Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/1/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/1/4/2)-(6/7/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7)-(4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(4/3)-(8/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(8/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(8/1)-(1/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-3   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/12/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/12/10)-(8/1/12/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/1)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(1/8/6)-(11/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TP-4   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/5/3)-(1/8/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(11/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(11/1/2)-(1/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-5   WIN (11/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/1/2)-(11/1/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/1/2)-(11/1/2/10)-(11/1/2/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/1/2)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/1/2)-(1/2/3/5)-(12/3/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/5)-(12/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/5)-(12/3/1/7)-(6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-7   WIN (12/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/3/1/7)-(12/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/3/1/7)-(12/3/1/7)-(12/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/3/1/7)-(6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TP-8   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(3/6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERETHEMONEYWENT Nov21 Nov09 May26 Mar25 Mar03 (klopp r)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
ANOTATION Dec30 Aug19 Jul15 Jun16 May13 (hale jr)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
CURLIN COED Oct07 Sep23 Aug11     (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
DAIGLE Dec30 Dec17 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
GENERAL GINNY Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 (dillion jimmy)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
KANFU Dec30 Dec03 Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 (granitz )RODRIGUEZ A 114 2.50 36% 1.80    
ERV'S WENCH Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct18 Oct04 (haehn r)OUZTS W 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
PRINCESSTAPITURE Dec15 Nov30 Nov06 Oct04 Aug22 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50    
HABOBANERO Oct07 Sep24 Sep08 Sep01 Jul29 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
 
TP-2   01/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL SPIN Dec31 Dec21 Nov25 Sep01 Aug22 (cristel mar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 12.00    
HOT HEELS Dec11 Nov09 Oct10 Aug10 Jul22 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
ALMADRINA (GB) Dec15 Dec01 Sep22 Sep14 Aug15 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
QUARTERFLASH Dec28 Dec16 Nov22 Oct10 Sep28 (girten tim)RAMOS D 123 6.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS Jan05 Dec08 Oct13 Sep29 Sep20 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.00 65% 0.50    
RUNAWAY MOM Jan07 Dec11 Dec03 Oct21 Aug28 (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 Oct30 Oct11 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 4.50    
TOIL Dec22 Sep30 Mar22     (shifflett ch)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
MOSE DEFINITELY Dec31 Nov23 Nov09 Sep28 Aug22 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
10  SWIFT TEMPLE Jan06 Dec22 Nov14 Oct12 Sep21 (wisner tracey )SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
 
TP-3   01/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Dec11 Aug21 Jul14 Jul01 Apr23 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
EL FRANCO Dec30 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 Oct01 (norris mike)FELIX E 120 30.00    
EMIRATES ROAD Dec29 Oct12 Jul04 Jun04 May07 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART Nov04 Sep30 Aug11 Jun30 Jun05 (bauer phi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00    
MASTER OF THE RING Jan06 Oct12       (maker mi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
CHANTRY FLATS Jan01 Sep14 Jul17 Jun18 Mar19 (newton )DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
GRAEL Dec29 May28 Apr02 Mar05   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
POLICY OPTION Jan06 Dec14 Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  MUCHO MOJO Dec09 Oct05 Aug12 Jul10 Jun26 (foster eric)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
10  GRADED ON A CURVE Jan04 Nov11 Sep03 Jul09 May20 (judd cassan)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE Dec22 Nov30 Nov03 Oct04 Sep21 (cundiff way)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 120 30.00    
12  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM Sep10 Aug21 Jul28 May21 Jan30 (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00    
 
TP-4   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECK OF CARDS Dec21 Jan16       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
DOMITIA LUCILLA Dec16 Nov23 Nov03 Oct13 Sep16 (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
HALAGA Dec21 Nov30 Oct10 Mar18 Feb18 (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
JE SUIS RAPIDE Dec21 Nov11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug09 (king l)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
SU SAY SASHIE         (morey e)FELIX E 120 10.00    
UNDER ONE SKY Dec07 Oct27 Sep03 Jul23 May29 (kenneally )CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 9% 10.50    
FORTUNE BOUND Dec21 Nov21 Oct29 Oct05 Sep13 (sims matt)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
SEIVER Dec21 Nov17 Oct24 Sep08 Aug24 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
STARSHIP BELMONT Dec21 Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 Aug17 (walsh d)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
10  WICKED WONDER Jan05 Nov25 Oct29 Jul16 Mar16 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
11  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Dec21 Nov27 Oct28 Sep23 Aug02 (cristel)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
12  IT'S GREEK TO ME Dec04 Nov18 Jun11 May22 Apr17 (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  LUMINIST Jan12 Nov13 Nov04 Sep30 Sep07 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 5.00    
 
