Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMSON ZIP Feb18 Feb04       (broberg k)TORRES A 122 4.50 8% 12.20    
2  ATRAS Nov25 Oct20 Sep28 Aug26 Jul04 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00 7% 12.50    
3  KEESAWAH Oct27 Oct14 Sep03 Jul03 Jun11 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
4  DR. FORMAN Nov12 Oct14 Oct07 Sep13 Aug30 (combs bentley)JUAREZ NIK 122 10.00 7% 12.90    
5  COAL TRUTH Nov21 Oct20 Sep23 Sep08 Aug19 (petalino joe)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
6  GOLD VERMILION Oct26 Oct08 Jul22 Jun25 May13 (hew)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
7  FOREVAMO Nov09 Oct27 Aug30 Jul24 Jun23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Oct02 Aug18 Jul20 Jun11 May16 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
9  NEWS BOX Aug28 Aug13 Jun24 May27 May07 (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
 
OP-2   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOBO IRISH Nov09         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 30.00    
2  SHAKE UP Nov19 Sep24       (cal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00    
3  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Jul13         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 116 1.20 62% 0.60    
SCR  READY SHOES         (wilson me)DE CRUZ 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  OUTLAW RUN         (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  STUCK N SNOW Nov24         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 119 3.50    
7  K J'S LEGACY         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  RUDIANO Nov22 Aug08 Jul29     (loy dewaine)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
9  JIM NED Jul03 May20       (pish danny)BAZE C 119 30.00    
SCR  GREAT BARRIER Oct23         (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
11  WICKED PRINCE         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00    
12  CHOCTAW ZIP Sep13         (witt ii)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
SCR  TIME ANDBEYOND Oct21         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  WESTHEIMER STREET         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
OP-3   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL'S LI'L MAN Oct02 Sep04 Jul18 Jun19 May27 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  EVEN THUNDER Nov13 Oct27 Oct11 Sep29 Sep14 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  VIOLENT GIGI Nov27 Nov14 Sep21 Aug04 Jul12 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50    
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS Nov05 Oct14 Oct01 Aug30 Aug05 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.60 18% 4.60    
5  HOT PASTRAMI Nov17 Oct14 Sep23 Jul07 Apr08 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 124 6.00    
6  LOVE MY JIMMY Nov18 Sep22 Sep04 Jul08 May08 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  DRENA'S STAR Nov09 Sep23 Jun10 May12 Apr23 (duncan tr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 6% 14.50    
8  ACOSTA Nov11 Oct28 Oct08 Sep14 Jun16 (moysey chelse)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
 
OP-4   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J'S LITTLE MAN May30 May16 Apr22 Apr10 Mar24 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
2  BIG SUCCESS Jul16 Jul04 May07 Apr22 Apr03 (prather j)TORRES A 120 10.00    
3  HOLDING PATTERN Oct03 Sep04 Aug02 Jul04 May29 (swearingen tom )BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00    
4  BELLAMYS ROAN Jun22 May25 May07 Apr22 Apr02 (westermann ron)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
5  BUDDY REAUX Nov19 Nov04 Oct06 Sep21 Aug29 (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
6  GOODNIGHT ARCHIE May07 Apr23 Apr02 Feb26 Jan15 (hornsby t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.00    
7  MAHOMEY Oct02 Jun04 Apr23 Apr09 Apr02 (morse randy )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00 ★    
8  BETTYS CASH Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar11   (von donn)QUINONEZ S 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
9  MARVELOUS THUNDER Sep14 Aug10 Jun01 Apr30 Mar27 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 15.00 14% 6.30    
10  DOC IRWIN Nov04 Oct06 Sep26 Sep03 Aug27 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
11  AFLEET SKY Mar18 Feb26 Jan01     (mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
12  MO CHOCTAW Feb26 Jan15       (chleborad lynn)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  SMOKIN BOOTS Oct26 Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug08 (gleason tyro)JORDAN R 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  THE HEAT IS ON Oct19 Sep16 May08 Apr27 Apr05 (pish danny)BAZE C 122 20.00    
 
OP-5   12/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICAGO'S GRAY Nov19         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
2  SEAS OF NORMANDY Nov17 Oct21 Sep21     (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 ★    
3  SIX WHIPS Oct29         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 30.00    
4  THE BOOKKEEPER Sep25 Sep11 Aug19 Jul30   (divito p)BAZE C 119 15.00    
5  JUILLIARD         (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  BUBBA CAN DANCE         (stewart dalla)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
7  COWBOY VALUES         (amoss m)JUAREZ NIK 119 4.00 ★    
8  LARK'S MISCHIEF Nov19         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
9  J J'S JOKER Oct30         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
10  SPURRIER         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  FUNNY UNCLE Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Aug29   (vance d)COURT K 119 30.00    
12  RUNNINGFORCASH Oct21         (anderson dou)JORDAN R 119 12.00 9% 10.00    
 
