Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/4/2)-(5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/8/2)-(1/4/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/9)-(3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/9)-(5/9/1/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/9)-(5/9/1/2/8)-(5/9/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/9)-(3/1)-(6/3/7/5/2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5/6/8)-(3/1/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/3/7/5/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/3/7/5/2)-(4/6/11) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/3/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5/2)-(6/3/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5/2)-(6/3/7/5/2)-(6/3/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5/2)-(4/6/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5/2)-(4/6/11)-(1/8/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/6/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/11)-(4/6/11/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/11)-(4/6/11/2/7)-(4/6/11/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/11)-(1/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/11)-(1/8/4/2)-(2/10/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    DD (1/8/4/2)-(2/10/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/2)-(2/10/8/3)-(2/6/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/8/3)-(2/10/8/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/8/3)-(2/10/8/3/4)-(2/10/8/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/8/3)-(2/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-9   WIN (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NATES HEARTTHROB Jan19 Jan02 Dec20 Nov11 Oct20 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
2  VALHALLA AIR BASE Jan23 Dec20 Dec03 Nov14 Oct22 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 6.00    
3  BIG FRANK Jan19 Jan02 Dec03 Nov19 Oct19 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
4  NIGHT TIME RULER Jan11 Jul05 Jun22 May31 May12 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  MY BROTHER CAM Jan19 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 (ray kevin)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 10% 9.30    
6  A LATE ONE Jan12 Dec01 Oct30 Oct02 Sep08 (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  BUGLE OF WAR May30 Apr21 Mar23 Mar04 Jan27 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
 
MVR-2   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORBITING THE SKY Jan03 Nov14 Oct31 Jul21 Mar01 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 ★    
1A  ORBALINE Dec30 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.40 44% 1.30    
2  LEADING INDICATOR Jan19 Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 (welsh gar)CORREA L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HER GOLD MINE Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov20 Oct16 (meraz antonio)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
4  CYBERBURG Dec14 Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
5  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM Jan18 Dec11 Dec02 Nov12 Oct01 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 119 12.00    
SCR  READY TO PLAY Jan19 Jan11 Oct23 Oct12 Sep20 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 8% 11.80    
7  FLYING BUSINESS Jan19 Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov20 (candelas blan)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00    
8  LILAC LACE Jan11 Dec28 Dec20 Jun28 Jun11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY BEAST Jan30 Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 Sep26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
1A  WHEN IN ROME Jan30 Jan23 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 ★    
2  SOUPER PRONTO Jan30 Jan02 Dec20 Dec03 Nov17 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★    
3  THE EQUINEST Jan30 Dec20 Dec13 Nov17 Sep11 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
SCR  PUBLIC RECORD Jan23 Jan02 Jul24 Jun11 May23 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
5  THE COACHMAN Jan30 Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Aug20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  ON SPOT Dec09 Nov12 Oct26 Oct19 Oct01 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
7  MR. LUCKY Jan12 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
8  COAL TOWN ROAD Jan30 Jan12 Dec30 Dec16 Nov20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
9  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jan30 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Nov30 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-4   02/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONTLINER Jan18 Dec28 Dec15 Nov28 Oct24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
2  LIMIT UP Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 Oct30 Oct05 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
3  MONTAUK COVE Jan03 Dec15 Nov08 Sep15 Aug22 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 5.00 56% 0.80    
4  SLIPPY Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug15 Aug01 (cordero-lopez ale)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
5  MAS CHIKILIN Jan09 Nov07 Oct22 Oct10 Sep21 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 ★    
6  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Jan14 Dec14 Nov28 Nov12 Oct22 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 124 4.00 ★    
7  D'MONEY HONEY Jan23 Dec28 Dec15 Nov27 Nov08 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
8  FAHRENHEIT Jan10 Dec12 Nov09 Oct14 Oct04 (trevino steph)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00 ★    
9  MASAI MAN Jan27 Jan19 Jan09 Dec09 Nov19 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
10  CLAW Jan18 Jan02 Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILWAUKEE CAT Jan04 Aug12 Jul26 Jun23 Jun02 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
