Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - April 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/6/1)-(6/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(6/4/1/3)-(3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/3)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/3)-(3/6/5)-(5/3/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/3/4/7)-(1/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/7)-(1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/7)-(1/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/7/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(5/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/3/4)-(5/7/1/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING SOCIAL Mar14 Jan24 Dec30 Dec06 Nov16 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KLAATU Mar14 Feb28 Feb20 Jul03 Jun01 (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.50    
3  ORO DE MORO MORO Feb20 Feb01 Jan01 Dec20 Dec04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 1.00 38% 1.60    
4  ONLYATTHESHOE Mar14 Feb28 Feb13 Jan01 Nov21 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 6.00    
5  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Mar14 Feb28 Feb13 Dec27 Dec12 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-2   04/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU CLASSIC Mar19 Mar06 Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Mar25 Mar17 Feb24 Feb14 Jan31 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  GOLDEN SPOKE Mar06 Feb01 Jan15 Dec13 Nov22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
4  KERANOS Mar25 Mar06 Feb19 Feb07 Jan22 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
5  ROCK ON KITTEN Mar20 Mar06 Feb20 Feb05 Jan15 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
6  DAVID'S GEM Mar19 Feb06 Jan15 Nov29 Oct11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
 
MVR-3   04/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THE D Feb19 Feb06 Dec04 Nov08 Sep30 (bates l)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 9% 10.50    
2  NAMBITI Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 (juarez lorenz)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
3  RUN BUBBA RUN Mar18 Feb19 Jan31 Nov28 Sep08 (smith larry)RIVERA R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WEEKENDER Feb19 Jan23 Dec18 Sep30 Aug11 (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
5  KARAMEL CORN Feb28 Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 (tumblin )MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
6  CALBOYZEKE Mar18 Feb28 Feb14 Dec14 Jun07 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.20 52% 0.90    
7  STONE COLD CAT Mar14 Feb27 Jan24 Sep11 Aug21 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
8  THE MAN CAN Mar18 Feb27 Jan24 Dec19 Dec04 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  UPGRADE AL Feb21 Jan31 Dec14 Sep06 Jul14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   04/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY STYLE Feb22 Jan31 Sep19 Aug31 Aug12 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
2  OPIE'S GIRL Mar20 Oct30 Sep27     (smith larry)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
3  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Mar20         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.20 54% 0.90    
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Jan30         (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
5  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Mar07 Nov28 Nov13 Oct28 Oct12 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  QUETZALY Jan30 Jan15       (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUNDALK DUST by MILITARY)
 
MVR-5   04/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACEFULPERSUASION Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 Nov20 Oct18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
2  MINDSHIP Q Feb22 Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Nov15 (londono odin )SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
3  DONAHUE Mar19 Mar11 Feb12 Oct13 Sep19 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
4  OUTSLEWTHEM Mar27 Feb22 Feb12 Jan11 Dec28 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
5  WHEN IN ROME Mar27 Feb29 Feb22 Jan11 Dec27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Feb12 Jan11 Dec27 Dec03 Oct11 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 117 12.00    
7  RANSAM PAYNTER Mar28 Mar13 Feb22 Jan02 Dec18 (vecchio caryn)LEON A 126 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  AKITO Mar19 Jan11 Dec27 Dec18 Nov15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
9  BELL CURVE Nov27 Nov15 Oct04 Sep20 Aug03 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   04/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  URBAN COWGIRL Mar06 Feb15 Jan01 May11 Apr27 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
2  DELOVELY Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 Jan17 Dec23 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 126 3.50    
3  AMENSET Mar01 Jan01 Nov13 May12 Apr13 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
4  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Feb15 Feb09 Jan25 Dec13 Nov04 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
SCR  CATCHAFALLNSTAR Mar20 Mar04 Jan31 Dec19 Dec05 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
SCR  NOT TODAY Mar20 Feb20 Jan24 Jan04 Dec11 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00    
7  LITTLE EMPIRE Nov16 Sep14 Sep05 Jul11 May25 (reust megan)SIMPSON JASON 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   04/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING LUCKY Mar19 Feb27 Dec28 Nov28 Nov13 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  IT'S E Z Feb05 Dec28 Jun15 Jun03   (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
3  MISS SIX         (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 119 15.00 18% 4.60    
  (by TEAM SIX out of HOPE IS JUST AHEAD by LINE OF DAVID)
4  KISSING MEDALS Mar04 Feb05       (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of DISCREETLY KISSED by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Mar19         (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by DRILL out of JENSENS SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Mar19 Feb27 Feb19 Feb05 Jan11 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
7  ANGIE'S DEAR ONE Mar20 Sep04       (lopez jaci)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  THIRTY SOMETHING Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 Nov28 Nov13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
 
MVR-8   04/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST OF LONDYN Mar25 Mar07 Feb29 Feb15 Jan02 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
2  FORMYBOYS Mar17 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan08 (radosevich je)TOLEDO S 126 15.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
3  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Mar20 Feb15 Jan08 Dec18 Oct28 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 119 6.00 ★    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
4  MY HOMBRE Mar25 Mar17 Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
5  CINSAULT Mar25 Feb29 Feb15     (rone penny)RIVERA R 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
  (by FORT LARNED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  RAISE YOU ONE Mar25 Mar07 Feb21 Dec12 Nov22 (doering mark)AVILES YAN 126 12.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
7  SWAYBACK MOBIL Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 2.50 10% 9.20    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
8  UNLIMITED LUCK Sep05 Aug15       (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of UNLIMITED UPSIDE by SHACKLEFORD)
9  MY TICKET Mar25 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan23 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.