OP-6   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKELLY Nov17 Oct02 Jul31     (asmussen steven )JUAREZ NIK 118 1.60 28% 2.50    
2  TWISTED DIXIE Sep07 Aug20 Jul27 Jun25 Jun02 (cline n)HARR KELSI 115 20.00    
3  TANGO CHARLIE Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 Aug25 Jul20 (amoss thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 ★    
4  TAPIT'S SPIRIT Nov09 Oct17 Sep22 Aug02 Jul20 (matthews randy)BEJARANO R 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  TOTALIZER Nov10 Oct26 Sep15 Aug27 Jul24 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 118 15.00    
6  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Nov17 Sep22 Jun19 May28 May07 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
7  NAMESAKE Oct05 Sep15 Jun16 May31 Apr02 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 30.00    
8  UNCAPTURED SKY Nov04 Sep29 Aug19     (anderson dou)JORDAN R 118 30.00    
9  DON'T FORGET Nov12 Oct15 Sep21 Aug26 Jul24 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
10  GEAUX YOSHKA Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 Jun18 (robertson mclean)BAZE C 118 30.00    
11  IGNITIS Nov16 Oct14 Sep17 Jul29 Jun25 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
12  YOU VEE CEE Oct16 Sep30 May08 Apr23 Apr02 (deville c)TORRES A 115 20.00    
SCR  JACKMAN Nov18 Oct15 Sep29 Sep16 Sep08 (broberg k)TORRES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TORONTOTORO Nov13 Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 Aug16 (mcentee paul)BEJARANO R 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
 
OP-7   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH OF MISCHIEF Nov05 Sep25 Aug19 Jul27 Jul09 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  LONG RANGE TODDY Nov13 Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 Jul30 (stewart dallas)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
3  BOLDOR Oct28 Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 May30 (asmussen stev)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00 ★    
4  BAYTOWN BEAR Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 (mcentee paul)COURT K 117 15.00    
5  ONE FOR RICHIE Nov02 Sep15 Jul31 Jul06 Jun11 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
6  KAVOD Nov13 Sep21 Aug26 May07 Apr02 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.00 6% 16.30    
7  CHATTALOT Nov24 Oct19 Mar09 Feb10   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 ★    
 
OP-8   12/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOON OVER DUBAI Oct30         (peitz c)BAZE C 119 30.00    
2  BOUGIE JOE Nov15         (hobby steve)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  MILLERS RITE Oct30 Oct01 Aug17     (vance d)COURT K 119 30.00    
SCR  LEOLA Oct23 Sep22       (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 114 30.00    
5  WINTERS LION Nov16 Nov03 Sep21     (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  WILD SEAN Oct20 Sep22       (von donn)QUINONEZ S 119 15.00    
7  ROCKING ROCKET Aug21         (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 12.00    
8  RUNGIUS Nov13 Sep15 Aug05 Jun26   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  ITWASTHISBIG Nov06         (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
10  EMPIRE'S BEST Oct21         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 ★    
11  DELUCA         (mott rile)TORRES A 119 15.00    
12  PARKWAY Oct30 Sep03       (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  PIER PRESSURE         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 119 30.00    
SCR  BACKSIDE BUZZ Nov26 Oct30 Oct09 Jul17 Jun25 (vance d)BAZE C 119 30.00    
 
OP-9   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COACH Nov19 Oct01 Feb12 Jan08   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  ICE ORCHID Nov19 Oct23 Sep18 Feb26 Feb11 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 8% 12.20    
3  LOVELY RIDE Aug13 Jul09 Mar26 Jan22   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 8.00 ★    
4  WILL'S SECRET Nov25 Oct29 Sep16 Jul03 Jun12 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 ★    
5  LISETTE Sep05 Jun10 Apr30 Mar27 Jan23 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
6  LE DA VIDA (CHI) Oct29 Sep15       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 1.60 47% 1.10    
7  SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) Oct22 Sep06 Jul09 Jun30 Jun04 (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
 
OP-10   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDIT POINT May07 Apr10 Apr02 Mar05 Feb13 (cline n)HARR KELSI 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAKE RADIO Nov14 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Jul29 (smith p)DIAZ RENE 113 20.00    
3  GOLDEN HORNET Nov21 Nov06 Oct01 Aug13 Jul19 (rivelli larry)BAZE C 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
4  BROKEN RIB Nov23 Oct17 Sep16 Aug04 Mar19 (amoss thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50    
5  B SUDD Nov17 Apr23 Mar25     (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
6  DIAMOND CITY Aug19 Jul17       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 20.00    
7  AMERICAN XPERIMENT Apr08 Feb27 Jan15     (asmussen stev)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.50    
8  AMONGST FRIENDS Oct27 Sep24 Aug25 Aug04 Jul01 (shorter aaron)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00 ★    
9  BLAME ELI Sep19 Aug26 Jul23 Jun27 Jun03 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 20.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE Oct15 Aug07 Jul08 Jun25 May21 (martin ti)TORRES A 120 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN PURE Nov03 Oct23 Oct01 Aug20 Jul15 (schultz lind)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 15.00    
12  BEN DIESEL Nov09 Oct08 May07 Apr02 Feb26 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 ★    
13  GIVE IT EVERYTHING Oct27 Sep25 Sep01 Jul16 Jun25 (pish danny)BAZE C 120 10.00    
14  MRS. BEANS Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jul27 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.