2  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jan18 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 7% 13.10    
3  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Jan16 Jan05 Dec03 Nov19 Nov03 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  WAR MOON Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 Dec12 Nov16 (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
5  APPEALING SENORITA Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 Nov19 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 10% 9.50    
6  LADY ABRIL Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 Nov28 Nov16 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  GLIMMERGLASS Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 Aug09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 11% 7.80    
8  MY PINK BABY BIRD Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 (vickers r)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00    
9  CROSSED UP Jan18 Dec31 Dec11 Dec03 Oct10 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
10  EASTER PRIDE Jan18 Jan04 Dec22 Dec07 Nov19 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
11  SASSY POWER Dec07 Nov19 Oct24 Oct13 Sep27 (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOCKO ROAD Dec28 Dec13 Dec07 Nov27 Nov14 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
2  LILY'S TRUMPET Nov23 Oct31 Sep28 Jul14 Jul07 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 ★    
3  CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Jan28 Sep28 Sep12 Aug03 Jul24 (tumblin a)CORREA L 124 20.00    
4  PERFECT PICTURE Jan28 Jan12 Dec28 Dec02 Nov06 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
5  HONKY TONK MUSIC Nov22 Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 Aug10 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
6  ICON Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 Nov10 Nov03 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  TWICE AS SMART Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Oct28 Oct15 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 ★    
8  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Dec28 Dec13 Dec07 Oct23 Oct10 (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
9  GET ALONG Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 Oct10 (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00    
10  CUGINE Jan12 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Oct12 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00    
11  STRIKE A BEAT Jan19 Jan02 Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-7   02/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LAUDA SPEED Jan26 Jan10 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  KREWE CHIEF Jan23 Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
2B  ALL STAR JUSTICE Jan23 Dec29 Dec01 Nov14 Oct27 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BULLION Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 (castill)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  O CIGANO Jan18 Dec21 Sep27 Sep01 Aug12 (andrade h)CORREA L 124 15.00    
4  READY TO MARCH Jan28 Dec28 Dec10 Nov20 Oct27 (chapman james)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 6% 15.90    
SCR  DONNELS CREEK Aug03 Jul26 Jun28 Apr19 Mar10 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Jan18 Dec28 Dec12 Nov17 Oct25 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50    
7  OUT FOR JUSTICE Dec21 Dec14 Nov27 Nov13 Nov07 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
8  DIAMONDS ENJOY Jan18 Dec12 Nov07 Sep22 Aug18 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
9  TAMANRASSETT Dec29 Dec13 Nov07 Oct06 Sep19 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
10  STARSHIP TAXI Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 Nov13 Oct17 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
 
MVR-8   02/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Jan17 Dec29 Dec21 Nov29 Nov16 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
2  TO WIN Jan11 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Feb15 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  MOTAGALLY Jan26 Jan05 Dec20 Dec10 Nov16 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GIANT CRITIC Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 Nov04 Sep22 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  WAR NOVEL Jul07 Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  ACROSS THE AISLE Jan30 Jan02 Dec11 Nov14 Nov02 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
7  DISTORTED LIMITS Jan05 Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 Nov02 (galloway khadeem)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
8  NOT YET CHARLIE Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 Nov03 Oct14 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
9  BLOOD MOON Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 Nov23 Nov07 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
10  JUSTIN'S QUEST Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 Nov12 Oct02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-9   02/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNESCORTED Jan23 Jan02 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 116 15.00    
2  ENCHANTEDLY Dec29 Nov28 Mar24 Feb16   (waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
3  LOVE'S TAVITO Jan19 Jan05 Dec28 Dec11 Nov28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WILDCAT DREAM Jan19 Nov16 Nov07 Oct24 Sep30 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN Dec29 Dec04 Oct05 Sep24 Jul02 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
6  NELL'S BELLS Dec11 Nov29 Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 6.00 11% 7.70    
7  CURIOSITY KILLS Jan09 Dec07 Nov28 Nov09 Oct24 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
8  CHORIST Jan05 Dec22 Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
SCR  AYY LADIES Jan19 Aug24 Jun23     (west m)PEREZ E 116 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.