Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - February 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(8/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (8/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/7)-(8/10/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/10/7)-(8/10/7/4)-(8/10/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/10/7)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/7)-(2/6/7/4)-(7/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/4)-(7/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/4)-(7/5/4/1)-(3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/1)-(3/4/6)-(8/2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/9/8)-(3/4/6/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(8/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(8/2/4/5)-(9/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-6   WIN (8/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5/11)-(8/2/4/5/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/4/5)-(9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/5)-(9/2/3)-(5/9/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-7   WIN (9/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/3)-(9/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2/3)-(9/2/3)-(9/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/2/3)-(5/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3)-(5/9/3/1)-(10/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-8   WIN (5/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/1)-(5/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/1)-(5/9/3/1)-(5/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/3/1)-(10/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-9   WIN (10/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/7)-(10/5/1/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/7)-(10/5/1/7/9)-(10/5/1/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY HAPPY Dec29 Oct28 Oct06 Jul27 Jun10 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAKE NAIVASHA by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  CHELSEA PIER Jan04 Feb15       (devaux ch)TORRES A 125 8.00 14% 6.40    
  (by ARROGATE out of KIND OF MAGIC by GALILEO (ARG))
3  K'ANTHEIA Dec29 Apr13 Mar25     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 125 1.80 41% 1.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TWENTY SIX ACTS by STRONG CONTENDER)
4  RUBY QUEEN Dec16 Oct15 Aug06     (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 117 1.60 15% 5.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of RADIANT RUBY by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  HAUNTED DREAM (IRE) Jun18 May29 May09     (snodgrass)BEALMEAR C 115 20.00    
  (by OASIS DREAM out of RED HALO by GALILEO)
6  MERASOL SUGAR         (ortiz john)ASMUSSEN J 117 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CHANEL NUMBER MINE by VALUE PLUS)
7  BUSINESS AS USUAL Jan12 Nov22 Oct25 Sep13   (brisset )SANTANA JR 117 4.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SHINE TIME by MALIBU MOON)
 
OP-2   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KITIARA Jun17 May20 May05 Apr21 Mar17 (martin ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
2  JERI DAWN Jan05 Sep18 Sep02 Jul28 Jul10 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 119 15.00    
SCR  MY DAMS ATITUDE Jan12 Nov21 Oct28 Aug26 Jul24 (cunningham j)QUINONEZ S 119 8.00    
4  WAR MUSIC Jan06 Sep29 Aug11 Jul29 Jul01 (riecken br)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 20.00 ★    
5  THURSDAY MORNING Dec15 Nov16 Oct27 Sep03 Aug19 (espinoza edg)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 30.00    
6  SHUTUP PLEASE Jan06 Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 (dixon tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 20.00    
7  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Jan05 Dec08 Sep09 Aug27 Jul06 (wilson me)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 5% 17.70    
8  SHE'S STORMING Jan13 Dec30 May04 Apr08 Apr01 (hewitt mi)TORRES A 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  BENNYKAYANDSUZYTOO Jan13 Dec08 Jun24 May04 Apr08 (vance d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
10  PUNCHY GIRL Jan12 Nov08 Sep29 Aug01 Jul08 (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  QUEENIES WAY Oct22 Jul28 May29 May04 Mar31 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 109 15.00    
 
OP-3   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($140K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEEPEEGEE Dec08 Sep29 Aug20     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 117 20.00    
2  BOOTH Nov25 Oct07       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 117 0.60 33% 2.10    
3  FROST FREE Dec31 Dec08 Jun08     (creighton brett)VAZQUEZ A 117 15.00    
4  MAKE IT SPEND IT Oct12 Aug29 Aug12     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANDY'S CANDY Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 Oct14 Sep17 (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
6  TEXAS TOWN Dec08         (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  LET'S GO MARK Jan06 Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 Oct07 (ennis joh)LEPAROUX R 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
OP-4   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Oct31 Sep25 Aug22 Aug11   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE Dec31 Dec09 Nov19     (von do)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
3  QUEBRANCHO Jan01 Nov19 Nov01 Oct01 Sep03 (puhich mike)JUAREZ NIK 122 12.00 ★    
4  AMBIGUOUS Dec03 Oct29 Sep10 Aug05   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 6% 16.30    
5  GREERS FERRY Dec23 Nov25 Oct14 Sep24 Aug28 (schultz l)TORRES A 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
6  GOLDEN PLATE Jan01 Dec09 Oct27 Oct13 Sep01 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
7  RIVETAGE Jan01 Dec09 Nov12 Oct18 Sep22 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
8  COUNTY JUDGE Dec30 Nov22       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00    
9  PRINCE IS MY BOY Oct26 Aug27 Aug06     (rosin w)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 30.00    
10  WITHOUT OBJECTION Dec29 Oct24       (hartman c)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
11  YOU'RE ON MUTE Jan06 Dec06       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
12  EQUATE Jan06         (maker j)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
 
