Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - June 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(5/4/1)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/5/3)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/3/5)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(9/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/5/1)-(3/4/2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(9/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(9/2/5)-(7/2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (9/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/5)-(9/2/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5)-(9/2/5/3/7)-(9/2/5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/2/5)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5)-(7/2/6/4)-(4/3/8/13/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/4)-(4/3/8/13/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (4/3/8/13/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/13/5)-(4/3/8/13/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/13/5)-(4/3/8/13/5)-(4/3/8/13/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   06/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE DUNES Mar27 Jan14 Nov26 Nov13 Oct01 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of TORRENT by BLAME)
DIGITAL OPS Oct06         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of FLORA DORA by FIRST DUDE)
DEPUTY MISCHIEF May16         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DELIGHTFUL MARY by LIMEHOUSE)
TREATY OBLIGATION May16 Jul21 Jun22 Apr08 Mar04 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
PENTATHLON Jun07 Oct06 Aug05     (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 24% 3.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PARADE by TAPIT)
 
BAQ-2   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 Dec06   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HIDDEN ROSIE by SIGNATURE RED)
I'M THINKING Apr07 Mar09       (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  OOPS HAHA         (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SHOWTIME SIS by EUROEARS)
SHOP LIFTING May27 Nov19 Nov04 Aug26   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SHOP by DEPUTY MINISTER)
BOURBON SERENGETI Dec17         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TANZANIA ROAD by ARCH)
COST CONTAINMENT         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CAT DANCER by STORM CAT)
 
BAQ-3   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH JACKSON May24 Apr07 Mar14 Dec30 Nov30 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.60 53% 0.90    
ROJA LIGERA May12 Apr05 Mar16 Feb04 Jan11 (follett norman)VAZQUEZ A 123 12.00    
FULIGNI May21 Jan11 Oct23 Aug02 Jun17 (bond h)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL May24 Apr20 Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
FIRST CLASS CAT Jun20 May24 Apr25 Mar15 Feb17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 20% 4.10    
TRY IT AGAIN May24 May02 Feb16 Feb04 Jan26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
 
BAQ-4   06/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE TO TWO May10 Apr21 Apr06 Feb24 Jan28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
MAGGY'S PALACE Jun15 Nov06 Sep25 Aug15   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
ENFUEGA Nov05 Sep28       (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.50 26% 2.80    
NEWSDLEY May16 Apr18 Feb17 Dec29 Dec01 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
GEORGE'S VICE Apr25 Mar16 Jan26 Dec31 Dec08 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
FRANNIE LEW Jun22 May17 Apr25 Apr07 Mar07 (jones edu)BOCACHICA J 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-5   06/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT May04 Mar30 Feb02 Dec09 Nov12 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
PRINTRACK Apr27 Mar30 Mar03 Feb04 Jan07 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.00 72% 0.40    
MARKET ALERT Jun09 May04 Apr11 Mar08 Feb16 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Jun14 Apr19 Mar17 Feb29 Feb11 (jones eduardo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 15.00    
MAILMAN MONEY Jun08 May25 Apr14 Feb08 Jan21 (breen kelly )CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
GUN MAESTRO Jun16 May18 May02 Apr05 Feb29 (jones edu)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50    
BEACHWALKER Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 Mar01 Feb19 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   06/30/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING FREUD Jun14 May27 Apr28 Mar24 Jan19 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIAR'S POKER May09 Nov26 Oct16     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
TETA'S TROTTER Jun06         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
MIRACLE MIKE Jun09 May04 Oct13 Sep17 Aug27 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
CLEAR CONSCIENCE May27 Dec14 Oct26 Jul02 Jun10 (lewis l)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SOX FOR DAUGHTERS Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29   (falk jac)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
DOLLY'S BANK May27 Apr27 Apr11 Mar14 Feb18 (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
AMERICAN GRANT Jun07 Apr28 Apr05 Aug27 Jul13 (brown r)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
TOPIC CHANGER Mar25 Nov13 Oct29 Oct07 Sep02 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  B D SAINTS Jun06 Dec16 Oct29 Oct04 Sep17 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00    
11  GOLD TEMPLAR Jun19 May27 May06 Nov21 Oct02 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 30.00    
SCR  BOB JOHN RAY May25 Apr13 Feb25     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   06/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOD LAUGHS Nov12 Oct05       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
WIND DANCER Jun06         (donk david)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by WAR DANCER out of LADY CAMILLE by DESERT PARTY)
ALL GOOD HERE Jun06 Jul21 Jun23 Apr14 Mar15 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PROFESSIONAL WOMAN by DISTINCTIVE PRO)
TIZ THE PRINCE Jun06 Nov12       (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TIZ EPIC by TIZNOW)
SORORITY PRANK Jun15 May11 Apr13 Mar21 Feb25 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SAFFREDI Jun06         (bond kevin)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TIZ A TEXAN by TIZNOW)
Z DANCER May26 May10 Apr12 Mar21 Feb23 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 125 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
ME WISE MAGIC         (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of STRANGE MAGIC by LAWYER RON)
MISSION HILL Jun06 Aug23 Jul21 Jun25   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by STREET BOSS out of INDY SUMMER by A.P. INDY)
10  SIX FORTYFIVE Nov18 Oct05       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ARISTRA by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  D C BOY'S         (levine bruce)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
SCR  ROMANTIC CHARMER Jun06 May11 Apr04 Mar07 Feb17 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 118 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
SCR  BIG EGO Jun09 May11 Mar24 Feb11   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of FALCONESS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
 
BAQ-8   06/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKITIS Apr07 Feb03 Dec01 Sep28 Sep03 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
ST. BENEDICTS PREP May24 May03 Apr13 Feb28 Dec20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
RISK FREE May05 Apr27 Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00    
BELLE OF THE BALL May26 Apr18 Apr07 Mar24 Feb17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY GIRL JAL May11 Apr18 Mar24 Feb23 Jan26 (legall)GRISALES DANILO 123 15.00    
PITCH CLOCK May11 Apr14 Jun23 May05 Mar04 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 13% 6.40    
CUPID'S HEART Oct05 Aug30 Jul22 Jun23 Nov25 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
BAQ-9   06/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONFABULATION         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50    
SCR  STRATEGIC DECISION Mar14 Jan28       (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50    
PUJOL Jun06 May12 Nov16 Oct28   (ibrahi)GRISALES DANILO 125 20.00    
POKER JOKER May19 Apr14       (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
FOUR TOP May19 Mar10 Jan06 Nov11   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
BADGE OF WAR Apr26 Mar01 Nov14 Oct03   (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PARKWAY May19 Apr13 Dec10 Oct30 Sep03 (mott i)LUZZI J 125 6.00    
SANDBORN         (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
COBBLESTONE BRIDGE May17 Mar10 Aug03     (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
ASK ISAAC Sep02 Jul22       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
10  JOHN THE BAPTIST May19 Apr17       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
11  MCCULLOUGH Feb18 Dec24 Nov06     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
12  PAXSATIONAL Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 May28 Jan06 (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00    
13  RIVERWALK May18 Apr26 Mar27 Feb24 Nov26 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DARK DEVIL Jun15 May10 Apr26     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
SCR  GLINT Apr21 Mar24 Mar09     (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.