Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/3/1)-(1/7/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(1/7/8/2)-(4/9/8/10/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/2)-(1/7/8/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/2)-(1/7/8/9/2)-(1/7/8/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/8/2)-(4/9/8/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/2)-(4/9/8/10/11)-(7/2/5/10/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-4   WIN (4/9/8/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/10/11)-(4/9/8/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/10/11)-(4/9/8/10/11)-(4/9/8/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/8/10/11)-(7/2/5/10/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8/10/11)-(7/2/5/10/8)-(3/2/6/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-5   WIN (7/2/5/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/10/8)-(7/2/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/10/8)-(7/2/5/10/8)-(7/2/5/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/5/10/8)-(3/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/10/8)-(3/2/6/1)-(6/9/2/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/7/1)-(3/2/6/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(6/9/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/1)-(6/9/2/1/3)-(10/5/3/2/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-7   WIN (6/9/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/1/3)-(6/9/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/1/3)-(6/9/2/1/3)-(6/9/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/2/1/3)-(10/5/3/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (10/5/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/2/9)-(10/5/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/2/9)-(10/5/3/2/9)-(10/5/3/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND FLOWER         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLAMED by BLAME)
2  FOUND GRACE Aug31         (de h)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MINESTORM by MINESHAFT)
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION Jun23         (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
4  BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AFFIRMATION by ASTROLOGY)
5  STUNNER Aug23         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 64% 0.60    
  (by GIRVIN out of SPUN BEAUTY by HARD SPUN)
6  HAY EVABODY Aug23         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by MITOLE out of ROO'S VALENTINE by VRONSKY)
7  JENKIN         (schultz l)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of MORNING COFFEE by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
BAQ-2   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOVER STREET Feb19 Dec15 Nov03 Oct08 Jul19 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  BACKED BY GOLD Sep13 Aug29 Aug14 May27 May05 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 10.00    
3  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Sep17 Sep02 Aug02 Jun15 May25 (dixon k)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  FOXY CARA Aug18 Aug02 Jul07 Jun20 May24 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00    
5  MOSIENKO Jul14 May12 Apr18 Jan27 Dec17 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50    
6  ATHENA BEACH Aug28 Aug02 Jun15 Apr18 Sep02 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Mar30 Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   09/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMPLITUDE Aug15         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CANADIAN RIVER by SMART STRIKE)
2  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Aug30 Jul26 Jul04 May26 Apr17 (delgad)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
3  ISOMARSHALL Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Feb25 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LISVERNANE by ARCH)
4  VITALIZE Jan07         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
5  MIDNIGHT LEGEND Aug15         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of STRIKEALINETHRUIT by OFFICER)
6  FLAME ROCK FIRE Aug10 Jul28       (delgado jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
7  DAYBRIGHT DELIGHTS Aug30 Jun22 May26     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CITY AT DAWN by CITY ZIP)
8  NEW YORK SCRAPPY Aug30 Aug15 Jul11 Jun22   (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 5% 17.90    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
9  CONCORDE SPIRIT Aug28 Aug15 Jun14     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TOASTING by CONGRATS)
10  PATRONAGE Aug24         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLA CARA by TRICKY CREEK)
SCR  ENGLISH CASTLE Aug28 Jul25 Jun14 May03 Nov03 (de h)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SEA COAST by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR)
SCR  EXECUTIVE MOVE Aug28 Jul27 Dec29     (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
SCR  TIZ THE PRINCE Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 Jun06 Nov12 (duggan p)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TIZ EPIC by TIZNOW)
 
BAQ-4   09/26/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK POWER NAP Aug23 Jul13 Jun15 May18 Mar16 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50    
2  SHE TAKES CASH Aug25 Aug03 Jul06 May26 May02 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
3  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Sep15 Feb17 Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
4  BEAUTIFUL THIEF Aug17 Jun06       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  IN THE END Aug30 Aug04 Jun30 Jun06 May25 (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
6  DUSK Aug03 Jun15 May18 Oct29 Oct01 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
7  FLIGHT CONTROL Sep19 Jan14 Dec01     (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
8  U SHOULD B DANCING Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 Apr20 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
9  LINARITE Aug30 Aug23 Aug04 Jul28 Jun20 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
10  AUNT YOLA Aug23 Jul19 May24 Apr21 Mar22 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
11  KANT CALL IT Jun15 Apr25 Jul27     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIM Aug10 Aug03 Jul18 Jun15 May25 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT Sep19 Jul18 Jun30 Jun20 May24 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80    
 
