Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/4)-(8/2/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/4)-(8/2/10/4/5)-(3/6/2/7/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-2   WIN (8/2/10/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/4/5)-(8/2/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/4/5)-(8/2/10/4/5)-(8/2/10/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/10/4/5)-(3/6/2/7/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/4/5)-(3/6/2/7/4)-(8/9/10/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/6/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7/4)-(8/9/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/7/4)-(8/9/10/3)-(6/9/8/1/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (8/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/10/3)-(8/9/10/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/10/3)-(8/9/10/3/7)-(8/9/10/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/10/3)-(6/9/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/10/3)-(6/9/8/1/2)-(1/10/9/8/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (6/9/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/1/2)-(6/9/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/1/2)-(6/9/8/1/2)-(6/9/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/8/1/2)-(1/10/9/8/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/1/2)-(1/10/9/8/11)-(4/7/2/11/3) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-6   WIN (1/10/9/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/8/11)-(1/10/9/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/8/11)-(1/10/9/8/11)-(1/10/9/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/9/8/11)-(4/7/2/11/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9/8/11)-(4/7/2/11/3)-(9/3/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-7   WIN (4/7/2/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/11/3)-(4/7/2/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/11/3)-(4/7/2/11/3)-(4/7/2/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/2/11/3)-(9/3/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/11)-(9/3/11/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/11)-(9/3/11/4/12)-(9/3/11/4/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT HAND GIRL Feb09 Jan04 Dec09 Oct27 Aug28 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
2  ANN'S STORM Feb17 Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 Oct21 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
3  A WISH FOR MADELYN Feb09 Dec29 Nov18 Nov02 Oct11 (broberg )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.00 51% 0.90    
4  REALITOS Jun19 May15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 6% 16.40    
5  AVERI EVER AFTER Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Nov17 Sep09 (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 4.50    
6  ASHLEY'S GIRL Jan12 Dec27 Oct13 Aug19 Jul06 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 121 10.00    
7  MACEE Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Jul20 Jun08 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 8% 11.40    
8  MO BLING Feb10 Dec30 Aug05 Jun03 Mar26 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
SCR  KITTENOFTHE COURT Feb09 Jan04 Sep09 Jun19 Mar17 (hargrave kenneth)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
 
FG-2   02/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'BUSKER         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
2  HALF OFF HALF Feb03 Dec29       (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
3  CHAPELLETE Jan26 Jan01       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
4  STEPHANIE'S MARIA Feb10 Jan01       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
5  AUNT ADDIE         (thompson k)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  GET GUSSIED UP         (gibson jo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
7  UNKNOWN CALLER Feb03         (knudsen kent)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
8  JET ROCKET Feb10 Jan19 Nov30 Nov04   (roberts roy)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
9  MOION Feb10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov18 Jul01 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
10  C C SENORA Feb03 Jan13 Dec15     (landry ra)LANERIE J 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
 
FG-3   02/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVE'S DELIGHT Jan05 Dec08 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 (goins garl)ALBERT S 121 6.00    
2  CHARLIE T Feb03 Nov25 Jun22 Apr21 Mar26 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  RUE LALA Feb03 Jan07 Nov17 Sep13 Mar18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 20% 3.90    
4  FREE DROP MADDY Jan26 Dec09 Nov17 Oct12 Mar25 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LAKE MARIE Jan26 Jan06 Nov25 Sep10 Aug05 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00    
6  MICHELLES LIL STAR Jan26 Oct19 Sep10 Mar15 Feb04 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  KYLE BEAUTY Jan06 Dec15 May05 Apr07 Mar22 (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 121 12.00 14% 6.30    
8  BASALT STREET Feb03 Dec29 Dec09 Jul15 Jun03 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50    
9  SUMITUP Dec22 Jul24 May28 Mar23 Mar01 (dandridge cou)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY'S RUMOR Feb04         (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 15.00    
2  ENGLISH BOBBY Feb04 Jan12 Dec22 Sep23   (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
3  BIG FIG Jan12 Dec16 Sep29     (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  CHASING CHAYSE         (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
5  PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Feb08 Jan21 Nov02 Oct07 Sep12 (husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
6  TAYSOM Feb01 Jan12 Oct01     (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 122 12.00    
7  WHATDIDWEDO Feb08 Jan11       (noel dane)MCMAHON J 122 10.00 ★    
8  MIDNIGHT AVENGER Jan21 Dec30       (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
9  PURPLE OCTOPUS Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Aug20   (rivelli)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00 17% 4.70    
10  GARNET JUBILEE Feb04         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
 
