Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (4/6/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5/8)-(4/6/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5/8)-(4/6/1/5/8)-(4/6/1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5/8)-(6/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5/8)-(6/8/11/10)-(1/5/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (6/8/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/11/10)-(6/8/11/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/11/10)-(6/8/11/10/7)-(6/8/11/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/11/10)-(1/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/11/10)-(1/5/4/7)-(8/3/1/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(8/3/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(8/3/1/10)-(10/4/3/9/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (8/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/10)-(8/3/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/10)-(8/3/1/10)-(8/3/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/10)-(10/4/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/10)-(10/4/3/9/6)-(7/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (10/4/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/3/9/6)-(10/4/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/3/9/6)-(10/4/3/9/6)-(10/4/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/3/9/6)-(7/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/4/3/9/6)-(7/8/2)-(10/6/8/3/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-6   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/2)-(10/6/8/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(10/6/8/3/9)-(1/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-7   WIN (10/6/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/3/9)-(10/6/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/3/9)-(10/6/8/3/9)-(10/6/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/8/3/9)-(1/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/3/9)-(1/6/5)-(9/10/7/4/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-8   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/10/3)-(1/6/5/10/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(9/10/7/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TP-9   WIN (9/10/7/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/4/8)-(9/10/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/4/8)-(9/10/7/4/8)-(9/10/7/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE PHILLIPS Feb10 Jan25 Dec16 Dec02 Oct28 (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 8% 11.00    
2  INHERENT POWERS Feb21 Feb07 Jan12 Dec22 Dec06 (adams l)HESS SARA 113 6.00    
3  MAGNA RULER Feb17 Jan24 Jan06 Dec29 Sep02 (fernandez edward)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
4  KNIGHT'S CROSS Dec29 Nov01 Oct09 Aug23 Jul29 (van th)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  WIND TWIST Dec16 Nov10 Oct07 Apr19 Mar15 (sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 8% 11.60    
6  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 Dec16 Oct25 (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 13% 6.40    
7  CHAMBERS BAY Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 Sep19 Aug28 (guerrero sal)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 2.50    
8  THALBERG Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Nov29 Sep20 (brooks )DE CRUZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  JINGLE Feb07 Jan12 Nov08 Sep26 Sep14 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
 
TP-2   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE GUITAR Feb23 Feb07 Jan13 Dec29   (douaihy m)CORREA L 120 4.50    
2  GOLDEN LAKE Feb01 Jan10 Dec28 Dec16 Nov05 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 110 20.00    
SCR  GONE WITH THE WYN Feb14 Aug01       (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
SCR  TAPWRIT WARRIOR Jan13 Dec30 Nov24 Jul01   (vasquez germ)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
5  COMIC BOOK Feb23 Jan24 Dec29     (cline c)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
6  SAVANNAMARIE Feb08 Jan10 Nov22 Oct27 Sep03 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  BETHSHEBA Feb22 Dec13       (ennis john)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 8.00 ★    
8  NURSE CARALYN Feb09 Jan24 Jan10 Aug24 Jul13 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
9  BANSHEE MOON Feb08 Dec30       (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 12.00    
10  SILVERY MOON Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  RITUALISTIC         (murphy cono)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 11% 8.10    
 
TP-3   03/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T WAIT UP Jan05 Dec09 Nov19 Oct23 Aug17 (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
2  MKAR THE FAST Feb09 Jan05 Nov04 Oct21 Sep12 (lynch e)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
3  STONEVICIOUS Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 Dec30 Nov24 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00    
4  ZOOMER Jan31 Jan05 Jul02 May18 Apr22 (gerteisen adam)OUZTS W 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  SOULMATE Feb16 Nov12 Oct08 Sep04 Aug03 (pino michael)MORALES JOSHUA 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  BLESS THE KITTEN Jan31 Dec30 Dec02 Sep15 Aug16 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
7  VOODOO ZIP Dec15 Nov17 Oct06 Sep13 Jul04 (blair jord)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5% 18.40    
 
TP-4   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOITANO Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Nov09 (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50 8% 11.20    
SCR  P K WOOD Feb08 Jan04 Dec01 Nov01 Sep27 (salas felipe)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
3  SHORTLIST Feb22 Feb09 Nov30 Nov09 Sep30 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  VIOLIN MAKER Feb21 Jan25 Dec30 Oct04 Sep01 (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
5  EPIMYTHIUM Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 Jan05 Dec09 (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 10.00    
SCR  MINE OWN STAR Feb22 Feb07 Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 (elliott michelle)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
7  AFJAN Feb08 Jan25 Oct21 Aug18 Jun07 (pino michael)MORALES JOSHUA 123 6.00    
8  VANBRUGH Feb16 Jan12 Dec15 Nov05 Sep02 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
9  GRACEFUL KITTEN Feb22 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 (richard)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
10  MAJOR SPARKS Feb21 Jan03 Dec14 Nov30 Nov13 (estvanko )BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  CALL ME GUSTO Dec16 Oct20 Sep20 Jul19 Jun17 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
 
