Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Friday - June 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (8/7/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (11/10/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (13/11/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (4/3/11/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (3/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-11   Win (7/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHEDRAL BEACH Jun06 May04 Apr14 Mar24 Feb23 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
ZIPPIN GIGI May25 Apr18 Feb29 Feb03 May03 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
GUNNER BAY Jun02 Apr14 Mar22 Feb25 Feb03 (margolis r)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
MOLTO VIVACE May27 Apr05 Mar14 Feb28 Jan31 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
G T FIVE HUNDRED Jun12 May12 Mar29 Feb23 Jan13 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.50 12% 7.40    
TAILLIGHTS May04 Oct04 Aug02 Jul08 May25 (lauer michael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
CAPTIVATING BOY May27 May01 Mar30 Feb25 Jan26 (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
FITZPATRICK Jun12 May10 Apr18 Oct01 Aug27 (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
CD-2   06/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELAKA Jun02 Apr11 Mar22 Aug26 Jul14 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.00 9% 10.00    
DONTKISSDAMINISTER Jun08 May16 Mar22 Feb21 Oct20 (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 124 5.00    
MUCHO MOJO May25 May02 Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  PHILHARMONIC May24 Apr19 Mar29 Dec17 Nov04 (zito p)RIQUELME J 124 3.00    
EL FRANCO Mar14 Feb16 Jan28 Nov22 Nov02 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00    
MR. PETERKIN May02 Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 Jan04 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 124 15.00 9% 10.70    
MONTAUK POINT Feb25 Jan07 Oct14 Sep02 Jul21 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 6% 16.20    
STAR NATION Jun12 May24 Apr27 Apr05 Mar15 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00    
 
CD-3   06/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUT'S REVENGE Jun06 Apr07 Jan27 Dec30 Nov11 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
CASH EQUITY (FR) Jun06 Jan27 Nov02 Oct01 Sep02 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
HIDDEN STASH Jun06 May13 Apr14 Feb16 Jun17 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 13% 7.00    
SIVAKO May19 Mar08 May28 Apr09 Dec30 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 20.00    
HOWLING TIME May31 Mar02 Jun01 Jul23 Jun12 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 10.00    
BAL A KAZOO May06 Nov09 Oct08 Aug19 Jul08 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HIGHWAY ROBBER May18 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 May28 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 124 2.50    
RUNNIN' RAY May31 Jan14 Nov13 Sep01 Jul09 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME Jun14 May11 Jan20 Dec23 Nov04 (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  RAISE CAIN May30 May04 Apr06 Dec26 Oct21 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50    
 
CD-4   06/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATLER INN         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
JEWISH MOTHER Jun16         (hobby steve)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROSHIELL MY BELLE         (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
MARY LOVES LOUIE         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIAVANA         (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
SCR  VINO TIEMPO         (vance d)TORRES A 119 15.00    
DELICATE May19         (tomlinson mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
WAVER         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
LA BUKANA         (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 6% 14.70    
10  BARBARINA         (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 119 12.00    
 
CD-5   06/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF ARMS Jun06 Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 Jan01 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 123 4.50    
CHANCE May12 Apr26 Mar08 Jan26 Dec29 (drury jr)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  HEART N SOUL Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Nov16 Oct25 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 123 15.00    
SUPREMELY Apr07 Feb23 Dec29 Nov22 Nov02 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr04 Feb09 (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  GILDED CRAKEN Jun02 May11 Apr12 Mar03 Jan18 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
MAUNA KEA BOUND May17 Mar31 Mar03 Jan28 Dec16 (ewing an)CASTANON L 123 8.00    
HARRODSBURG May24 Apr12 Jul01 May06 Mar26 (tomlinson mich)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
B SUDD May30 May12 Apr12 Feb23 Feb03 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.00    
 
