Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/2)-(5/1/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/2)-(5/1/8/7/2)-(5/1/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/8/2)-(8/2/13/1/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/2)-(8/2/13/1/12)-(3/1/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/2/13/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/13/1/12)-(8/2/13/1/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/13/1/12)-(8/2/13/1/12)-(8/2/13/1/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/13/1/12)-(3/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/13/1/12)-(3/1/4/8)-(9/1/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/8)-(9/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/8)-(9/1/6/8)-(7/5/9/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (9/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/3/8)-(9/1/6/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/6/8)-(7/5/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/8)-(7/5/9/2)-(10/2/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/2)-(7/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/2)-(7/5/9/2)-(7/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/9/2)-(10/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/2)-(10/2/5/3)-(1/2/9/4/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (10/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/3)-(10/2/5/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/3)-(10/2/5/3/9)-(10/2/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/5/3)-(1/2/9/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/5/3)-(1/2/9/4/12)-(9/1/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/2/9/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/4/12)-(1/2/9/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/4/12)-(1/2/9/4/12)-(1/2/9/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/9/4/12)-(9/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/4/12)-(9/1/7/3)-(7/3/11/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (9/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/3)-(9/1/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/3)-(9/1/7/3/4)-(9/1/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/7/3)-(7/3/11/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/3/11/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/11/2/8)-(7/3/11/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/11/2/8)-(7/3/11/2/8)-(7/3/11/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZINGNESS Dec09 Nov17 Oct31 Sep27 Sep06 (rarick l)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  PARTY SWAGGER Dec06 Nov19 Nov08 Nov01 Sep27 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  BELLA MIURA Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul21 Jun10 (harne)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00    
4  DISCO QUEEN Nov25 Nov11 Sep17 Jul23 Jun25 (pita d)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00    
5  KATZ THAT GAL Nov25 Nov11 Oct13 Sep17 Aug18 (d'angelo jos)MORELOS E 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  REDZILLA Sep22 Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 Jul09 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 114 30.00    
7  ROWDY DAISY Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 4.50 ★    
8  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Nov25 Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul21 (puckett d)VARGAS A 121 5.00 6% 15.20    
9  SHEA ON A MISSION Dec06 Nov25 Oct18 Sep25 Aug18 (torres r)LOPEZ E 121 12.00    
10  EXPLOSIVE SKIES Nov16 Oct24 Oct07 Sep30 Sep21 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
 
TAM-2   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S THAT GIRL         (galvan baltazar)WALES GARY 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
2  AZTECA GIRL Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GOLD FOR MY LADY Apr30         (cascallares n)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
4  ALLIE'S HALO Nov29 Oct28 Sep30 Sep22 Aug23 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 3.50    
5  TIME TO SALSA Nov25         (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 124 15.00    
6  THIRSTY DATE Nov29 Dec26 Dec11     (mendieta al)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00    
7  DANKE FUER ALLES Mar18         (orseno f)LOPEZ E 122 5.00    
8  LUNA AMARILLA Nov29 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 (ma)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
9  RAIN OF BLESSING Nov29 Oct19 Sep27 Aug30 Jul27 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 20.00    
10  FIRELANE Sep25 Sep09 Aug26     (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
11  FAMILY STASH Nov29 Oct20       (dobber ar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 30.00    
12  SUMMER GOLD         (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 10.00 6% 15.00    
13  VICIOUS MOVES         (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 122 12.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  BEER BALI Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 Jun10 May20 (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
 
TAM-3   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Nov24 Oct21 Aug04 Jun10 Apr08 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MADEFORSUMMER Oct06 Aug13 Jul16 Jun16 May07 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 15.00    
3  TIKI BAR Feb16 Jan12 Dec09 Sep13 Aug16 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  MISS EASY Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Jul13 Jun20 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 10.00 5% 18.20    
5  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Nov04 Jun18 Apr26 Apr01 Mar15 (knoll d)FERRER C 121 12.00    
6  MOTOWN MIKA Nov01 Sep30 Sep15 Aug01 Jun15 (o'connor )VARGAS A 118 6.00    
7  BURN THE BREEZE Nov24 Oct20 Sep24 Aug25 Jul27 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 118 6.00    
8  BACHELORETTE Nov25 Oct18 Jan21 Dec30 Nov02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  WISHIN N KISSIN Apr22 Apr08 Feb26 Feb08 Jan29 (chavez a)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
 
TAM-4   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING MATINA         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  MAGIC HOOH Oct27 Aug26       (pompay terri)MORELOS E 122 3.00    
3  TIMO Oct22 Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 Jan04 (potts way)VARGAS A 124 4.50 ★    
4  BOLD BLUE Mar15 Feb04       (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
5  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Sep06 Jul19 Jun17 Nov29 Oct27 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00    
6  SHADY BOY         (charlton roshan )FERRER C 122 15.00 11% 8.20    
7  DIVINING STONE Oct25 Oct05 Sep22 Sep10 May25 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 15.00    
8  ALCAZABA (IRE) Nov25 Oct20 Sep02 Jul22 Jun18 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  THE BIG CALICO Nov25 May06 Apr21 Mar15 Mar01 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 117 5.00 34% 2.00    
10  AMERICAN DAY Dec06 Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 Jul14 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00    
 
