Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/6)-(14) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(14)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-2   WIN (14) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (14)-(1/3/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (14)-(1/3/4)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(7/5)-(4/7/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(4/7/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(4/7/3/1)-(3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/1)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/1)-(3/5)-(11/10/12/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(11/10/12/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(11/10/12/3)-(6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-7   WIN (11/10/12/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/12/3)-(11/10/12/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/10/12/3)-(11/10/12/3)-(11/10/12/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/10/12/3)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (11/10/12/3)-(6/4)-(8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/10)-(6/4/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL ANTICS Apr07 Mar19 Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 (kantar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
1A  RHUBARB MARTINI Mar30 Feb20 May29 Apr21 Mar03 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 ★    
2  RACING COLORS Mar30 Feb20 Jan29 Jan22 Dec10 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 4.50 ★    
3  SYNONYMOUS Feb20 Feb05 Jan13 Dec08 Nov06 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 122 6.00    
4  RAFFINITY Mar30 Mar17 Feb20 Jan13 Dec30 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  LONDON GOLD Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 (pers)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00    
6  FREUDIAN Mar19 Feb24 Jan20 Dec18 Oct13 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 115 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  SHEA ON A MISSION Mar24 Aug03 Jun30 May26 Apr22 (baker charlt)SAMUEL L 120 10.00    
 
AQU-2   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUCKORTWO Jul30 Jun19 May21 Apr28   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  THE MIGHTY DON         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  TUNNEL VISION Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 Dec31   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
4  TIE BREAKER Apr07 Mar17 Feb17 Oct20 Aug15 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
5  STRATEGYFORYOU         (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 12.00    
6  ACADEMY CHOICE         (begg jam)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
7  WAR PRINCE Sep16         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  SARATOGA STRONG Feb18 Feb02 Jan05 Dec11   (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
9  MILAGROSO Feb11 Jan21 Dec11     (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00    
10  BOINTHEBACK Feb12 Jan27 Jan05 Aug26 Jul31 (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00    
11  FOURFAITH Mar11 Jul21       (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
12  M. C. DOUBLE R Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 Nov17 (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 118 50.00    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Apr07 Dec15 Nov18 Sep25 Aug27 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.50 21% 3.80    
14  MAKAR Mar04 Nov17 Oct21 Aug10 Jul08 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  SOCIAL SIDEKICK Feb24 Oct16 Jul29     (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
16  THE GOLDEN ONE Nov06         (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
 
AQU-3   04/23/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESERVE CURRENCY Mar11 Feb02 Nov03 Sep18   (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 0.60 ★    
1A  SYSTEMIC CHANGE Mar10 Feb02 Dec15     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.60 24% 3.20    
2  COMPLETE AGENDA Mar31 Feb17 Jan14 Jan07 Dec09 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50    
3  EXIT RIGHT Mar31 Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 Jan02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  AFJAN Apr01 Mar17 Feb18 Jan07 Dec09 (toscano joh)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  MY FRIENDS BEER Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Feb11 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 19% 4.40    
6  CENTAVO Apr13 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00    
 
AQU-4   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS         (taylor josep)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 10.00    
SCR  APOLLONIUS         (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  PERPETUAL PRAISE         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
4  BUSTIN LULU         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
5  STRANGE FRUIT Mar31 Jan20       (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 14% 6.30    
6  GRACEFULNESS Apr15 Feb24 Jan27     (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 3.50 ★    
7  UKRAINIAN PRINCESS Feb26 Jan27 Dec18     (levi)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
AQU-5   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLAW COUNTRY Mar19 Feb09 Jan14 Dec29 Dec01 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Apr02 Mar11 Jan14 Dec10 Nov27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
3  WARRIOR RICHARD Mar31 Mar12 Feb09 Jan13 Dec29 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
4  VALENZAN DAY Mar19 Mar05 Jan07 Dec04 Nov19 (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
5  SUPER ROCKER Mar29 Nov25 Aug01 Jul20 Jun24 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
6  HOT ROD LINCOLN Mar31 Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Sep22 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 20.00    
7  BAD WATER Mar31 Jan04       (atras ro)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
AQU-6   04/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY FLAME Apr02 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 Jun19 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 127 5.00    
2  SILVER FIST Oct01 Sep23 Aug26 Jul22 Jun28 (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 127 4.50 ★    
3  ROYAL CURRENCY Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 Jan06 Nov17 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  MERAVIGLIOSO Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Feb10 (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 ★    
5  TRY IT AGAIN Mar26 Mar11 Mar05 Jan28 Jan05 (arenas marcel)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  LAVON Mar17 Feb24 Jan19 Dec16 Oct30 (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
7  FANCY FELINE Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 Nov18 Oct22 (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
 
