Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (9/10/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/2)-(9/10/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/2)-(9/10/4/2)-(9/10/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/4/2)-(6/4/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/10/4/2)-(6/4/8/9)-(5/2/13/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/9)-(6/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/9)-(6/4/8/9)-(6/4/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/8/9)-(5/2/13/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/9)-(5/2/13/11)-(1/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/2/13/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/13/11)-(5/2/13/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/13/11)-(5/2/13/4/11)-(5/2/13/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/13/11)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/13/11)-(1/8/6)-(9/5/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(9/5/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(9/5/10/2)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (9/5/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/2)-(9/5/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/2)-(9/5/10/2)-(9/5/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/10/2)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/10/2)-(2/6/5)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5/4)-(5/1/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/1/11/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/1/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/11/4)-(5/1/11/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/11/4)-(5/1/11/3/4)-(5/1/11/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PASSING JUDGMENT Dec16 Nov09       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of PURPLE PIANO by STAY THIRSTY)
2  HOUSE BOURBON Dec30 Dec09 Nov17     (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 117 8.00 6% 16.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
3  CONTRABAND EARLY Jan06 Dec16       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of UNAMUSED by STREET SENSE)
4  YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU Dec16 Nov23       (david b)LANERIE J 125 10.00 7% 12.80    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SKYLINE DRIVE by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  BRADFIELD BABY Dec30 Aug21 Aug05     (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CAROLINA SKY by SKY CLASSIC)
SCR  CHASTE ONE         (sharp marc)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 20.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
7  TEMPLE OF PEACE Dec30 Nov25       (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 117 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SEASONED by PULPIT)
8  BOSTON BLITZ Dec16 Feb10 Jan20     (ney john)NAVAS YOEL 120 12.00    
  (by POWER JAM out of GODDESS OF LOVE by LORD CARSON)
9  BATTALION STRIKE Jan06         (singh s)SINGH R 125 6.00 59% 0.70    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of MISS ROMBAUER by SCAT DADDY)
10  BACK BAYOU Dec30 Sep04 Jul22     (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 117 4.00 8% 11.50    
  (by CONNECT out of TENSAS PATCH by BROKEN VOW)
11  PURRRFECT RHYTHM Jan06         (schmidt de)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BLESS D'CAT by D'WILDCAT)
SCR  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Aug02 Jun17 Mar11 Feb10 Dec10 (roussel j)GRAHAM J 125 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
SCR  SUNNY SASSICAIA Jul28 Jun17       (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 4.50    
  (by SASSICAIA out of FORTYSUNFLOWERS by FORTY WON)
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Dec29 Sep11 Aug05 Jun03 Feb10 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 125 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FG-2   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO CAPTAIN Dec31         (briley lon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ETOILE D'ALLIE by JOHANNESBURG)
2  CAPITAL CONNECTION         (casse w)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of KARAOKE QUEEN by FLATTER)
3  SILVER HALO         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of OOPS TIMES TWO by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  JUST A TOUCH         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 25% 3.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TOUCHING BEAUTY by TAPIT)
5  DEVILSGOTACAUSE         (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ACENDA by LATENT HEAT)
6  EVAN ON EARTH Dec30 Nov12       (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
7  GUN PARTY         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CARINA MIA by MALIBU MOON)
8  MAGICAL MOJO Dec30         (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of NO JOKE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  SUCCESSFUL RUN         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
FG-3   01/27/2024 4950ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAVE CREEK Jan06 Dec19 Dec10 Oct19 Oct07 (dussette alvin)PARKER L 120 20.00    
2  QUINN MURPHY Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Jul29 Jul17 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
3  FADED MEMORIES Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Oct11 May21 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
4  MARY JACK Jan06 Dec15 Nov25 Nov17 Sep11 (hernandez armand)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 ★    
5  JUST PASSING THRU Dec30 Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  ANGEL OF VERDUN Jan06 Nov18 Oct13 Sep11 Aug12 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
7  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Dec30 Dec10 Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 (wilson shane)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
8  DRE ME LESS Jan01 Oct25 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 (casse w)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
SCR  STACK SHACK Jan04 Dec10 Nov18 Sep28 Sep03 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
10  SHE'S A BIG STAR Dec29 Dec15 Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 (tracy t)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
11  COINMAKER Jan04 Sep09 Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BROADWAY PEARL Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Aug14 Jun19 (mouton patrick)GRAHAM J 117 12.00    
13  SKYKAT Dec10 Nov18 Nov04 Sep11 Jul01 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  GOOD MONGOLIA Oct11 Sep04 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
