Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/4)-(3/12/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/4)-(3/12/6/9)-(5/4/2/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-2   WIN (3/12/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/12/6/9)-(3/12/6/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/12/6/9)-(3/12/6/9/4)-(3/12/6/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/12/6/9)-(5/4/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/12/6/9)-(5/4/2/8)-(4/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (5/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/8)-(4/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/8)-(4/1/10)-(7/2/11/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-4   WIN (4/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/10)-(4/1/10/12/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/10)-(4/1/10/12/2)-(4/1/10/12/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/10)-(7/2/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/10)-(7/2/11/12)-(2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-5   WIN (7/2/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/11/12)-(7/2/11/12/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/11/12)-(7/2/11/12/8)-(7/2/11/12/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/11/12)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/11/12)-(2/3/7)-(6/4/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(6/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(6/4/3/1)-(7/8/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-7   WIN (6/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/1)-(7/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/1)-(7/8/3/1)-(6/10/1/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-8   WIN (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/2/1)-(7/8/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/3/1)-(6/10/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (6/10/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/4/9)-(6/10/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/4/9)-(6/10/1/4/9)-(6/10/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITE OFF JERRY Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 Oct09 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 125 1.20 53% 0.90    
2  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jan24 Dec01 Nov04 Oct12 Sep20 (shuman mark)CONNER TYLER 125 6.00 13% 6.60    
3  CALON LAN Jan04 Dec14 Oct28     (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
4  SAN MARCO CITY Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 Nov29 Aug15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAGE RUNNER Jan24 Dec29 Jun23 Jun01 May05 (brooks geral)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00    
6  KICK ROCKS KID Jan18 Dec28 Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 15.00 6% 14.70    
7  BROKEN JUSTICE Jan24 Dec30 Dec09 Nov17 Oct10 (short ric)BERMUDEZ E 125 4.00    
8  MYSTERY IMPACT Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 Nov17 Nov08 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 125 20.00    
SCR  MAGNA RULER Jan24 Jan06 Dec29 Sep02 Aug20 (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 125 15.00    
 
TP-2   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOIA RARA Jun10 May10 Apr12     (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
2  LIPSTICK N LASHES Jan17         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
3  TWO SIP SALLY Jan18 Dec14 Oct19 Sep09   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  GREATEST MOMENT         (contreras)CORREA L 120 15.00 ★    
5  ANNIE ROSE         (holden darragh)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
6  FROSTY AFFAIR         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARGARET'S LADY Dec20 Dec06 Nov02 Sep20 Aug23 (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
8  NO BODY LOVES ME Jan24 Jan03 Dec06     (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
9  GONE WITH THE WYN Aug01         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHIQUITA REINA Jan27 Jan10 Dec16 Nov24 Oct26 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 110 5.00    
11  BRIGHT LADY DAY Jan27 Dec30 Nov26 Nov02 Oct06 (jackson chr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
12  SANDRINHA LOVE Jan18 Dec13       (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
TP-3   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOLO SANTIAGO Nov14 Nov02 Oct17 Sep14 Jul19 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 6.00    
2  HESTON Jan13 Dec27 Nov29 Oct07 Sep27 (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 14% 6.40    
3  REVERE NOTE Jan27 Dec21 Sep09 Aug12 Aug02 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 3.50    
4  BOLD BIZNESS Jan31 Jan11 Dec22 Nov09 Oct30 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  FOR MAMA Jan11 Dec13 Nov17 Nov02 Aug16 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  KINGOFTHERAINBOW Jan27 Jan11 Dec21 Nov09 Oct24 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 4.50    
7  BAKER'S MAN Nov17 Oct24 Oct03 Sep09 Sep02 (lauer michael)ROMAN A 123 20.00    
8  VAMONOS Jan27 Jan13 Dec21 Nov30 Oct06 (kinmon keith)LEON SONNY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-4   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENGE TOUR Jan25 Jan04 Nov27 Oct31 Oct05 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ICE MOON Feb01 Oct22       (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  HEAVY HITTER Feb01 Jan04 Dec06 Nov02   (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00    
4  COMPANY YOU KEEP Jan25 Jan11 Dec14 Oct25 Oct04 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 71% 0.40    
5  VINO FA DANZA Oct20 Sep20       (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 110 6.00    
6  FIRE WIRE Feb01 Jan04 Dec20 Nov30 Sep25 (roberson denn)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
7  FIRST CHOICE Feb02 Oct31 Sep09     (spicer james )LEAHEY HANNAH 120 30.00    
8  MOON CHARGER Feb02 Jan11 Dec27 Dec14 Sep13 (alvarez nery)ROMAN A 120 6.00    
9  TOO CLOSE Feb01 Jun27 Jun06     (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 120 30.00    
10  CUTADAY Jan19 Dec20       (brooks )DE CRUZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  CHAPS KNIGHT Feb02 Jan04 Dec20 Nov08 Sep16 (radosevich jake )LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
12  INMYDREAMS Jan25 Nov30 Oct03 Sep05 Aug18 (rider m)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 ★    
 
