Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(5/7/3)-(2/1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(2/1/6/5)-(1/4/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/5)-(1/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/5)-(1/4/6/7)-(5/3/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/7)-(5/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/7)-(5/3/2/1)-(2/1/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/1)-(2/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/1)-(2/1/7/4)-(6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/4)-(6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/4)-(6/8/1)-(4/6/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIRL'S DELIGHT Dec15 Nov19 Sep26 Mar19 Feb19 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  QUIESCENT Jan26 Aug23 Jul30 Jun10 May12 (ribaudo robert )RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SAARLIGHT by SAARLAND)
3  SPLIT SCREEN Dec07         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DIVIDED ATTENTION by A.P. INDY)
4  LA GIRVINA Jan11 Dec15 Sep15 Aug18   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 0.80 60% 0.70    
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
5  LIL JERSEY GIRL Jan11 Dec15 Oct26     (siculietano d)OLVER MADISON 117 30.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of NORTHERN WARRIOR by DESERT WARRIOR)
6  BLUE DREAM MACHINE         (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SPRING CARNIVAL by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-2   02/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING VINE Jan28 Jan05 Dec14 Oct12 Aug17 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 ★    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
2  SQUID GAMER May11 Apr14 Mar26 Feb17   (bak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
3  Z DANCER Jan28 Nov26 Aug31 Aug09 Jun23 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
4  MUGSY FURY Jan05 Dec14 Nov19 Oct27 Sep04 (davis robbi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
SCR  SAKA SHOCKA         (brown c)OLVER MADISON 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
6  FLYING IN STYLE Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 Aug27 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAUGHING FALCON by ALJABR)
7  PASCHAL MOON Jan28 Jan06 Dec09 Nov25 Oct13 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
 
AQU-3   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Dec28 Dec03 Nov17 Oct20 Aug20 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  ROMAN GODDESS Jan26 Dec30 Dec14 Oct26 Oct07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  LOCKBOX Feb04 Jan11 Dec28 Nov13 Oct23 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
4  PERPETUAL PRAISE Jan19 Aug02 Jun01 Apr23   (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 3.00    
5  FANCY FELINE Feb04 Dec28 Dec15 Nov13 Oct23 (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  HONEST BANKER Apr23 Mar30 Dec16     (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
7  MY GIRL JAL Jan26 Dec30 Dec14 Nov18 Nov03 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 10.00    
 
AQU-4   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLACK TIDE Feb10 Jan19 Dec07 Nov10 Oct08 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  MIDTOWN ROSE Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Nov17 Oct24 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
3  SWEET AS SUGAR Feb10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov30 Nov04 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
4  CUPIDS GIRL Jan11 Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 Jun23 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  HYDRA Jan19 Dec07 Nov25 Oct27 Aug25 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50    
6  DARN THAT SONG Jan28 Jan07 May09 Apr06 Feb11 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
7  MERAVIGLIOSO Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Nov18 Oct20 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HARVARD Jul02 Apr30 Mar18 Feb19   (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GENTLEMAN JOE Jan12 Dec10 May04 Apr01 Feb25 (jacobson david)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
2  MIDLANER Feb02 Jan08 May23 May02 Apr11 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.50 5% 18.60    
3  POWER SEEKER Feb02 Dec29 Dec02 Oct26 Oct29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  STOLEN BASE Jan27 Dec29 Oct14 Sep09 Aug28 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
5  EMERALD FOREST Dec31 Nov30 Oct14 Sep24 Sep16 (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.80 44% 1.20    
6  WAKE SURF Dec31 Nov12 Oct06 Sep02 Jun24 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
7  SURPRISE BOSS Sep23 Aug22 Jun10 May06 Apr23 (san)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 30.00    
 
AQU-6   02/23/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD MEDICATION Jan27 Jan13 Jan05 Dec06 Nov22 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
2  WILD BANKER Jan26 Dec01 Nov04 Oct05 Sep17 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
3  HANG TIGHT Jan27 Jan04 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 (romero jes)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
4  CO CONSPIRATOR Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 Oct23 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 7% 14.00    
5  DATESFREEDOM Jan26 Jan05 Nov30 Nov04 Oct21 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
6  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Jan28 Jan05 Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 (baker cha)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00    
7  ALFIO Jan27 Dec10 Nov12 Sep14 Aug13 (walder r)LUZZI J 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
8  FOREVER WICKED Feb09 Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 May18 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-7   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNTHESIS Dec29 Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 (jacobson davi)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIVINE ARMOR Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 Nov26 Nov11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
SCR  WINIT Jan26 Dec28 Dec02 Nov02 Feb05 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
3  OLYMPIC DREAMS Jan26 Jan07 Nov30 Oct29 Sep03 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
SCR  PETULANTE Jun17 May06 Jan20 Dec16 Aug21 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
SCR  LOST IN ROME Feb19 Aug02 Jul02 Jun15 May27 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
6  LAW PROFESSOR Jan26 Dec23 Oct28 Oct01 May19 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  DANCE CODE Jan01 Oct24 Sep21 Jun10 May08 (sanchez-pinero)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
8  GUNTOWN Dec29 Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 10.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  ANEJO May14 Apr06 Feb11 Jan05 Dec01 (o'n)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEPT Feb03 Jan13 Nov11 Oct22 May28 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00    
2  THE SAXON STORY         (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 19% 4.20    
3  GO GRAD Feb04 Jan14 Dec29 Nov20 Oct18 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PROFITABILITY Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Nov20 Oct18 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 35% 1.80    
5  JEFFERSONS OCEAN Dec02 Oct20 Oct05     (friedman mit)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
6  LI'L LANG Jan18 Dec29       (abreu r)LUZZI J 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  DRINKING SOLO Jan14 Dec02 Nov02 Oct04 Aug11 (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
8  FRANKIE R. Dec02 Nov12       (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.