Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (4/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1/7)-(4/3/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/8/1)-(2/9/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/9/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/1/8)-(2/9/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/1/8)-(2/9/5/1/8)-(2/9/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/5/1/8)-(1/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/1/8)-(1/3)-(2/5/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/5/7)-(4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-4   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(4/7/2)-(2/7/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-5   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/5/6)-(4/7/2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(2/7/4/6)-(7/9/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-6   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6/1)-(2/7/4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(7/9/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6)-(7/9/12)-(1/2/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-7   WIN (7/9/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/12)-(7/9/12/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/12)-(7/9/12/11)-(7/9/12/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/12)-(1/2/3/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/9/12)-(1/2/3/7/8)-(8/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-8   WIN (1/2/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7/8)-(1/2/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7/8)-(1/2/3/7/8)-(1/2/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/3/7/8)-(8/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/7/8)-(8/1/2/3)-(3/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-9   WIN (8/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/3)-(8/1/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/3)-(8/1/2/3/6)-(8/1/2/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/2/3)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-10   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/10/2)-(3/6/7/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY BOURBON Sep30 Sep07 Jul16 Jan15   (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 125 10.00 11% 8.40    
2  LUCKY DUDE Oct26 Oct14 Sep12 Aug19 Jul25 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 125 8.00    
3  ASSET BASIS         (brisset rodolphe)BEJARANO R 125 4.00 17% 4.90    
4  GUIDED ARROW Dec03 Nov23 Oct12 Aug24 Jun29 (garcia genar)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  BOURBON ON FIRE Dec18 Dec09 Nov10 Oct28 Oct08 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 125 12.00    
6  EL GEMAR Jun05 Apr16 Mar19 Feb21   (peitz c)HIRALDO JOHN 125 3.50    
7  FAST LANE Dec17 Mar19 Jan15     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 125 5.00 ★    
8  STILL ON THE BOOKS Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct22 Sep01 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 4.50 11% 8.30    
 
OP-2   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL MAGIC Dec15 Nov30 Oct20 Sep29 Sep03 (green ike)JORDAN R 121 12.00 9% 10.20    
2  FIRST EMPRESS Nov22 Nov15 Sep25 Sep14 Aug20 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  SILENT SCARLET Nov17 Oct13 Sep01 Jul28 Jun24 (mckni)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 4.00    
4  DUCHESS BUBBLES Sep10 Jun20 Apr08 Mar18   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00    
5  CLOSE TO ME Oct04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 May11 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00 11% 8.00    
6  IPSUM GRATUS Nov11 Jun24 May26 Apr08 Feb20 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.50    
7  ELEGANCE N TONIC Nov11 Oct28 Sep15 Aug21 Jun26 (rosin cot)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00    
8  MUMBLEBEE Dec08 Nov12 Oct24 Oct13 Sep02 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00 7% 13.40    
9  UNDECODED Oct26 Oct01 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
OP-3   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Dec04 Nov05 Oct28 Oct15 Sep01 (miller pe)TORRES A 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  TOUCH CODE Dec17 Nov27 Nov06 Oct02 May30 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 15.00 ★    
3  SISAWAY NOW Oct09 Sep17 Jun30 Apr13 Mar13 (robertson mc)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 12.00 11% 7.80    
4  PAPA ROCKET Nov04 Sep24 Jun08 May07 Mar19 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 126 4.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Dec17 Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 Jun12 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 126 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  CARBONITE Dec16 Nov24 Nov09 Oct09 Sep22 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 126 2.50 ★    
7  RUM 'N TONIC Dec17 Nov09 Oct16 Sep03 Jun19 (moysey chelsey)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 12.00    
8  HANKS Dec17 Apr15 Mar24 Feb12 Jan07 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 126 4.50    
9  TREATY Jul10 Jun08 Apr07 Mar05 Jan16 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 15.00    
 
OP-4   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($104K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN PILOT Nov26         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
2  TWO EAGLES RIVER Dec31 Nov26 Oct30     (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 117 1.60 49% 1.00    
SCR  WINTERS LION Dec10 Nov16 Nov03 Sep21   (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
4  GUNFLASH Dec17 Nov22       (broberg k)TORRES A 119 12.00 ★    
5  VERIFYING Nov04 Oct01 Aug27     (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 115 1.20 11% 7.90    
SCR  COFFEE CALIENTE Nov26 Oct22 Sep17 Aug21 Jul16 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 117 30.00 8% 12.00    
7  JUDO Sep16 Aug05       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 10% 9.40    
8  RECKER POINT Dec17 Nov16 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
 
OP-5   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZAPISTOL Nov11 Sep25 Aug10 May19 Apr07 (hobby steve)BAZE C 125 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SASSY MISS SUE by TIZNOW)
2  CHURCH SERVICE May01 Apr15 Mar20 Feb27 Feb13 (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 12.00 7% 14.40    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
3  TYRONA Dec30 Oct19 Sep17 Jul30   (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 125 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SWITCHEROO by LEFT BANKER)
4  VOW Nov24         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by UNION RAGS out of DIAMOND RING by MALIBU MOON)
5  FABULOUS FANNY Jul01 May06       (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 125 8.00 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of AFLEET LASS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
6  STELLAR LILY Dec11 Oct27 Sep30     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ANFIELD ROSE by WILBURN)
7  TALES OF HOME Dec19 Nov18       (stewart dalla)CABRERA DAVID 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PLEASANT HOME by SEEKING THE GOLD)
8  CHARTREUSE Dec30 May01 Apr15     (witt erni)TORRES A 125 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of GOLDEN FINALE by ARCH)
9  CANDY CARAMEL Dec03 Nov13 Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 (miller p)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of BRIDE STREET by STREET CRY)
 