AQU-7   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SECRET RULES Mar24 Jan18 Nov25 Sep25 May28 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 111 5.00    
SCR  TURN OF EVENTS Dec03 Oct27 Sep14 Aug06 Jun26 (falcone )SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
SCR  SAINT SELBY Sep30 Aug12 Jul01 Jun16 May15 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
3  GULFSTREAM WAY Mar30 Feb04 Dec18 Nov25 Oct08 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEVEN SCENTS Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 Aug31 Aug07 (morley thom)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
SCR  FLUID SITUATION Feb18 Jan20 Dec17 Oct16 Aug28 (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MOMOS Mar17 Feb18 Jan16 Dec21 Nov06 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  BIG PACKAGE Sep02 Jul21 Jun23 Apr30   (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 3.50    
8  SURPRISE BOSS Mar19 Oct23 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
SCR  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Oct23 Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
10  NABOKOV Feb18 Jan19 Nov06 Sep17 Aug18 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
11  SHERIFF BIANCO Mar30 Feb18 Feb05 Dec30 Dec17 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
12  HAPPY FARM Mar30 Mar05 Jan22 Dec30 Nov26 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 7% 12.90    
13  CHATEAU Apr13 Mar04 Feb10 Dec30 Jun17 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY New York Stallion Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOVER STREET Mar18 Feb20 Dec17 Nov04 Oct01 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of FORTUNE STREET by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  LITTLE LINZEE Mar24 Jan22 Dec17 Oct30 Oct08 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GEE LINZ by FROST GIANT)
3  HYPNOCURRENCY Mar12 Feb12 Dec30 Dec11 Oct23 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
  (by FREUD out of SILVERAMA by SPEND A BUCK)
4  LES BON TEMPS Mar24 Feb19 Dec17 Oct30 Sep23 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
5  DREAM ON CARA Apr06 Mar18 Jan19 Dec17 Nov20 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
6  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Mar17 Feb17 Dec17 Dec03 Oct28 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by REDESDALE out of MIZ MIDTOWN by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  MAGGIE T Mar12 Feb02 Jan06 Nov19 Oct23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 ★    
  (by DESTIN out of WE KEPT HER by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Mar05 Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 Nov26 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SISTER MARETTE by CUVEE)
SCR  ATHENA BEACH Mar30 Feb23       (synnefia)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 33% 2.10    
  (by BANK HEIST out of BEACH by TRICKY CREEK)
10  HONEST BANKER Mar30 Dec16       (atras rob)VARGAS A 118 8.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
 
AQU-9   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRAL STATION Mar17 Mar04       (jerkens stev)HARKIE K 118 15.00    
2  RHUM PRESSURE Mar10         (barrow p)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
SCR  FORTY ONE TALES Mar04         (serpe phi)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
SCR  WATCH HILL         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
5  EIGHT AND SAND Mar10 Feb17 Dec11 Nov13 Oct07 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 10% 9.20    
6  RED D G P Jan19 Jan12 Apr23 Mar18   (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 8.00    
SCR  MESSI THE MAGICIAN         (falcone rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 5% 18.50    
8  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Apr01         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.