Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - November 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/6)-(2/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/6)-(2/4/5/3)-(3/1/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/3)-(3/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/3)-(3/1/2/6)-(5/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/6)-(5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/6)-(5/8/4)-(1/7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/4)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4)-(1/7/4/2)-(11/6/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(11/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(11/6/3/10)-(5/10/4/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (11/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/6/3/10)-(11/6/7/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/6/3/10)-(11/6/7/3/10)-(11/6/7/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/6/3/10)-(5/10/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/6/3/10)-(5/10/4/3/8)-(6/8/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/10/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/4/3/8)-(5/10/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/4/3/8)-(5/10/4/3/8)-(5/10/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/4/3/8)-(6/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/10/4/3/8)-(6/8/5/2)-(2/4/10/5/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-8   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/2)-(2/4/10/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/4/10/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/10/5/9)-(2/4/10/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/10/5/9)-(2/4/10/5/9)-(2/4/10/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY EVABODY Sep26 Aug23       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by MITOLE out of ROO'S VALENTINE by VRONSKY)
MORE THAN GRACE         (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRACE OF GRACE by PETIONVILLE)
LUCILLE BALL         (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SASSY REDHEAD by HENNY HUGHES)
SAVE THE QUEEN Sep15         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of R GIRLS A CHARMER by IN SUMMATION)
WIND FLOWER Sep26         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLAMED by BLAME)
MELANCIA         (atras ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HOLY FASHION by HOLY BULL)
GAME CHASER         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SHEHADMEFROMHELLO by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
AQU-2   11/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONSINO Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TEAM SPORT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
UPSTANDING Oct05 Aug15 Jul13     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MANNERLY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GLINT Oct03 Aug24 Jul31 Apr21 Mar24 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
INDEX FUND Sep29 Aug04 Nov19     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of FANTASY FOREST by FORESTRY)
DARK DEVIL Oct03 Jul31 Jun15 May10 Apr26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 6% 16.20    
  (by MITOLE out of RARE BIT by ELTISH)
HAPPY HENRY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of RENDA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
PARTY WITH SMARTY Oct18 Oct05 Sep19 Sep02 Apr21 (gutierr)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 50.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
AQU-3   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUERTE Oct17 Sep13 Aug21 Jul13 Jun08 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00    
1A  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Aug21 Jul25 Jun30 May04 Mar30 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
FLAT OUT FLYING Oct17 Sep23 Aug27 Jul25 May01 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
BOLD ENDEAVOR Jan27 Dec29 Nov26 Oct26 Oct01 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
HE'S GOT THIS Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 Aug15 May31 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
MYSTIC NIGHT Oct18 Sep13 Aug01 Jun21 Mar29 (schauer st)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Oct17 Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 Jul11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 6% 16.40    
ALTERNATE REALITY Oct19 Oct05 Sep19 Jul20 Jul12 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
 
AQU-4   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT THE FIRST TIME Oct03         (de h)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOONLIGHT SERENADE by FR (DICTUS)
TEJANITA Aug11         (mcgaughe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TEJANA by CURLIN)
SCR  DECREE AND DECLARE Sep15         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
MY SHERRONA         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00 9% 10.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CLASS INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
TARATEL         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SCARLET STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
LATHAM RIDGE Sep07         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of MI VIDA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  STONE COLD KELLY         (lawrence jam)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BEAUTY REIGNS         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ILSA by TAPIT)
 
AQU-5   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTI XTREME Oct10 Aug16 Jun21 Apr18 Mar15 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
JOLLY MISS JILL Oct10 Sep15 Jul25 Jun21 May10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRINGOTTS Oct10 Sep29 Sep15 Aug03 Jul14 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
SISTER LINDA May25 May10 Mar22 Mar08 Feb02 (schetti)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00 9% 10.30    
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Oct20 Sep29 Aug29 Aug18 Jul28 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 121 4.50    
REIGNING CHICK Jul20 Apr25 Mar28 Mar02 Feb11 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50    
HALO CITY Oct20 Aug16 Aug03 Apr18 Mar01 (walder pe)VARGAS A 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
JOEY THE FISH Oct10 Jul25 Jun21 May24 May10 (persaud )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 15.00    
 
