Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/9/4/11/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/9)-(3/9/4/11/8)-(3/9/4/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9)-(4/1/7/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/9)-(4/1/7/11)-(6/12/9/11/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/1/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/11)-(4/1/7/11/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/11)-(4/1/7/11/5)-(4/1/7/11/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/7/11)-(6/12/9/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/11)-(6/12/9/11/5)-(2/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/12/9/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/9/11/5)-(6/12/9/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/9/11/5)-(6/12/9/11/5)-(6/12/9/11/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/12/9/11/5)-(2/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/12/9/11/5)-(2/1)-(1/6/2/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/6/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/6/2/8)-(4/5/7/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-5   WIN (1/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/8)-(4/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/8)-(4/5/7/2)-(12/4/13/10/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2/3)-(4/5/7/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(12/4/13/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(12/4/13/10/9)-(10/1/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (12/4/13/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/4/13/10/9)-(12/4/13/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/4/13/10/9)-(12/4/13/10/9)-(12/4/13/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/4/13/10/9)-(10/1/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (10/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/8)-(10/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/8)-(10/1/6/8)-(10/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIRED TO GO Jan07         (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00    
CONNECT ME Feb03 Jan05 Dec02 Nov09 Oct22 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
NET WORTH Jan21         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 57% 0.70    
TEXCOCO Feb10 Jan21 Aug13     (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 5.00    
RISKY CHOICE Feb10 Jan05 Nov16 Aug09 Jul15 (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
PRINCE OF ROSES Feb10 Jan06 Dec18 Nov25 Oct20 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00    
VELOCIMO Jan11 Dec30 Nov27 Jul12   (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
SAVVY ON BLANC Feb04         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
LIFE AND LIGHT Feb03 Jan12 Dec11 Oct27   (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 21% 3.70    
10  CHARLIES MEDAL Feb10 Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov23 (kordenbrock)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00    
11  HENDRIX Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
 
TP-2   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSTRIKE (GB)         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.00 16% 5.20    
DRAMA CRITIC Sep14 Aug27 Jul30     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
THE MOTTO Jan20 Oct23       (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 12.00    
IN LIEU Feb02 Jan19       (sha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
NAVY CROSS         (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00    
SCR  PLENTY OF TIME Jan19 Nov23 Sep21     (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
MENDELJOHN (IRE)         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
MONBA QUAKE Feb01 Jan20 Jan05 Dec09 Oct09 (curtsinger )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
BLANTON Feb02 Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Nov06 (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
10  BEAU DAY Feb03 Oct30 Oct09     (hancock jack )BECKMAN ALICE 113 30.00    
11  RIVOLI Nov03 Sep22 Aug30     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 8% 10.90    
12  GIACOMETTI Oct07 Aug21       (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 120 15.00    
 
TP-3   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK CHARGES         (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 30.00    
HONEYTOWN Jan26         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00    
OLIVIA'S JOY Jan04 Dec14 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 (acevedo israel)AYALA ISAIAS 125 20.00    
BODIEFUL Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 (wittek kary)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00    
LADY LIVERMORE Feb03 Dec30 May24     (pitts helen)MOJICA JR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
PARTY NEXT DOOR Jan27 Feb17       (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
ITDOWHATITDO Jan26 Dec22 Nov24 Oct01   (sims ma)DE CRUZ 125 6.00    
SCR  LITTLE JUDY B Mar10         (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00    
DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE) Jul30 Jun30 May15 Mar23 Mar01 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 125 6.00 9% 10.20    
10  CORTADO Feb03 Dec28 Dec02 Nov11 Apr24 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 12.00    
11  ROLLESTON Dec30 Dec15 Nov09 Sep28 Aug07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 5.00 7% 12.50    
12  DEAR BEAU (IRE) Jan26 Dec30 Dec15 Nov06 Oct22 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 125 3.00 13% 6.50    
13  SPIRITCATCHER Feb08 Dec19       (gorder k)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  MISS SOVELIA Feb08 Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 (edgell sharon)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
 
TP-4   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE NORTHER Jan25 Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 Oct16 (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.50 5% 18.20    
COUNTERSTRIKE Jan28 Jun23 Apr21 Mar17 Feb16 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 5.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  GETTIN PAID Jan19 Nov17       (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 117 8.00    
UNDER THE GUN Feb01 Jan11 Nov09     (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00    
GREY CHARMER Nov30 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
FORT LOWELL Jan13 Dec02 Oct26 Oct05 Jun11 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 123 6.00    
SCR  FORREST CITY Feb03 Dec21 Dec08     (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BOSS BEN Dec31 Nov27 Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 (gar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00    
GROUP EIGHTEEN Jan28 Jan06 Nov27 Jul15 Jun03 (williamson bri)MILLER CHASE 123 30.00    
10  SPRINKLEHEAD Jan28 Jan06 Dec15 Jun09 May13 (salas felip)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00    
11  INDIGO RICH Jan28 Nov23 Oct24 Aug15 Jul14 (riley donna)OUZTS W 123 30.00    
12  DREAM TRAVELER Dec09 Nov22 Oct31 Aug22   (wittek karyn)CANNON DECLAN 117 20.00    
SCR  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Feb10 Jan13 May14 Apr10 Mar04 (kordenbrock matt)FELIX E 123 12.00    
SCR  APACHE TEARS Jan20 Dec04 Oct16 Sep03 May14 (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 123 20.00    
 