SCR  MISS TULSA Dec30 Nov15 Oct07 Jun04 May06 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
 
FG-4   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSED THE BOAT Jan07 Dec17 Dec02 Nov15 Sep17 (troiani)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 36% 1.80    
2  POWERFUL Apr22 Apr01 Feb25 Nov26 Oct08 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
SCR  OMAHA RED Jun11 May25 May07 Apr22 Apr07 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN COOL Dec01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 Jan20 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00    
5  LAGOON Jan13 Oct19 Feb05 Jan18 Jan07 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
6  GUN PILOT Jun10 May06 Apr01 Feb25 Feb04 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
7  SAINT SELBY Dec31 Dec17 Oct14 Sep01 Jul22 (sanche)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
8  BOSS' DIALIN IN Dec31 Dec03 Jan14 Dec19 Nov25 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
FG-5   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALLEGRODIMOLTO Dec29         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SHEZA DIVA by UNCLE MO)
2  SHARE THE BLESSING Dec14         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SANTA TERESA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  JAM'S PAPER MOON Dec31         (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of JUSTAROUNDMIDNIGHT by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
SCR  WITHOUT CAUSE Dec14 Oct29 Sep23     (casse mark)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WITHHOLD by TIZNOW)
5  LADY ARIEL         (asmuss)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by CURLIN out of STEPH BEING STEPH by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  LUCKY SPEECH Jan01         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LUCKYALLMYLIFE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  RAGTIME LADY Dec14 Nov17       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUC'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  STAR ANISE Dec31         (brinkman brett)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON SPICE by GEMOLOGIST)
9  MS QUALITY CONTROL Dec31 Nov07 Sep10     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  JUST BETTER         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BETTERBETTERBETTER by GALILEO)
SCR  JOYFUL IMAGE Dec14 Oct11       (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BO'S IMAGE by TAPIT)
SCR  CONTROLLED TEMPER Jan13 Dec21 Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MOON MEETING TOO by MALIBU MOON)
13  GREYHOUND STATION Jan06 Nov25       (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SOMEWHERE by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FG-6   01/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY CHARGER Dec03 Nov03 Sep22 Aug01   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 125 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  FOXFIRE Oct28 Sep24       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SAFWAH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  SONG BRIDGE Feb18 Jan21       (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of LYRICAL MOMENT by ALWAYS SILVER)
4  IMMA MADI TUE         (ney john)MURRAY M 122 8.00    
  (by BRAVE DAVE out of WALMA JEAN by IDE)
5  NOT TODAY GEEGEE Dec31 Dec03       (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.00 12% 7.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUN LIKE RACHEL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  ROXY'S BALL Dec23         (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SCORPIO QUEEN by CHOISIR (AUS))
7  NOTABLE QUEEN Dec31 Dec03 Sep03 Jul15 Jun04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 4.00 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
8  MISS GOLDEN PENNY         (stall m)MCMAHON J 125 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
FG-7   01/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAZING MARK Dec06 Nov21 Oct14 Sep03 Jul29 (briley lonnie)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
2  BRIGADE COMMANDER Jan15 Dec16 Sep30 Sep09 Jul23 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 6.00 ★    
3  SUNDAY BREEZE Dec17 Oct24 Mar22 Mar03 Feb02 (devaux ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50    
4  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Dec30 Nov19 Sep28 Aug20 Jun09 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  BRIGHT SPARK Jan13 Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 Oct19 (leonard i)PARKER L 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
6  PYRENEES Dec15 Dec26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug28 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
 
FG-8   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYOFF CYCLE Dec31 Dec07 Nov09 Oct18 Aug04 (demouchet ricky)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  SIR OVERANALYZE Dec21 Nov30 May29 Mar24 Feb18 (dandridge cou)HERNANDEZ K 121 30.00    
3  GALLANT STAR Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 Nov17 Oct13 (husak gary)MARQUEZ L 121 4.00 ★    
4  GREELEY WENT WEST Jan11 Dec21 Jan29 Dec17 Nov18 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SMOOTH COLLIERY Jan11 Nov10 Oct07 Aug13 Jun24 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 40% 1.50    
6  FORT BONZ Dec16 Nov25 Aug10 May10 Nov11 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
7  STEAL IT BACK Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep10 Jul30 (west g)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
8  ZONG TOUGH Jan06 Nov30 Jun12 May29 Mar15 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
9  JUJU NINETEEN Jan06 Dec16 Aug27 Jul31 Jul01 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 20.00    
10  TSURIS Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 Aug28 Jul21 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
11  WAR COUNT Jan06 Sep04 Aug05 Jun17 May08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 12% 7.10    
12  UNWANTED INTRUDER Dec16 Apr19 Mar02 Feb16 Jan29 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
SCR  SENATOR CON Jan13 Dec08 Nov25 Sep10 Jul30 (balderas a)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Nov10 Oct06 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 121 4.50    
SCR  FLASHY PREMO Dec14 Oct26 Oct14 Aug10 Jul20 (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
SCR  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Dec27 Dec07 Nov08 Oct18 Jul20 (patt rolan)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.