Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (1/7/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-3   Win (7/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (3/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (5/2/7/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-6   Win (10/2/7/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-7   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (1/8/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (5/11/1/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-10   Win (4/8/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   12/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACING COLORS Nov03 Oct10 Sep13 Aug22 Jul18 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUNNY GRAB Nov15 Oct13 Aug14 Jul24 Jun08 (de horac)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
MALU Oct24 Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 May23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
CALL HER BLUFF Oct27 Oct10 Aug25 Aug03 Jul04 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00    
CLOVER STREET Oct20 Sep26 Feb19 Dec15 Nov03 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 16% 5.10    
KRYSTALHEIR Nov18 Oct29 Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 (coffey m)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
 
AQU-2   12/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTAL SILENCE Nov02         (delgado gustavo)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
GUNMAN JAYVO Nov23         (persaud ra)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 15.00    
VIKING WARRIOR Nov03 Oct05       (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
MONTE AVI Nov02 Oct05 Aug31 Jul19   (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 10% 8.70    
SOLAR GLARE Nov01 Oct18 Sep02     (synnefias dim)RAMOS O 119 12.00 8% 10.90    
MAN FROM MALTA Jul07 Jun20 May10     (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
GOODBYE         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 30% 2.40    
UNCLE BARRIE Nov17 Oct18 Oct06     (metivier richar)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
TINO IN TOGA Nov15 Oct27 Sep28     (sciacca gary)RUIZ ELISEO 119 30.00    
10  SOBIESKI Nov18 Oct23 Oct08 Sep09   (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRINITY RIVER Nov30 Nov03 Oct19 Aug30   (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20    
 
AQU-3   12/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERZ SMART Oct06         (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 4.50 33% 2.00    
A BOURBON FOR TOBY Nov09         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 9% 10.70    
SCR  SNOOKIE BEAR Nov10 Oct12 Sep07     (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SUPERPOWER (GB)         (clement )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
TAKE HOME THE CUP         (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
NO MERLOT Nov10 Oct12 Sep14     (kimmel john )RIVERA R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
TREATY OF ROME Oct26         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 38% 1.70    
RADAUTI Nov10         (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
TIMELY DECISION         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
 
AQU-4   12/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 Go Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZZY IN THE SKY Jun08 Apr14 Feb17 Dec02 Nov03 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
STONEWALL STAR Oct27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun09 Mar24 (de horacio)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
OCCULT Oct06 Jul26 Jun29 May12 Oct28 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
MOVIE MOXY Nov22 Nov03 Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
COMPARATIVE Apr14 Mar09 Feb02 Jan06 Nov25 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
RACHEL'S ROCK Nov03 Oct06 Aug11 Feb21 Dec17 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 30.00    
SCR  AIN'T BROKE May04 Apr06 Feb25 Jan27 Dec14 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00    
SHIDABHUTI Oct13 Aug24 Jun15 May04 Apr06 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-5   12/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARN THAT SONG Nov01 Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug13 (ferraro anthon)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
FIRST CLASS CAT Nov21 Nov01 Sep19 Jul18 Jun30 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
SNAPPIN BUTTONS Nov30 May09 Apr11 Mar01   (arriaga an)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
FABULOUS FOX Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 Oct09 Sep19 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
AL'S RUBY Apr06         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
KAATERSKILL Nov17 Oct20 May11 Apr06   (dunham g)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
PEONY Nov03 Apr06 Mar22 Feb10   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6% 15.40    
EMBRACEABLE GAL Nov05 Oct14 Sep17 Aug14 Jul22 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
NOLITA Oct24 Sep27 Aug29 Sep24 Aug12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
10  HYPNOTIC FLAIR Nov12 Oct29 Oct15     (duggan david)RIVERA R 120 30.00    
11  P MUTTER PICKLE Jun09 Dec14 Nov19     (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 
AQU-6   12/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OBSERVER         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00    
SCR  ARMY GAL         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
OKLAHOMA SMOKE         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
UNWOKE Oct25         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
MIAVANA Jun28         (maker michae)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PARTY AT THE POST         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
CURRANE         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
TOWER TWENTY TWO Nov09 Sep13       (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 21% 3.90    
LEONORA'S SECRET Oct20         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
ELENI Nov03 Oct05       (synnefias dim)RAMOS O 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TALE OF THE TAIL         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-7   12/07/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 Remsen Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUX Nov09         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
AVIATOR GUI Oct19 Sep28 Aug10     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
POSTER Oct12 Aug19       (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
STUDLYDORIGHT Nov02 Sep28 Sep02 Jul13 Jun06 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50    
KEEWAYDIN Oct12 Aug24       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 30% 2.30    
SCR  SURFSIDE MOON Oct19 Sep28 Aug22 Jul24 Jun05 (lawrence le)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
GUN TRADER Nov04 Oct19 Oct10 Sep21 Aug20 (st u)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
 