FG-5   02/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETROIT CITY Dec30 Nov04 Oct06 Sep13 Aug26 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  B D VALESKI Jan01 Oct21 Sep22 Aug11 Jun23 (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHISELER Jan01 Dec03 Nov09 Oct08 Aug19 (foley greg)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
4  GUNNER BAY Feb03 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Sep16 (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 122 15.00    
5  AMBIVALENT Jan28 Sep17 Aug31 Jul21 Sep10 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
6  GILDED RULER Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Jul15 May19 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 6.00 34% 2.00    
7  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Dec30 Nov23 Sep22 Aug03 Jun11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
8  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Jan01 May21 Apr22 Sep14 Jun22 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 7% 12.80    
9  PLANE TALK Jan28 Dec21 Dec03 Oct15 Jul20 (robertson hugh)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
10  ON YOUR MARK Mar16 Sep14 Aug18 Jun22 May30 (scherer g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
11  MISTER MMMMM Dec21 Sep02 Aug05 Jun23 Jun01 (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZ MASTERY Aug17         (mcpeek ken)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CASBY Feb04 Jan20 Jan01 Nov02   (carter ange)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 6.00    
3  HATTIE BLOOM Feb04         (stall albert)MURRAY M 120 8.00    
4  A LIL PSYCHOTIC Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Nov25   (sanchez c)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
5  NEW WOMAN Jan20 Jun15       (hamilton sar)TORRES A 120 10.00    
6  PROBLEMATICA Feb04 Jan13 Dec08 Oct22   (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
7  MOR MOR MUSIC Jan21 Sep12       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
8  CHURCH PEW Sep02 Aug06       (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 6% 15.40    
9  CATCHYALATER Feb09         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
10  SWEET CHARLIZE Jan19 Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
11  MORNING MIRACLE         (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   02/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUATERNION Jan28 Dec30 Nov30 Oct25 Aug13 (felks jose)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
2  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Jan15 Dec16 Nov23 Jul16 Jun25 (gelner j)LANERIE J 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
3  PIKE PLACE Jan15 Oct11 Sep12 Aug04 Jun12 (mcgee paul)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HARD RYE GUY Jan04 May24 May06 Mar10 Feb17 (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 27% 2.70    
5  COACHES MEETING Jan11 Mar25 Jul16     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
SCR  CALICOCO Jan13 Dec09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.50    
7  BROWN LIQUOR MAN Feb01 Aug20 Jul31 Jun30   (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
8  MAASAI WARRIOR Jan15 Sep28 Sep03 Aug04 Jul21 (leonard george )MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
9  DAPPER DUDE Feb12 Dec30 Nov17 Aug31 Aug10 (rodriguez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
10  EVAN HARLAN Feb02 Jan05 May19 Apr19 Feb05 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
11  BATTLE SCARS Jan04 Dec07 Aug17 Jun23 May28 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
12  CAROOM Feb02 May21 Apr27 Mar01 Jan22 (catalano m)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
SCR  BRIGADE COMMANDER Jan27 Jan15 Dec16 Sep30 Sep09 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
SCR  KOLOMIO Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Feb03 Dec04 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Nov24 Sep28 Sep03 Jul16 Jun10 (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 3.50    
 
FG-8   02/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MECKES PRIORITY Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 Oct11 (dussette alvin)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
SCR  FREE FROM GUILT Jul23 Jun16 Nov22 Oct15 Aug27 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
3  PITCH AND RUN Jan04 Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 Aug21 (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50 5% 17.30    
4  VERO CAMPIONE Feb02 Dec29 Dec17 Dec01 Aug26 (duke steve)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 5.00 ★    
5  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Feb02 Jan18 Dec29 Oct20 Aug25 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 122 5.00    
6  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Feb15 Feb02 Dec14 Jun24 May18 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 125 10.00    
7  COLT'S BRIM Feb02 Jun15 May26 May06 Apr14 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 122 15.00    
8  CHECK ME OUT Dec02 Aug10 Jul21 Apr07 Mar09 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
9  NERVY Feb08 Jan18 Dec03     (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 125 4.00 69% 0.50    
10  LIL WOADIE Feb10 Jan11 Dec30 Dec02 Mar26 (schmidt denis)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
11  HANDSOME HAROLD Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 Sep09 Aug19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  JOSEPH H Feb08 Dec16 Nov29 Oct28   (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 117 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.