TAM-5   12/16/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STYLE Nov25 Oct19 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (campbell joel)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 15.00    
2  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Nov29 Aug20 Aug06 Jul20 Jun22 (clay pat)GALLARDO A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHEM MAJOR Nov25 Oct26 Oct04 Sep15 Aug12 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 6.00    
4  DOMINEERING Nov29 Sep22 Sep01 Aug06 Jul23 (perkinson cc)FERRER C 121 12.00    
5  OUR FANTASY Nov29 Oct21 Sep25 Aug17 Jul15 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
6  AFERDITA Nov29 Nov03 Oct06 Sep06 Aug23 (rigattieri jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 5.00    
7  TIZ HERSELF Oct21 Sep14 Jul26 Jun21 Jun01 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
8  SUWANNEE CHICK Sep09 Aug17 Aug04 Jul01 May03 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 30.00    
9  WATERWORKS Nov29 Nov03 Oct06 Sep20 Sep06 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 5.00 6% 14.50    
 
TAM-6   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAIL SOUTHERN Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 May29 Aug27 (ramirez j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
2  HIGH BROW Nov24 Nov01 Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  HOP AND SCOTCH Dec01 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep20 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 6% 17.00    
4  KIDYOUNOT Sep29 Sep07 Aug17 Jul22 Jul05 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
5  SIX WHIPS Oct25 Oct07 Jul15 Jun21 Jun03 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  LITIGANT Dec06 Nov22 Aug23 Aug04 Jul05 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
7  INSTIGATED Nov24 Nov03 Oct21 Oct04 Sep20 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
8  CAMPTOWN RACES Nov22 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 (torres pa)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
9  FUEL THE BERN Oct09 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50 ★    
10  PRACTICAL WAY Dec01 Nov22 Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 (avila carl)CENTENO E 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TAM-7   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSAGE OF LINES Nov25 Oct27 Sep30 Aug10 Jul15 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  WINTER'S GHOST Dec01 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug10 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  SKIPPERINI Oct22 Sep23 Apr29 Apr19 Feb19 (puckett d)VARGAS A 121 30.00    
4  GUILLAUME Dec01 Nov03 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  RARE JEWEL Nov12 Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 Aug04 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00    
6  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Nov04 Oct11 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.50    
SCR  SAN COSTANTINO Nov25 Sep20 Sep01 Aug10 Jun26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 8.00    
SCR  ALVY Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 Aug19 Jun30 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00    
9  FURY KAP Jul29 Jul02 Jun14 May06 Apr15 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00 18% 4.50    
10  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Nov24 Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 Aug10 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
11  EXACTING Nov25 Oct06 May05 Apr22 Feb10 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
12  PYRON Nov24 Oct18 Sep10 Aug06 Jun23 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT RULER Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 Sep23 Jul22 (amado enriqu)ARROYO S 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MR MURGO Dec09 Nov25 May30 May17 Apr08 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 118 30.00    
3  GOLD N SILVER Nov20 Nov07 Oct09 Sep14 Aug02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 20.00 8% 11.90    
4  SPIKEZONE Nov17 Jan18 Dec13 Nov16 Oct20 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 ★    
5  INTER MIAMI Nov24 Aug16 Jul29 Jun28 Jun07 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
6  CHARGING AERO Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 Sep01 May13 (ryan s)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
7  WILDHUNCH Oct22 Oct13 Aug24 Jul13   (galvan baltazar)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
8  CALL ME ICE MAN Jun25 May20 Apr08 Mar15 Feb18 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
9  JUST BEAT THE ODDS Oct22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 Jul02 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
10  SILVER STYLE Nov22 Sep02 Aug02 Jul14 Jun18 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-9   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Aug11 Jun18 May29 Mar17 Nov02 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
2  MISS POLO BAR Sep02 Jul27 Jul02 Jun02 Apr21 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RITAAN Nov22 Oct08 Sep18 Jul18 Jun19 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.50 8% 11.90    
4  BINGO STAR Nov10 Sep16 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
5  LUNA WEST Nov10 Sep07 Aug24 Aug05 Jul07 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00    
6  LADY LANCER Nov01 Oct18 Oct06 Aug24 Aug05 (sepulveda)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
7  R TOOTSIE GLITTER Jul08 Jun11 Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 3.00 59% 0.70    
8  STURDY GIRL Nov24 Aug13 Jul15 Jun04 May20 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  MIGHTY GIN GIN Nov24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug03 Apr23 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
10  SHADY BABY Nov24 Oct04 Aug30 Jul20 Jul08 (mendieta aleja)MARIN SAMUEL 120 30.00    
11  TAYYARA Nov25 Oct29 Oct14 Sep03 Jul23 (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 118 4.00 6% 15.70    
12  QUEEN P Sep09 Aug05       (crichton rohan)LOPEZ E 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.