AQU-8   12/07/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 Demoiselle Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUHIMMA Nov01 Sep20       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 0.80 47% 1.10    
LIAM IN THE DUST Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 Aug11   (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 9% 10.00    
FORTUNA MIA Nov02 Aug18 Jun30 May13   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
CARMEN'S CANDY JAR Oct27 Sep22 Aug25 Jul11 Jun23 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MICHELLE Oct26         (russell brittany )DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
BLESS THE BROKEN Nov15 Oct18 Jul05     (walden william)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
FIVE A SIDE Nov02 Sep21 Aug19 Aug03   (servis c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
BEAUTY REIGNS Nov08         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
TIP LINE Nov02 Oct07       (st u)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
10  BALLERINA D'ORO Oct04 Sep08 Aug04     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
 
AQU-9   12/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC13 Cigar Mile Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK'EM DANNO Oct19 Aug24 Jul19 Jun08 Jan13 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
NELSON AVENUE Oct26 Sep15 Aug18 Aug08 Jul13 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
REPO ROCKS Oct26 Sep21 Aug22 Aug12 Jul20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
VINSANITY Nov09 Oct25 Sep27 Sep15 Aug31 (arriaga an)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 50.00    
MULLIKIN Nov02 Aug24 Jul06 Jun08 Apr26 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  LAW PROFESSOR Oct25 May05 Feb23 Jan26 Dec23 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
LOCKED Oct19 Nov03 Oct07 Sep01 Aug05 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
PIPELINE Sep19 Aug11 May03 Apr10 Jan27 (devaux cherie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SENOR BUSCADOR Nov02 Sep28 Aug24 Jan27 Dec02 (fincher w)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
10  COASTAL MISSION Oct26 Sep21 Aug23 Jul06 Jun15 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 12.00 6% 14.60    
11  POST TIME Nov02 Sep14 Aug03 Jun08 May03 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
AQU-10   12/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT THE WAY Nov11 Oct14 Aug28 Jul13 May16 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 30.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Nov10 Oct12 Sep20 Aug17 Aug01 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
SCR  STILL A SOLDIER Oct15 May10 Mar31     (antonacci philip)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
COMMUTED Nov10 Sep29 Jul13 Jun21   (falcone robert )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
AIR OF DEFIANCE Oct04 Oct18 Aug25     (summers chad)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
TREATY OBLIGATION Oct19 Aug24 Jun30 May16 Jul21 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
REYNOLDS CHANNEL Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 Jun15 May19 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 14% 6.10    
QUICK TO ACCUSE Oct05 Jun08 Apr26 Mar24 Jan13 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Nov09 Nov01 Oct13 Sep14 Aug22 (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 12.00 9% 9.70    
10  NIGHT EFFECT Oct12 Sep21 Jul31 Jul18 May27 (samsundar rosh)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  IRIDESCENT Oct31 Sep15 Aug11 Jul18 May12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.