OP-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSED Dec31 Dec11 Nov06 Sep25 Aug28 (broberg k)TORRES A 120 4.00 ★    
2  ASH FLAT Dec18 Nov17 Sep28 Aug18 Jul01 (hartman chris)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.60 26% 2.90    
3  THAT KHENNY Dec18 Nov16 Sep20 Sep02 Aug16 (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
4  FULL IMPACT Dec30 Nov13 Sep20 Jun17 May20 (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  SHADOW MATTER Nov17 Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 Jul20 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
6  GOZILLA Dec03 Nov17 Oct21 Aug05 Jun24 (mcknight norman)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
7  SLAM DUNK SERMON Dec30 Sep25 Jul31 Jul02 Jun12 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
8  LAKE RADIO Nov14 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Jul29 (smith ke)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
9  LOOKIN FOR LOKI Dec03 Nov14 Jun02 Apr14 Feb20 (loy dewaine)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
 
OP-7   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELENTLESS ROCKET         (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
2  QUARANTINED         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 10.00    
3  ELMO'S SECRET Nov11         (pish danny)BAZE C 118 30.00    
4  SOPHIE'S STAR Dec31         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 20.00    
5  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Dec11         (deville c)TORRES A 118 8.00    
SCR  MISS DOUBLE         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 118 30.00 ★    
7  BRADLEY PINK         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
8  STREET PAINTER         (cates al)HARR KELSI 118 10.00    
9  SASSY LASS Dec31         (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
10  GRANDMA BELLE         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
11  MISS ARKANSAS         (dixon tim)TRIANA JR 118 30.00 ★    
12  BETTY JO         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ALTAR GIRL Dec31         (fires will)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00    
14  MISS PONY UP Jan08         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 30.00    
 
OP-8   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVEMESOMEME Nov06 Sep16 Aug13 Jun29 May29 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  PORTILLA Dec03 Nov06 Sep23 Aug07 Jun26 (stall al)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 18% 4.40    
3  TIZPLENTY Dec17 May14       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
4  HAZY COMMAND Dec09 Nov20 Oct04 Jul20 Jun26 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 124 8.00    
5  LISETTE Dec10 Sep05 Jun10 Apr30 Mar27 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00    
6  DEALING JUSTICE Nov11 Sep16 Aug07 May20 Apr22 (mott rile)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
7  ROCK STAR PARKING Jan01 Dec21 Nov30 Nov02 May07 (contreras)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
8  HEADLAND Oct26 Sep16 Apr30 Apr10 Mar11 (hobby steve)BAZE C 121 8.00 7% 14.30    
 
OP-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOY TAPATIO Nov22 Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 Aug01 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUM PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
2  RUNNIN' RAY Nov13 Sep01 Jul09 May21 Apr02 (sharp joe)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 7% 13.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  HEART RHYTHM Dec26 Nov24 Oct19 Sep15 Jul02 (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of NOTHING BUT HEART by OFFICER)
4  HELLO HOT ROD Dec17 Nov21 Oct27 Oct15 Sep14 (davis h)JUAREZ NIK 115 12.00    
  (by MOSLER out of HELLO NOW by TIZNOW)
5  DREAMER'S DISEASE Dec22 Nov05 Oct23 Sep16 Aug07 (courville ricky)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MARKETPLACE by RELAUNCH)
6  RATED R SUPERSTAR Dec17 Sep25 Aug19 Jul09 May30 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 ★    
  (by KODIAK KOWBOY out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
7  SEIZE THE NIGHT Dec16 Nov17       (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CANDLE MAKER by TAPIT)
8  GINOBILI Nov20         (miller p)SANTANA JR 115 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIND THE HUMOR by SHARP HUMOR)
9  KING FURY Dec17 Oct29 Oct01 Aug13 Apr02 (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 115 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TARIS by FLATTER)
10  SILVER PROSPECTOR Oct01 Aug06 Jul09 May30 May01 (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
 
OP-10   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITWASTHISBIG Dec16 Nov06       (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of POCKET BOOK by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  PAPPY WOLFE Dec16 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03   (von donnie)BAZE C 120 12.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TEMPLE STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  SHOPPER'S REVENGE Nov26         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPIT out of STOPCHARGINGMARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  TALLADEGA Nov26 Oct30       (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of THIN DISGUISE by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  VIOLENT RIVER Nov17         (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 120 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FAST RESOURCE by BOB AND JOHN)
6  ROCKET AND ROLL Dec16 Nov05       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 1.60 17% 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SHINE SOFTLY by ALDEBARAN)
7  TAHOE RUN Nov19 Nov11 Oct22     (robertson mc)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00 16% 5.10    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of TAHOE DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
8  CITIZEN Dec16         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DISTRACTING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  BOUGIE JOE Dec10 Nov15       (hobby steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APPEALING CAT by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  ESCAPOLOGIST Nov26 Oct20 Oct01     (mcpeek g)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of REVEALING MOMENT by CISCO ROAD)
SCR  EMPIRE'S BEST Dec10 Oct21       (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.