TP-5   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEBERRY Jan27 Dec09 Oct19 Oct05 Aug30 (rodriguez ger)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 36% 1.70    
TUSKEGEE CAT Feb04 Jan28 Jan04 Nov06 Oct02 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 8.00 8% 11.30    
FRADY Feb15 Jan19 Dec02 Oct18 Sep21 (adams nancy)PETERSON FERRIN 117 12.00    
KENTUCKY MIST Feb09 Jan21 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 (dyer jo)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
SILENT STEVE         (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00    
MINISTERIAL Dec30 Oct13 Aug19 Jun30   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
BRODY'S FLY Jan26 Dec29 Nov19 Apr13 Mar12 (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00    
BEOCCA Jan21 Dec31 Dec07 Sep28 Sep12 (castanon)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
WRITEITONTHEICE Jan28 Jan20 Dec30 Nov16 Oct28 (fernandez edwa)SANJUR SANTO 124 6.00    
10  MR. CUNNINGHAM Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec31 Dec16 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
11  FATHER PATRICK Feb11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 Sep27 (hernandez javie)MOJICA JR 122 30.00    
12  KING SHAMAN Feb11 Jan12 Dec30 Nov19 Sep10 (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 117 15.00    
SCR  GOLQUIST Jan28 Dec04 Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 (bogle fergus)HEARD TYLER 124 10.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED Feb04 Jan05 Dec22 Nov17 Sep09 (hernandez jav)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
 
TP-6   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETLY WICKED Mar04         (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
STRONG ODOR Jan28 Dec09 Oct29 Sep30   (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00 8% 11.40    
QUEROBIN DOURADA Dec30 Dec01 Oct16 Sep13 Aug06 (lobo h)RAMOS D 123 2.50    
ALTERED SHOT Jan28 Dec15 Nov20 Nov10 Sep25 (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
THUNDER LOVE (GB) Jan12 Dec15 Oct22 Sep15 Aug15 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
BABY NO WORRIES Jan26 Dec30 Dec01 Sep29 Sep21 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.50    
PRAISE AND HONOR Dec09 Oct19       (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  THE PHARAOH'S GIRL Nov06 Jun05 May20 Mar13 Feb19 (wong jo)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
 
TP-7   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLBRIAR Dec16 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep22 (guida ant)BERMUDEZ E 123 30.00    
MERLIN'S SONG Jan27 Dec03 Oct10 May31 May15 (foster eric)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00    
OXWOOD Dec16 Oct27 Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 (woodbury judy)HEARD TYLER 123 30.00    
PAGE ONE Jan27 Nov04 Sep22     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
NATHAN DETROIT Jan01 Dec15 Nov06 Oct23 Oct02 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 20.00    
HILARIOUS AFFAIR Jan27 Nov06 Sep25 Sep04 Jul31 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  GHENT Feb10 Dec28 Oct09 Oct03 Sep11 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 117 15.00    
EXPLOSIVE Feb09 Jan07 Nov19 Oct02 Aug19 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00    
FENESTRA Jan27 Dec30 Sep23 Sep02 Jul31 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BOISE Jan28 Jan01 Dec21 Oct26 Aug27 (maker michae)RAMOS D 123 8.00 9% 9.60    
11  AMERICAN ICON Feb03 Jan27 Dec31 Dec14 Nov27 (vasquez germ)HALDAR J 123 20.00    
12  SAMURAI PRINCE Jul01 May29 May05 Mar18 Feb11 (morey w)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
13  ANGKOR Dec18 Nov25 Oct14 May30   (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 123 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
TP-8   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SANDRIN Jan20         (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
SCR  QUIET RIDE Jan20 Dec29       (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SOFT WHISPER (IRE) by DUBAWI (IRE))
MIDNIGHT NOIR Feb03         (sanchez j)HISBY RONALD 120 30.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of CANTHANDLETHETRUTH by BERNSTEIN)
GLEN AIRY Nov05         (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of MY FAVORITE TUNE by MARIA'S MON)
QUALITY CHIC         (mcpeek ken)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
WHAT A BLAST Jan20 Dec31 Dec02 Oct09 Sep05 (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BLAST by ROAR)
SCAT TU TAP Jan27 Jan05 Nov18 Oct23 Oct02 (ortiz jo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
MAMBA FOREVER Jan28 Jan07 Dec11 Oct22 Sep30 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BOURBONSTREETGIRL by LANGFUHR)
NOISES OFF Jan28 Nov26       (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UZZIEL by HARLINGTON)
10  BOOK OF KELLS Feb03 Jan06 Jun26 May29 May04 (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of HIT GIRL by FIRST SAMURAI)
11  STONEMONT REUNION Jan20 Dec29       (rider dav)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PROUD REUNION by PROUD CITIZEN)
12  DUBAI AND BACK (IRE)         (ewing a)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STUBBINS by MORNING LINE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT RISING         (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JET BLACK MAGIC by HOLD ME BACK)
SCR  POST TENEBRAS LUX         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LA MANTA GRIS by LEMON DROP KID)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.