Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - June 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(4/2/5)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/3/2)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(4/2)-(3/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   06/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORABLE WOMAN May16 Apr25 Mar09 Nov16 Nov07 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
2  DANCE MY WAY May13 Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS EASY May13 Apr22 Mar02 Feb17 Jan24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
4  VIMISOFA May13 Apr22 Jan31 Jan01 Sep13 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
5  QADIRA May15 Apr29 Apr04 Mar20 Sep05 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 117 12.00    
6  PARDY PLEASER Feb21 Jan25 Dec02 Nov05 Sep30 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-2   06/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAKEMAKER May01 Apr06       (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 2.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of AVAROOSKIE by CONGRATS)
2  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE May20 Oct19 Sep26 Sep05 Aug17 (meyers shan)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INDIVAR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  CRY IF I WANT TO May08 Apr21 Mar29 Mar14 Feb18 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
4  FLATTERING HEART May08 Dec29 Dec01 Nov01   (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by FLATTER out of HEART D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  QUICKSTYLE May08 Apr02 Mar07 Feb15 Feb06 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of SIMPLISTIC by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
 
TDN-3   06/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVIN'S EXPRESS May15 Apr24 Feb28 Jan24 Jan02 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
2  POWERFUL PHIL May15 Apr24 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY May15 Apr24 Oct12 Sep25 Sep04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST May04 Apr04 Feb13 Jan30 Dec27 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
5  SHOW SLIDING HOME May15 Apr04 Mar11 Feb28 Nov21 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
6  NEBULOSA May15 Apr23 Oct13 Sep04 Aug03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00    
 
TDN-4   06/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINDNESS IS FREE May20 Apr29 Feb21 Jan10 Dec28 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50    
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN Nov07 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  HEART OF THE BEAST Mar12 Feb22 Feb06 Nov29 Nov07 (mckanas j)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCR  KISS ME ON OCONEE May10 Mar23 Dec29 Nov15 Oct24 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  WICKED WONDER Feb01 Dec05 Nov07 Apr25 Apr03 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 4.00 ★    
6  MALI BALI May15 Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb24 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   06/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER SCOTT May17 Mar23 Feb07 Jan24 Dec28 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
SCR  LOGICO May21 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Jan01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
3  ROYAL DRAGOON Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 Aug02 Jul24 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00 52% 0.90    
4  CARILLO May20 Nov02 Oct03 Sep08 Jul05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  STAR ENTERTAINER Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 Jan03 Dec20 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
6  CREDIT RIVER May20 May01 Apr09 Dec20 Dec04 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
7  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Apr25 Apr02 Mar20 Feb15 Jan30 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   06/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOAK AND DAGGER May14 Apr14 Mar24 Feb29 Jan31 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
2  COASTING BY Apr18 Feb15 Jan31 Jan06   (cannon st)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BEAT TO QUARTERS by WAR FRONT)
3  IT'S ABOUT TIME May21 Mar03       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHUT IT UP by VIOLENCE)
4  GREERS FERRY May14 Apr27 Apr07 Mar28 Mar10 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  LEAVENWORTH Apr20 Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Feb12 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ELECTIVE by GRAND SLAM)
6  GUT INSTINCT May14 Apr26 Mar23 Feb21   (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 1.80    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FINE INSTINCTS by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
TDN-7   06/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS L J May01 Dec26 Nov20 Oct28 Sep25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
2  K P SILVER BULLET May22 Apr30 Oct21 Oct03 Sep12 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GUN LAP May21 Aug14 Jul04 May30 May11 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  MR LOOOCH May14 Dec04 Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  JOKEMEISTER May20 Apr25 Apr11 Mar20 Feb29 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 6.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN May14 Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Mar06 (castillo jabdie)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
7  SUSIE'S KID May15 Oct24 Oct06 Sep13 Aug23 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
8  POWERFUL MOON May14 Apr23 Apr11 Mar05 Feb12 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00    
 
TDN-8   06/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PECKS NOT BAD May01 Apr04 Mar11 Feb21 Feb06 (juarez lorenz)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  WEEKEND BUZZ May14 Apr24 Mar18 Feb28 Feb19 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
3  BABA LOOEY May20 Jan24 Dec04 Nov06 Oct13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
4  RED HOT POWER May22 Apr24 Mar25 Mar14 Mar06 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
5  PRIMITIVO Jan24 Jan01 Nov08 Oct13 Sep25 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OHIO EAGLE May15 Dec12 Nov07 Oct13 Sep19 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.