AQU-6   11/08/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR CONSCIENCE Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
BORN DANCER Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Jul21 Jun21 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
MAXWELL ESQUIRE Oct26 Oct05 Sep01 Aug17 Jul24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
CABLE READY Sep27 Sep15 Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 15.00    
B D SAINTS Oct18 Sep21 Aug25 Aug15 Jul18 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Oct12 Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 Jun20 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
GEM MINT TEN Oct12 Sep15 Jul27 Jun20 Apr28 (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
DREAMPOINT Oct10 Jul21 Jun16 Jun08 May18 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
SCR  LOCKE AND KEY Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 (ryerson james )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00    
10  LAUREL VALLEY Oct12 Aug31 Aug17 Jul28 Jun20 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Oct12 Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 May24 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  AGENT CREED Oct12 Sep15 Aug17 Jul19 May17 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Sep21 Aug24 Jul26 Jun23 May11 (schettin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00    
SCR  CALL ME HARRY Sep15 Aug17 Jul13 Jun15 May17 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.00    
SCR  SHADOW DRAGON Sep28 Aug01 Jun27 May26 Dec07 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.00    
 
AQU-7   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BADLANDS RULER Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Aug18 Aug11 (chatte)GRISALES DANILO 120 20.00    
WHENLOVETAKESOVER Oct10 Sep14 Jul21 Jun16 May18 (quick patr)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Oct10 Sep19 Sep01 Jul13 Jun16 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
COLLECTED SPECIAL Jun22 May12 Apr26 Mar21 Feb04 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
DEVIL'S CAY Oct10 Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 Jul12 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
HE'S GOT IT Oct13 Sep15 Aug15 Jan27 Jan04 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
DADS GOOD RUNNER Jun22 Apr07 Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 8.00    
KREESA Oct25 Oct05 Aug31 Jul21 Jun22 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHALKY CAT Oct10 Sep21 Aug16 Mar29 Feb29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
10  THANK YOU JON Oct10 Sep21 Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 (romero j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-8   11/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pebbles Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEA MATRONA (FR) Sep02 Jul19 May11 Sep16   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
  (by DARK ANGEL out of EVERGLADES by TEOFILO)
NO MO CANDY Sep20 Jul26 Jun27     (joseph saffie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SWEET by BLAME)
SEE YOU AROUND (IRE)         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BESOTTED by BOURBON COURAGE)
WHISKEY DECISION Sep13 Aug17 Jul08 May10 Mar23 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUNNY SONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
JODY'S PRIDE Apr05 Mar02 Nov03 Oct08 Aug09 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 10% 9.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) Oct12 Jul20 Jun22 May05 Feb10 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZURIGHA by CAPE CROSS)
MACANGA Oct12 Sep14 Aug02 Jun22 May05 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HIGHWAY MARY by U S RANGER)
WAY TO BE MARIE Jun01 May03 Mar21 Feb01 Dec14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 31% 2.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WOMAN OF THE WORLD by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  SAVE US MELANIA Sep19 Aug11 May30 Mar13 Feb14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WELLINGTON BEAUTY by FORESTRY)
SCR  BEST IMPRESSION Aug31 Mar10 Jan27     (bartkowski lisa)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DELICATE LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
 
AQU-9   11/08/2024 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Autumn Days Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLLYWOOD WALK Oct12 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of WALK OF STARS by STREET SENSE)
DONTLOOKBACKATALL Oct13 Aug31 Jul25 Jun24 May05 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CELTIC ARCH by ARCH)
SCR  ALL THAT MAGIC Sep14 Aug11 Jun22 May17 Nov17 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of HERMIONE'S MAGIC by FOREST WILDCAT)
TOUPIE (GB) Sep28 Jul12 Jun16 May11 Dec02 (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AMERTUME by TAPIT)
LOON CRY Oct12 Sep14 Aug03 Jun15 Mar23 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 5% 17.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINAL ESCROW by BERNARDINI)
GOLDEN HOSTESS (SAF) Oct18         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by GOLD STANDARD out of HOSTA by FRENCH DEPUTY)
MZ BIG BUCKS Oct19 Sep13 Aug08 Jul11 May24 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
SCR  YESTERNIGHT Sep29 Aug24 Jul23 Jun09 Oct27 (schultz li)RIVERA R 120 30.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BETTER NOT BLINK by HARD SPUN)
MOHAWK TRAIL Oct17 Mar24 Mar02 Sep02 Jul22 (danner kelsey)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of IROQUOIS GIRL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  LOVE APPEALS Oct12 Sep14 Aug11 Jul19 May26 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  UNION DOLLY Sep22 Jul20 Dec21 Nov12 Jun01 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TWO QUARTERS by MR. JOHN)
12  RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Oct12 Sep14 Jun28 Apr21 Feb23 (brown chad )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of PRICELESS by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
SCR  SECURITY CODE Oct27 Aug16 Jun23 Mar24 Feb17 (bartkowski lis)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.