    
 
TUP-4   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST ATBA Sales Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA STEPHEN Mar08 Nov15 Oct04 Aug30   (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
2  WE MISS GENO Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Aug06 Apr11 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 120 20.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MISS CATALINA by BOSTON HARBOR)
3  I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Feb29 Apr05 Mar12     (o'brien )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 120 30.00    
  (by COASTLINE out of BIRTHDAY by GOLDEN ACT)
4  ARIZONA ANDREW May20 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 1.20 16% 5.40    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
5  TONY'S TAPIT Mar14 Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 Feb18 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 1.00 63% 0.60    
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  RECONCILING FORCE Mar22 Dec05 Oct13 Sep24 Jun23 (gonzalez andres)LOPEZ KARLO 120 15.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of EXCESSIVELYBLESSED by HOLD ME BACK)
 
TUP-5   03/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN HEIR Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan06 Dec02 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
2  MR. WHO Feb29 Feb12 Feb01 Nov13 Oct21 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 8% 12.20    
3  IMPOSSIBLE TASK Feb12 Jan05 Dec17 Nov26 Mar31 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
4  KENNEBEC Mar03 Jan28 Dec29 Nov23 Oct28 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  SEA TO SUCCESS Mar14 Feb27 Feb01 Dec20 Dec04 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Mar14 Feb15 Jan05 Nov26 Oct15 (evans justin)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
7  TULANE TRYST Mar14 Feb27 Feb15 Jan29 Nov28 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
TUP-6   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST ATBA Sales Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARDUST DREAMS Feb22 Jan31 Apr01 Mar12   (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WHISPERS OF WAR by WAR FRONT)
2  DADS ESTRELLA Feb29 Feb13 Dec04 Nov13 Aug13 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
3  ALBERTA SUN Mar11 Feb01 Jan19 Dec20 Nov28 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.50    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
4  STARLET COLE Feb01 Aug27 Aug12 Jul17   (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WELKEN by SKY CLASSIC)
5  BEYOND AWESOME Mar18 Feb14 Feb01 Jan05 Apr22 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
SCR  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Mar05 Feb19 May06 Apr24 Apr10 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00    
  (by TIZDEJAVU out of TUTTA BELLA by ACCELERATE)
 
TUP-7   03/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATAGASAL         (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 4.00 ★    
2  GONZAGA BAY Apr15         (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 12.00    
3  MARVELOUS MARK         (mccartney jac)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00    
4  TRACK ROBBER Mar18         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  DESPERATE MAN         (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  NOW N LATER GATOR         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  RAIDER NATION         (simpson)BRAVO MISAEL 116 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Feb29 Feb01 Feb06 Jan12 Dec21 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
2  WE ALL AGREE Mar20 Feb29 Sep27 Sep11 Aug27 (barrio se)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISSCZECH Mar05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 (anderson gonzal)CRUZ M 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  FEATHER INTHE WIND Sep03 Aug25 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 (lawrence h)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00    
5  BOLD INTENTION Feb26 Dec14 Nov15 Sep19 Aug27 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  DANNYBOB Feb14 Jan26 Nov06 Sep03 Jul16 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00    
 
TUP-9   03/28/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Mar12 Jan30 Jan06 Dec03 Apr17 (lucarelli fra)OROZCO IRVING 122 8.00    
2  PANZER PRIDE Mar06 Feb15 Jan30 Dec04 Nov14 (eikleberry k)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
3  I'M NOBLE Mar04 Jan29 Oct29 Oct13 Sep23 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 5.00    
4  GO LAKER GO Feb22 Dec05 Nov14 Oct21 Sep30 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00    
5  HEIR (FR) Mar12 Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Jan01 (evans justi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  GREENBRIER Mar04 Jan29 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 12.00    
7  NOTACRY Mar13 Feb20 Feb05 Jul09 Jun10 (valerio raymond )PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 8% 12.10    
8  EL CAPRICHO Mar05 Feb21 Feb13 Jan27 Nov26 (dennis cl)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
9  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) Aug24 May20 May07 Jan08 Nov03 (moreno car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
10  MR LOVE MUFFIN Mar05 Feb14 Apr22 Apr12 Apr03 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.