TP-5   02/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN PRINCESS         (walden william)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  SWEET GAL OF MINE Nov24 Oct21 Sep16     (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of SO SWEETITIZ by GRAND SLAM)
3  FOR LOVE AND HONOR         (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
4  AMERICAN SAINT Dec20         (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
5  WHISKEY DECISION         (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUNNY SONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  RACONTEUSE Jul23 Jun23       (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
7  MOON FLEET Jan17         (o'neill d)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of DANCING AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
8  SALTWATER TAFFY Dec27 Oct27 Aug31 Aug01 Jul07 (casse mark)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00 ★    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHORE BIRD by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
9  CAT'S SYMPHONY         (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
10  GHEE FOR THE WIN         (amoss m)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of FORTUNATE GIRL by HARD SPUN)
11  UP THE CREEK Dec14 Nov16       (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 9% 9.70    
  (by UPSTART out of CLEARWATER by PAYNTER)
12  DIANTHUS Jan03         (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
SCR  SILK Jan17 Dec20       (cox h)ROMAN A 120 4.00    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CHASE BY THE MOON         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MIA KARINA by JAZIL)
 
TP-6   02/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURR SEA Jan12 Dec07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 (boyce michele)FELIX E 123 15.00    
2  QUEROBIN DOURADA Dec07 Oct22 Sep09 Aug06 Jun15 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  LINGUISTIC Oct15 Sep24 Aug31 Aug05 Jun22 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  BABY NO WORRIES Jan27 Dec23 Dec02 Oct12 Sep24 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ A 123 3.00    
5  SOUPER MUNNINGS Jan12 Oct14 Sep07 Aug05 Jun16 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
6  MALLOY Dec09 Oct08 Aug25 Jul13 Apr01 (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 123 8.00    
7  HIT THE WOAH Jan12 Dec03 Apr14 Nov27 Nov04 (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
TP-7   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAZOKU Jan03 Dec20 Nov01 Sep28 Jun29 (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCESS KALAMOH Jan10 Dec09 Nov24 Oct19   (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 117 8.00    
3  PSYCHEDELIC Dec15 Feb01 Dec22 Nov20 Oct16 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  JENNY LIND Dec15 Nov17 Oct18 Sep13 Jul15 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jan13 Dec23 Nov30 Oct14 Sep07 (kubinova elisk)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50    
6  FORTUNE BOUND Dec15 Nov05 Jul27 Jun24 Apr19 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  LASERJET Feb03 Jan06 Dec23 Nov09 Sep17 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00    
8  DIVINELY BOLT Jan03 Nov04 Sep03 Jun02 May18 (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.00    
 
TP-8   02/14/2024 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBLIN TRAIN Jan17 Nov29 Sep13 Sep01 Jul01 (sandy stephe)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  BALI KUTA Jan18 Dec06 Nov04 Oct05 Sep09 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 125 6.00 ★    
3  CONDONE Nov15 Oct18 Sep09 Apr07 Mar09 (oliver )DE CRUZ 125 5.00 8% 10.80    
4  TOWER BRIDGE Jan03 Nov16 Sep04 Jul15 May28 (devaux che)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.50    
5  CALL ME TONI Jan25 Nov30 Nov09 Oct26 Jun08 (hughes g)LEON SONNY 127 6.00    
6  ENZI Jan24 Jan10 Nov29     (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00    
7  TREASURED GEM Jan31 Nov25 Oct05 Aug09 Jun13 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  KING'S SECRET (GB) Jan01 Nov30 Nov09 Oct14 Sep09 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  LUCY'S CAKES FLY Dec15 Nov11 Oct15 Aug31 Aug19 (warpool shane)CONNER TYLER 125 15.00    
10  AL TIRAH Dec13 Mar11 Jan14 Dec11   (torres concepc)CEDILLO ABEL 125 20.00    
 
TP-9   02/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK UP GHOST Jan17 May18       (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 126 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  VARSITY DOLL Jan24 Oct23 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (brooks )DE CRUZ 126 3.50    
3  PINK ROBE Jan17 Dec15 Nov01 Oct17 Sep05 (short j)PAULY SUMMER 116 12.00    
4  EMERSON'S DREAM Jan24 Nov14 Nov07 Aug23 Jul20 (greenhill je)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 10% 9.20    
5  BIRD SET FREE Oct07 Sep15 Aug29 Aug05 Jun29 (perez car)AYALA ISAIAS 126 12.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Jan27 Dec23 Dec02 Oct01 Sep03 (maker michael )ROMAN A 126 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  TOP HAT TIGRESS Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 Dec15 May15 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 12.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN MESA Oct19 Oct07 Sep27 Aug29 Aug05 (hughes g)LEON SONNY 126 20.00    
9  BELLA MORNING Dec27 Jun17 May29 Mar23 Aug21 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  WICKED KITTEN Dec27 Nov30 Oct29 Oct08 Sep06 (allen a )RODRIGUEZ A 126 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  LA COPA Nov30 Oct07 Sep14     (pribble will)MONCADA IRVING 116 30.00    
SCR  TOUGH AS NAILS Dec20 Nov02       (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  DELANEY'S GRACE Jul08 Jun08 May19 Apr21   (galindo-torr)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.