TP-5   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT A BLAST Dec31 Dec02 Oct09 Sep05 Aug13 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BLAST by ROAR)
SURFACE TO AIR Nov19 Oct21       (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 5% 18.20    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)
METATRON'S MUSE         (morey e)FELIX E 120 12.00    
  (by FLATTER out of COUNTESS CURLIN by CURLIN)
LEONIDS         (beattie )RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AREOLITE by TAPIT)
ALL ABOUT CROGE Dec30 Nov26 Nov11     (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 30.00    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of P D F INDYLITE by COUNT ME IN)
THE MOTTO Oct23         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MOLLY O'SHEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
STONEMONT REUNION Dec29         (rider dav)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PROUD REUNION by PROUD CITIZEN)
GOOD SOUL Dec09         (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of READY FOR CHIANTI by MORE THAN READY)
MONBA QUAKE Jan05 Dec09 Oct09 Sep24   (curtsinger )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
  (by MONBA out of STRAWBERRY QUAKE by RICHTER SCALE)
10  TRANSECT         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DIVINE ESCAPADE by A.P. INDY)
11  QUIET RIDE Dec29         (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SOFT WHISPER (IRE) by DUBAWI (IRE))
12  ROYAL SANDRIN         (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
SCR  ASHCROFT Dec04 Oct15 Apr28     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 6% 16.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SKY WILLOW by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  MOON WISH         (caramori)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ONE MORE WISH by PADDY O'PRADO)
 
TP-6   01/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALLAHOLLY Mar18 Mar02       (ward wesley )RAMOS D 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
MISS BRIGHTSIDE Dec28         (stidham mi)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 7% 14.00    
SAGE HILL Jan06 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 Sep28 (scott l)OUZTS W 122 30.00    
LANTANA JUSTICE Dec30 Nov23 Nov01 Sep27 Sep06 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  START CLASS Dec01 Nov03 Sep18 Jul01 May29 (medley )DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
TAPPI GO LUCKY Dec22 Sep01 Jul27     (rivera just)PETERSON FERRIN 122 20.00    
SEQUEEKER Dec30 Nov23 Nov14 Nov03 Sep27 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 122 10.00    
NUTHER BEE Dec30 Dec01 Nov21 Aug22   (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 117 20.00    
SCR  RIO LADY Jan06 Dec14 Nov11 Sep27 Sep06 (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
TP-7   01/20/2023 6600ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAINTAINER Dec29 Dec02 Apr09 Mar05 Feb12 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
JR'S GIFT Dec29 Oct27 Oct12 Aug26 Aug06 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
TWO BIRDS Dec15 Nov06 Oct12 Sep11 Jul28 (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
CANT BE DOIN THAT Dec17 Nov27 Nov03     (toye li)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00    
PERFECT PAINTING Dec29 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
SCR  WARBIRD Oct26 Apr03 Feb23     (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 10% 8.70    
GRANTHAM Dec16 Nov09 Mar12 Feb05   (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Dec09 Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 Sep12 (dyer john)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
SCR  FATHER PATRICK Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 Sep27 Sep09 (newton troy)FELIX E 120 50.00    
10  BRIGHT PROSPECTER Dec09 Sep05 Jul24 Jul01 Apr22 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
11  BAKWENA Oct26 Oct05 Sep05 Jun18 May22 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 4.00    
12  SHOGUN WARRIOR Dec09 Oct22 Sep05 Jul24 Jul09 (hughes byron )CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
13  WRITEITONTHEICE Dec30 Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 Sep22 (fernandez)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
SCR  BEOCCA Dec31 Dec07 Sep28 Sep12 Aug19 (minnock wayn)RAMOS D 120 50.00    
 
TP-8   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAGSTONE Jan01 Dec22 Oct26 Oct03 Aug19 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
DOC ROCK Jul29 Jun25 May28 Apr29   (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00    
HESTON Dec29 Dec07 Jun02 Apr22 Feb19 (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
BETTER DASHER Sep13 Aug25 Aug10 Jun21 Jun09 (danner doug)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
JACKYS BACK Dec16 Oct03 Aug25 Jun19 May13 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
KICK ROCKS KID Jan01 Dec08 Oct05 Aug19 Aug03 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEF MYSTIQUE Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 Aug11 Jul14 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 122 20.00    
SCR  HILLBILLY LOGIC May07 Mar17       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.00 69% 0.50    
MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Dec07 Sep06 Aug02 May12 May04 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
SCR  DIVISION STREET Nov10 Jun18 May22 Apr02   (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 5.00    
11  JUST A NOTION Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 Oct13 Oct04 (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.