Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6)-(2/9/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(2/9/3/1)-(7/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-3   WIN (2/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/1)-(2/9/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/1)-(2/9/3/1/6)-(2/9/3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/3/1)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/3/1)-(7/1/3)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(3/5/6)-(5/10/1/16) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/10/1/16) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/10/1/16)-(3/6/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (5/10/1/16) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/1/16)-(5/10/1/4/16) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/10/1/16)-(5/10/1/4/16)-(5/10/1/4/16) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/10/1/16)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/10/1/16)-(3/6/2/5)-(2/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CD-7   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(2/6)-(4/10/8/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CD-8   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(4/10/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CD-9   WIN (4/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/6)-(4/10/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/6)-(4/10/8/6/7)-(4/10/8/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFT POCKET MONEY Nov10 Oct17 Oct02 Sep06 Aug18 (pittman bonn)MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAUSE A RUCKUS Mar15 Jan31       (catalano wayne)ROCCO S 118 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  BAYOU MAGIC Feb09 Dec23 Sep15     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  GIMME LOVE May10 Aug13       (zito nichola)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 15.00    
5  FALCON QUEST Apr27 Mar16 Mar01 Dec22   (bright der)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
6  ROYAL COURT Oct21 Jun13 Mar05 Jan01 Mar12 (molloy thoma)TORRES A 125 4.00 13% 6.40    
7  AUDEN May18 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 Oct31 (santamari)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.00    
 
CD-2   06/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEITFUL SAM Mar21 Mar09 Feb16 Jan06 Sep04 (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
2  I'M WIDE AWAKE May05 Apr13 Mar30 Mar14 Feb16 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 3.00 18% 4.60    
3  LIKE A SALTSHAKER May10 Mar15 Jan11 Dec02 Nov04 (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.40 44% 1.30    
4  CAN MAN DO Mar15 Feb17 Sep04 Aug02 Jun11 (moreno irv)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
5  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Apr13 Mar07 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 (becker sco)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
6  PICO D'ORO May18 Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 Dec29 (caramori )TORRES A 118 6.00 6% 17.20    
 
CD-3   06/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINTS MONEY May12 Apr20       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 7% 14.20    
2  AIR FORCE CRUISING May11 Feb08       (vanden ber)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  MALIBLUE May17 Apr30 Mar15     (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 8% 11.10    
4  BALTIMORE HEART Apr19 Mar13 Feb13 Jan12 Dec16 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
5  CLAY KICKER         (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
6  MO HOPE Apr30 Sep02 Jun02 Apr28 Jan21 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 124 12.00 ★    
7  KEYPAD         (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
SCR  GRAND SAM Apr30         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50    
9  ALILNALOT Sep17 Jul30 Jun10 May13 Mar24 (catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
10  TIE BREAKER LENNIE Mar13 Feb29 Dec24     (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
CD-4   06/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYMAC Apr19 Apr06 Mar16 Mar01 Oct16 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  CHROMED IMPULSE May18 Mar01 Jan26 Jan14 Dec27 (cahill f)BUSH V 118 12.00    
3  J W RUCKUS May21 May07 Apr16 Mar28 Mar09 (livers charl)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  IMPROBABLE STORY May10 Nov01 Sep27 Jul06 May26 (king barry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
5  VOODOO ZIP May10 Apr14 Mar22 Mar07 Dec15 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
6  HUNTERTOWN May21 Apr24 Apr03 Jan30 Jan13 (hernandez)BEALMEAR C 111 10.00    
7  LEADER OF MEN Apr27 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  ONE FOR RICHIE May16 Apr27 Apr12 Feb15 Feb01 (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
 
CD-5   06/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC PERFORMER Apr27 Apr10 Mar03 Jan07 Nov02 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00    
2  JE SUIS RAPIDE May23 May11 Jun23 May13 May02 (king barry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00    
3  THESTRAL Apr27 Mar30 Feb04 Jan25 Jan01 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  ROCK STAR DOCTOR May18 Apr11 Jan27 Nov18 Oct27 (troiani n)TORRES A 118 8.00    
5  WINDY BAY May09 Apr04 Feb04 Dec29 Oct18 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
6  DIVINELY BOLT May09 Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 Jan03 (simms jr)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVIE'S ENCORE Apr27 Mar24 Feb04 Nov12 Sep23 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 3.50    
 
CD-6   06/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAFE RACER Mar23 Jan11 Dec15 Oct06 Jun10 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 10.00 9% 10.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
2  HE'S ELUSIVE Jan26 Dec08       (jackson chr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of HEART OF CHARLEI by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  ROYAL CAROL Apr19         (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  LIEUTENANT GENERAL Apr06 Jan09       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LADY SHIPMAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  TROUBLE'S ROARING Apr26 Mar23 Mar01 Jan26 Dec08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FRANDERELLA by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  FIREFIGHT         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CACHE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  SANG         (begley gr)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CAPRI SONG by MORE THAN READY)
8  BANJO CHRIS Mar01 Feb16       (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STORMY GIGI by STORM BOOT)
9  GLACIAL POWER May12 Mar06 Jul08     (camejo jos)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
10  ALCOVE Apr26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STRUCTURE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PROSPERO (IRE) Sep22         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of POSSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
SCR  PRINCE OF POWER Apr06 Mar23 May03 Apr20 Apr07 (vosler eugen)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  DROBNY May17 Mar07 Feb12 Jan12 Dec09 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
14  D DAY         (atras rob)TORRES A 118 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ENHANCED SCAT Apr14 Feb16 Jan26     (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
16  NOT SO HOLY Aug19         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ALTAGRACIA by FLATTER)
 
CD-7   06/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MADISON May01 Nov26 Dec21 Nov23 Oct20 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
2  POPPERINA Apr17 Mar24 Feb17 Dec17   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  SUNDANCE FEATURE May03 Mar28       (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.40 34% 1.90    
4  DEVIL BLUE DRESS Jan18 Nov26 Nov03 Oct07   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 20.00    
5  OUR KEEPSAKE May16 Apr26 Apr04 Mar15 Feb16 (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  STUNNINGLY May01 Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 Apr07 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  RIPERTON Dec13 Oct15 Sep16 Aug13 Jul22 (lobo paul)TORRES A 118 15.00    
8  PLUM TRICKY Apr25 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
 
CD-8   06/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORMANDY HERO Dec31 Nov25 Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
2  DONCHO May05 Apr05 Feb13 Dec30   (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
3  BEELINE May04 Mar16 Feb10     (mott riley)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  TIME FOR TRUTH Apr27 Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 Dec31 (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
5  HENRO May05 Apr05 Mar01 Feb16 Nov12 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
6  OTTO THE CONQUEROR May04 Mar23 Feb03 Dec15 Oct29 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEAR RIVER May17 May01 Mar24 Mar02 Feb13 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
 
CD-9   06/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKING FOR GINNY Apr20 Mar14 Feb13     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
2  MISS SUSAN B May14 Apr25       (hughes g)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  BOLT'S BROAD May01 Apr05 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 (delima jose )LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00    
4  BARSTOOL BABE May03 Mar29 Mar08 Apr22 Apr07 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  OH MACARENA Mar09 Feb02 Jan06 Dec17   (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
6  CANDY CRAZE May24 May01       (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARM OF THE SONG May12 Apr10 Feb11 Dec31 Nov18 (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★    
8  BACKSTRETCH ROSE May03 Dec30 Nov03 Sep28 Aug31 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
9  STERLING LUCK Feb13 Jan19 Dec21 Sep20   (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
10  GOURMET May12 Apr20 Mar14 Feb17   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
11  STRATOSPHERIC         (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.