CD-6   06/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUSSETTE May11 Apr24 Mar07 Feb04 Dec15 (stall m)TORRES A 118 3.50    
CAJUN CRUISER Jun16 May26 May04     (husak j)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 6% 14.50    
REMEMBER THE FEAR May30 Aug27 Aug06     (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 30.00    
OATHBREAKER Jun06 Apr25 Mar21     (margolis r)RIQUELME J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
YELL COUNTY Jun12 May19 Apr13 Mar09 Feb24 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  OVERSTATEMENT Jun07 May24       (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD Apr13 Mar16 Feb10     (forster t)CASTANON L 126 4.50    
FEAR OF UNION Jun06 Apr24 Mar24 Mar01 Sep15 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 12.00    
BECKSTER Jun16 May23 Apr26     (atras rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
10  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) May18 Apr24 Feb22 Jan25 Jan07 (stewart da)SANTANA JR 126 4.00 15% 5.70    
11  SAGITTARIUS May18 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 5.00 45% 1.20    
12  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS Jun06 May04 Apr07 Mar09 Feb24 (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   06/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY STACK Apr27 Mar23 Feb15 Nov23 Oct27 (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00    
CECILE (IRE) May30 Aug13 Jul22 Jun24 May13 (schultz lindsay)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
OUR DOTSIE May30 Mar03 Jan31 Nov29 Oct18 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  BELLA HAZE May10 Apr04 Nov25 Oct06 Sep10 (santamaria)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
JOHANNY May11 Mar23 Feb23 Jan20 Nov26 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) May12 Apr12 Sep10 Jul20 Jun11 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE May23 Apr24 Mar09 Feb10 Dec31 (sancal murat)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00    
DREAMING OF MO May30 Apr27 Mar23 Feb22 Nov16 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
CANDY BAR May30 Apr20 Mar21 Feb10 Jan13 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LAST CALL (ARG) May11 Apr14 Oct27     (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00    
11  BIG TROUBLE Jun06 May11 Apr12 Feb18 Jan21 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 15% 5.90    
12  MUSICAL PRAYER May16 Mar06 Nov10 Oct28 Sep24 (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00    
13  MILLIAT (IRE) Mar09 Feb03 Dec09     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  DIVINELY BOLT Jun05 May09 Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 (simms jr)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
 
CD-8   06/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTALLY JUSTIFIED         (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
MAD ABOUT MARIE         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
ATOMIC CITY         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
BLACK DOG         (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  QUINN'S PROMISE         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
TIZNTSHELOVELY May24         (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A SWEDE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
POOTOOGOOK         (arnold george )TORRES A 119 20.00    
TRADING SECRETS         (lukas way)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MISS MARTINI         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
11  OLIVIA'S POTION         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 14.30    
12  REIGN CHAMPAGNE         (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00    
 
CD-9   06/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTY N THE BOLT May30 Apr27 Mar06 Feb07 Jan03 (delima e)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
KRICKLE May30 May09 Jan26 Dec29 Dec08 (holsapple hu)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
REAGAN'S FLAME May31 Mar20 Feb01 Dec31 Oct13 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
SHE'S COOL May31 Apr19 Mar02 Aug05   (bogle fergu)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE Jun08 May09 Apr05 Mar07 Feb10 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
CRAZY CAMI May25 Nov02 Oct06 Aug31 Aug13 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
WINAKACHING May25 Apr20 Mar28     (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 4.50    
BEELIEVE HER Jun08 May23 Mar14 Feb17 Jan20 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  BACKSTRETCH ROSE Jun05 May03 Dec30 Nov03 Sep28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
10  ZADORSKY May25 Nov25 Oct29 Sep14 Aug13 (beckman whitwo)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
11  INDESCRIPTABLE Jan07 Dec08 Nov18     (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
 
CD-10   06/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENEDETTA Sep09 Aug12 Jul08     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 8.00    
ASTERNIA May03 Mar16 Feb02 Dec31 Nov25 (morse randy)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  MS. TART May31 Oct17 Sep16 Aug24   (cox h)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  TANYA SHOWERS May31 May03 Apr04 Mar03 Feb17 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
NAY V BELLE May25 Apr21 Mar09 Feb18   (foley greg)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  INTO CHAMPAGNE May03 Mar30 Mar02 Jan07 Jun16 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 3.00    
LADY MOSCATO May17 May03 Apr12 Mar17 Feb17 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6% 14.50    
FIBBER May25 May11 Apr05 Dec23 Nov25 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
TRIAL May31 Mar23 Feb21 Dec23 Nov18 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-11   06/28/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKING FOR GINNY Jun05 Apr20 Mar14 Feb13   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
ABOVE ALL ELSE May25 Apr20       (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
STAY LOST Apr21 Oct07 Jun24 May13 Apr19 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
CENTURIA (IRE) Apr18 Mar24       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00    
TIME FOR MAGIC May18 Apr12       (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
STRATOSPHERIC Jun05         (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00    
SOUNDBITE Jun01 Apr20       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
UNION MIST Jun01 May03 Mar23 Feb24 Jan18 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 7% 12.60    
SCR  FADED JEANS (GB)         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
10  I AM THE SAUCE May25         (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
11  LEMON LATTE Apr05 Mar02       (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
12  LEAMETATRAINER Jun06         (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR May25 Apr05 Mar01 Jan24 Dec13 (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  FOR LOVE AND HONOR May27 May04 Apr18 Mar06 Feb14 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  REDO Jun27 May27 May04 Apr05 Mar08 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SCR  MY BRAZILIAN GIRL Oct24 Sep23       (wadsworth kathle)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.