TP-5   03/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK LUCKY         (thomas jonathan)HESS SARA 111 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  SEMANTICS         (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 126 15.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of DINNER WITH D C by DIXIE UNION)
3  CHELSEA PIER Feb11 Jan04 Feb15     (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00 7% 13.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of KIND OF MAGIC by GALILEO (ARG))
4  CATMINT Feb15 Oct14 Sep17 Jul31   (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 126 5.00 12% 7.60    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
5  BIG DIG Feb15 Dec23 Nov12 Sep28 Aug30 (salas felip)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
6  LA CHARMANTE         (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TOO CHARMING by BERNARDINI)
7  MY SEXY BLONDE Feb21 Jan10 Nov25     (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BARBETTE by HIGH YIELD)
8  A DOLLAR A DAY Feb22 Jan25 Dec30 Nov26 Nov10 (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of MILLION DOLLAR DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
9  HEART HEADED WOMAN Jan25 Dec21 Oct03 Aug28 Jul15 (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 126 4.00 6% 17.10    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
10  SRI LANKA Feb01 Jan01 Dec03 Sep07 Jun29 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 126 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  QUEEN RHAENYRA Jan25 Dec30 Nov09 Oct01   (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
 
TP-6   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNREASONABLE (IRE) Jan26 Dec06 Oct29 Sep17   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
2  MAN WITH THE MOVES Jul01 Apr01       (swingle)DE CRUZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRETTY FAST Feb17 Jan31 Nov01 Oct11 Jul08 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 3.00    
4  FREE AMERICA         (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00    
5  MORE HOT SAUCE         (bush s)HESS SARA 111 12.00    
6  PAPA ALDEN Feb02 Jan06 Dec09 Nov04 Apr16 (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 5.00 ★    
7  STONKS Feb21 Feb03 Dec09 Nov22 Sep10 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 126 1.80 72% 0.40    
8  HEEDING Aug28 Jul24 Jun24 Jun01   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 126 6.00 6% 16.40    
 
TP-7   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEBRUARY SON Feb17 Dec23 Nov02 Sep01 Aug12 (granitz an)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00    
2  SILVER QUARTERS Feb16 Jan05 Sep30 Sep04 Aug16 (manley steve)ORM CORY 124 15.00    
3  ON THIN ICE May07 Mar25 Feb17 Dec30 Dec03 (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 8.00 5% 18.40    
4  TALL BOY Dec09 Nov05 Oct12 Aug05 Jul09 (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 124 6.00    
5  UNCLE JAKE Jan28 Oct17 Aug26 Jul21 Apr08 (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
6  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Feb17 Dec08 Aug19 Jun25 May27 (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
7  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Feb03         (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 20.00    
8  LEBLON Feb16 Jan31 Dec09 Jan27 Jan07 (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 6% 16.10    
9  BLOODLINE Feb03 Dec07 Apr29 Mar05 Jan30 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  GRAPHIC DETAIL Jan27 Dec15 Jun22 May28 Apr15 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
TP-8   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J RIVERS Dec06 Oct26       (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
2  MAIREAD Feb10 Jan26 Dec14 Jun29 Jun15 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 12.00    
3  MY GIRL GINGER Feb22 Jan10 Dec23     (hernandez rey)ROCCO S 118 15.00 ★    
4  JUDY ELAINE Jan26 Sep13 Aug19 Jul20 Jul06 (brown h)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
5  LEMORIAN Oct06 Sep03 Aug08     (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPICE Jan20 Jan01 Nov12 Sep03   (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUMMERINTAHOE Feb10 Dec20 Nov18 Oct21   (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
8  HIGH FASHION KATE Feb10 Jan18 Jan03 Sep23 Aug20 (minnock wayn)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00    
9  CABERNEIGH Feb21 Jan17 Nov18 Oct19 Sep16 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 8.00    
10  MODERN SOUND Dec31 Nov17 Oct19 Sep10 Aug16 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  THESE APPLES Feb21 Jan31 Dec20     (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50    
 
TP-9   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYLAN JAYNE Jan20 Nov18 Aug24     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 15.00    
2  LADY ROBO Feb15 Dec22 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (holden darragh)ELLIOTT JANE 125 15.00    
3  FANCY PRANCE Jan25 Sep07 Aug06     (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00    
4  SOLVENT         (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 118 12.00 8% 12.00    
5  SALLY BALI Feb15 Jan04 Apr22     (hamilton willia)MOJICA JR 125 20.00    
6  TIVALI Feb15 Nov26 Oct12     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 4.00    
SCR  MURAL May16         (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 8% 11.20    
8  WILLADEAN Nov22 Sep12 Aug23 Jul20 Jul03 (garcia ge)CORREA L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  DAN'S CANDI GIRL Jul14 Jun16 May05 Apr07 Mar16 (davis j)DE CRUZ 125 5.00 38% 1.60    
10  KATE'S CONCERTO Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Jul08 May29 (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 125 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  SPRAT Dec30 Dec06 Oct25     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00    
12  ROMEINADAY Jul08 Jun10       (thomas jonathan)HESS SARA 116 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.