OP-5   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE ELVIS Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 May13 (blair jorda)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
2  BOBWHITE BOBBY Dec15 Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Aug05 (von donn)QUINONEZ S 122 15.00    
3  ABSOLUTE CHAOS Feb11 Jan28 Apr24 Apr02 Feb20 (divito j)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 68% 0.50    
4  BOAT SONG Dec17 Oct28 Sep14 Sep02 May27 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 4.00 8% 11.10    
5  MANTA REY Dec29 Dec09 Oct10 Sep14 Aug26 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
6  BACKSIDE BUZZ Dec29 Nov10 Sep14 Aug19 Jul31 (vance tho)TORRES A 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
7  ROCKING ROCKET Jan05 Dec15 Nov22 Apr14 Apr01 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 120 12.00    
8  FOREVER COOL Jan27 Nov18 Nov03 Sep24 Aug28 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00 ★    
9  CACTUS Jun15 Apr28 Apr01 Feb24 Feb04 (morse l)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 ★    
 
OP-6   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XKUZ Nov17 Nov04 Oct06 Aug19 Aug10 (dolan jeanne )BAILEY CHEL-C 125 30.00    
2  MO MOVES Dec16 Nov09 Oct15 Sep22 Sep10 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  SATURDAY STARTER Jan11 Nov30 Sep03     (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 20.00    
4  MR WORKS Jan12 Apr23 Apr08 Mar23 Mar03 (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 9% 10.30    
5  SINGING GROOM Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Jun10 May05 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOTOWN COLLECTION Jan26 Dec30 Dec08 Nov14 Oct30 (rone mike)ZIMMERMAN R 125 20.00    
7  HEXCEL Jan06 Nov20 Nov03 Oct21 Sep28 (rufino eu)BEALMEAR C 108 30.00    
8  HONEST OPINION Jan01 Nov01 Sep14     (cox brad )TORRES A 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
9  MORE MONEY MO Jan26 Dec16 May05 Apr22 Apr07 (espinoza edg)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 30.00    
10  LUCKY IS MY NAME Dec15 Aug19       (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 118 30.00    
11  STRICKLAND Jan12 Dec16 May12 Mar23 Mar03 (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 8.00 ★    
SCR  NATIVE MOONSHINE Nov17 Sep09 Jul24     (tranquilin)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 50.00    
 
OP-7   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLEEZY Jan27 Dec17 Nov04 Sep27 Sep02 (hartlage g)COURT K 124 10.00    
2  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE Nov29 Aug12 Jul21 Jun18 May27 (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  WHAT'S UP DOC Nov16 Oct21 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (ginter j)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUTO GLIDE Jan27 Jan06 Nov03 Aug29 Jun27 (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
SCR  KNOX Dec26 Nov12 Sep16 Aug26 Jul23 (alvarado ju)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00    
SCR  KOBLA MAS Dec15 Oct18 Sep14 Aug10 Jun23 (ward dan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
7  BLACK APPLE Dec17 May14 Apr16 Mar10 Jan21 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
8  ZAP MOTION Jan28 Dec17 Oct11 Sep23 Jul03 (shirer a)CHUAN MARTIN 124 20.00    
9  LIPS SAY BLISS Jan28 Nov24       (medina ro)TORRES A 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
OP-8   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORY HOUR Dec27 Nov23 Oct19 Sep29 Aug26 (medina ro)TORRES A 116 10.00 6% 15.40    
2  HONEY RUN Jan27 Dec30 Dec08 Nov04 Aug12 (hartman c)BEALMEAR C 109 20.00    
3  LET'S DUET Dec29 Nov16 Oct20 Sep23 May12 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  MARSHSIDE MAMA Jan13 Oct18 Sep11 Aug04 Jul10 (anderson dou)FUENTES A 119 20.00    
5  MY GOOD FORTUNE Dec02 Oct25 Sep29 Jul26 Jul06 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  INSENSITIVE Dec29 Oct28 Oct07 Jun24 May27 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00    
SCR  LADAN Jan11 Dec22 Nov24 Nov16 Jan25 (bogle fergus)ZIMMERMAN R 124 20.00    
8  JUST LIKE MAGIC Jan04 Nov24 Jun10 May19 Apr07 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
9  FLASHY LASS Jan27 Dec02 Oct22 Aug28 Aug01 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
OP-9   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS BE SMART Dec28 Nov04       (zito p)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 8% 11.70    
  (by TAPIT out of APOLOGIZE by JUMRON (GB))
2  SHATTUCK Dec31 Dec08       (prather j)TORRES A 122 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of THISIZSPARTA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  MONEYSHOT Dec15 Nov04 Oct11 Sep21 Aug05 (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of COOL BEANS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  VINCITA Dec14         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of MISS CANADA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  RIYADH MOON Jan05         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of PRINCESS OF CHINA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  TELL 'EM I'M COMIN Jan13 Dec31 Dec08     (cline n)ZIMMERMAN R 122 30.00    
  (by UPSTART out of WHAT A REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
7  SPEEDTAIL Feb03 Dec09 Oct29 Oct01 Sep17 (mason ing)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  GOLD SEARCH Dec31 Nov25       (von kell)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GOLDEN MUSCADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  FLASHY FAST Jan05 Sep01       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FLASHY RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  NATIVE LAND Jan13         (mott riley)FUENTES A 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by MASTERY out of JANIS'S JOY by BROKEN VOW)
11  MELT WITH YOU Dec08 Oct20       (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MOMMO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.