Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/8)-(5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/8)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8)-(3/1/5)-(6/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(6/4/3)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(6/5)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(3/5/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/5/6/1)-(1/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/1)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/1)-(1/2)-(1/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/4)-(7/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTFELT KARTER Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 Aug18 Jul12 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HEARTFELT by CONGRATS)
2  FOX CREEK Jun22         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MISS ANN PERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  KATERYNA Oct21         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CLASSY CITY LADY by CARSON CITY)
SCR  ENDOW Sep28         (thornbury je)HALDAR J 122 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of RUSTICANA by PIONEERING)
5  CUSSIN N FUSSIN Oct23 Oct03 Sep05 Aug10   (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
6  ROYALLY FLUSHED Oct24 Oct06 Sep23 Sep05 Aug18 (short travis )BRACHO A 122 2.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  MR. BLUTARSKY Oct23 Sep09 Aug26     (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of DELTA PRIDE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
8  MANSION PARTY Oct11 Sep28 Sep11 Aug26 Jul12 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
MVR-2   11/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONTAP Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Aug25 May21 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
2  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul12 Jan01 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
3  HEART OF THE BEAST Sep21 Aug12 Jul29 Jul01 Jun04 (mckanas j)DIAZ I 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  HOLY SKULL Oct31 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 Jul30 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50    
5  RUNNETH OVER Sep27 Sep15 Aug19 Jun12   (bates l)BRACHO A 124 5.00 11% 8.20    
6  DUDE'S MIST DATE Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 Jun26 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   11/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABIOLA PRINCESS Sep07 Aug19 Aug01 Jun17 May20 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
2  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Sep07 Aug19 Jul26 Jun17 May25 (silva fernan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00    
3  JUMP INTO SANITY Oct23 Oct09 Sep19 Aug24 Aug03 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOULSTONE Oct23 Oct07 Sep23 Sep07 Aug15 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
5  MAMITA LINDA Oct07 Aug30 Aug12 Aug01 Jul07 (rodriquez)CORREA L 124 3.00    
6  AYY LADIES Sep25 Sep07 Aug19 Apr30 Apr11 (west m)AVILES YAN 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
7  TORIANNE Oct17 Sep24 Sep05 Jul25 Jul11 (tucker jim)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   11/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PURDY PUMKIN Oct10 Sep21 Aug29 Aug10 Feb14 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50    
2  CONTESSINA Sep21 Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 Jun20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
SCR  SURPRISED GEM Oct30 Aug23 Aug14 May10 Apr09 (bailey ricard)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
4  STORMIN MELLY Oct11 Sep26 Aug30 Aug07 Jul26 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50    
5  PEARLINTHEROUGH Oct17 Sep20 Jun21 Apr30 Apr07 (tumblin an)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 10% 8.80    
6  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Sep08 Aug30 Jul15 Jul06 May20 (simms jr)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
MVR-5   11/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTER WHIZ Sep28 Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (brafford mich)BRACHO A 122 6.00 5% 18.80    
2  OH EYE SEE Oct23 Oct04 Sep19 Jul25 Jul12 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
3  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Oct23 Sep04 Aug03 Jun05 May15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
4  SHAKA'S LYRIC Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
5  QUEENIE ROSE Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 Jul24 Jul04 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Oct23 Sep30 Sep15 Aug14 Jul29 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
7  PENNY'S TREASURE Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 Aug12 Jul25 (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 122 8.00    
8  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Oct03 Sep11 Aug22 Jul19 Jul03 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00    
9  ANGEL'S DESTINY Oct03 Sep20 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 12.00    
 
MVR-6   11/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD N SILVER Oct09 Sep14 Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 70% 0.40    
2  SPEEDY MOBILE Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  OHIO EAGLE Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 10.00    
4  SERVE REVENGE COLD Oct28 Oct09 Sep07 Aug15 Aug02 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 126 3.50    
5  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Oct09 Sep28 Aug28 Jul31 Jul18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Oct24 Oct09 Sep25 Aug23 Aug02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.00 ★    
7  VISUAL MISSION Oct09 Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
 
MVR-7   11/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORABLE WOMAN Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 Jun17   (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  MY D'VALENTINE Sep19 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
SCR  LIAM'S QUALITY Jan09         (west m)AVILES YAN 122 5.00    
4  THERESASILVERLININ Sep14 May05       (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  WICKED WONDER Apr25 Apr03 Feb04 Jan20 Jan05 (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 (gonzalez don)HALDAR J 122 6.00    
 
MVR-8   11/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI CANCION Oct04 Sep21 Feb20 Dec27   (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
2  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Oct21 Oct04 Sep19 Apr06 Mar27 (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
3  CABARET FLEUR Oct21 Aug16 Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 12.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
4  SHE'S A BIG GIRL Oct21 Oct06       (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of GONDOLE by AFLEET ALEX)
5  MOST ADORABLE Oct21 Oct04 Aug30 Jul25 Jul05 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
6  CANELA FINA Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 Aug26 Aug09 (dubie k)PILARES P 124 1.60 25% 3.10    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
7  MOBIL MEMORY Oct21 Oct04 Oct29 Aug31 Aug15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.20 53% 0.90    
  (by MOBIL out of MYGIRLFRIDAY by LUNARPAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.