BAQ-5   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA INDECENTE Jun20 May25 Nov10 Oct21   (jimene)GRISALES DANILO 121 15.00    
2  SENDERA Aug23 Jul04 Jun09 May18 May11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  WIDOW Jul11 Nov20 Oct18     (barker )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 30.00    
SCR  MOOSE MANDY Jun27         (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
5  NIKKI BRAINBURST Aug23 May24       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
6  MAXING THE BANK Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 Feb17 Feb02 (parker joseph)LUZZI J 124 50.00    
7  WHEN YOUR STRANGE         (englehart chri)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 39% 1.50    
8  STEPPIN' HAWK Jul26 Jun20 May26 Apr14 Mar21 (hosang oliver )BROWN DALTON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  DREAMING OF CARLI Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 Jun09 Feb17 (barker edw)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
10  DREAM ON CARA Aug23 Apr14 Mar29 Feb02 Jan07 (rodriguez gus)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  DIGITAL CURRENCY Aug14 Jul14 Jun28 May26 May02 (potts w)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/26/2024 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM John Hettinger Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSY MORNING Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 Apr18 Feb28 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  MARVELOUS MAUDE Aug25 Jul07 Apr21 May29 Oct30 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAIT YOUR TURN by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
3  SILVER SKILLET Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 Apr25 Nov11 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
4  SNOWY EVENING Aug22 Jul24 Jul07 Jun28 May24 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00    
  (by FROSTED out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
5  CAN'T FOOL ME Aug22 Jul24 Jun23 May25 Nov19 (de h)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
6  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Aug25 Nov12 Sep22 Aug27 Aug06 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 8% 12.30    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  MOONAGE DAYDREAM Aug25 Jul04 May24 Jun25 May29 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ELATHA by MALIBU MOON)
8  POWER AND GLORY Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jul03 Jun25 (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 122 50.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of MAMA GET EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
9  SCORING CHANCE Aug28 Jul07 Apr25 Dec29 Nov19 (abreu jor)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 30.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  STERLING SILVER Aug07 Jul24 Jun23 May04 Apr06 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.20    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jul11 Jun21 May10 Dec28 Oct29 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PRIVACY by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug22 Jul11 Jun09 Apr25 Mar24 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 122 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Sep13 Aug14 Aug03 Jul18 Jun20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
BAQ-7   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TABEGUACHE Aug15 May09 Mar21 Jan26 Dec28 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 7% 13.30    
2  WINIT Aug23 May03 Apr07 Mar07 Jan26 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 9% 10.60    
3  PHILEAS FOGG Aug03 Jul13 Jun06 Apr30 Mar15 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 10.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Sep19 Aug18 Aug08 Jun29 Jun09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
5  CURBSTONE Aug21 Jun23 May09 Mar30 Feb25 (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
6  BLAZING SEVENS Jul11 Jun08 Apr20 Jul21 May20 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  LOST ARK Dec31 Nov11 Oct07 Sep01 Jul21 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
SCR  UNTREATED Aug23 Jul11 Mar19 Oct01 Sep03 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00    
9  FULL SCREEN Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 Apr20 Mar16 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 9% 9.80    
10  MAKER'S CANDY Aug18 Jun09 May17 Apr07 Feb24 (maker mich)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
11  INSTANT COFFEE Aug17 Apr20 Feb17 Mar25 Jan21 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 122 30.00    
12  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Aug23 May09 Mar18 Dec28 Nov26 (ryerson james )ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
13  ROCKET CAN Aug23 Jul11 Mar16 May06 Apr01 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/26/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN THE BAPTIST Aug29 Aug04 Jun30 May19 Apr17 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
2  BE THERE Jul04 May27 May12 Apr21 Mar16 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  SASSY ALLIE Jul28 May27       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 7% 14.10    
4  NILRUC         (brown bruc)RIVERA R 121 20.00    
5  BETTA GO GO GO Sep17 Aug12 Jul07 Jun21 May27 (gonzalez claudi)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
6  EL ALACRAN Sep01 Jun21 Jun02 Mar07 Feb10 (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
7  GENERAL AGENT         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
8  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Aug29         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00    
9  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Sep14 Aug31 Jun21 Apr19 Apr03 (paragal)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  REVEREND MOON Aug29 Nov09 Sep22 Sep01 Aug12 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  WAR STRIDE Jan07 Dec09 Nov12 Sep17 Aug11 (weaver george)RIDER TBA 124 1.80    
SCR  GLINT Aug24 Jul31 Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
SCR  HOULTON Aug24 Jul31 Jun15 Dec09 Oct26 (mott i)RIDER TBA 121 2.50    
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART Jul31 Jul11 Jun12 Apr12 Mar09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
SCR  FIRST TRUMPET Sep19 Sep02 Aug05 May10 Apr21 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
SCR  SHAKIN THE BELLE Sep09 Aug31 Jul24 Jun28 May25 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.