Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/3/4)-(4/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/2/3)-(1/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/7/6)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(1/6/5)-(8/3/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/3/5/7)-(1/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/7)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/7)-(1/5/2)-(7/9/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/2)-(7/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/2)-(7/9/1/2)-(7/9/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL EXPRESS Feb04 Dec30 Nov03 Oct14   (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUE ANGEL EXPRESS by MARCIANO)
2  DREAMS SHE DREAMS Mar10         (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 125 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of URBANINI by BERNARDINI)
3  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Jan11 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 (metivier rich)OLVER MADISON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KODIAC out of EAVESDROP by PHONE TRICK)
4  ANA'S GUN Jan05 Nov20       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 0.80 69% 0.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MISS ALWAYS READY by MORE THAN READY)
5  SHIRL'S DELIGHT Feb23 Dec15 Nov19 Sep26 Mar19 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.60    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  HIDDEN WAR DANCE         (winney mel)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 30.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FUNKY MUNKY MAMA by LION HEARTED)
 
AQU-2   04/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA BANKER Feb10 Jan11 Jan05 Dec08 Nov10 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
2  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Mar07 Feb17 Jan11 Nov16 Oct05 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
3  MY FIRST LOVE Mar15 Feb19 Jul02 Jun01 May04 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  APRIL ANTICS Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
5  SOLIB Jan05 Dec14 Nov14 Nov03 Oct22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
6  STARRY MIDNIGHT Mar28 Mar03 Jan07 Jan01 Dec03 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
 
AQU-3   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NARCISO DALI Mar10 Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 Nov02 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
2  HARVARD Feb23 Jul02 Apr30 Mar18 Feb19 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
3  BEST BET Mar08 Feb16 Dec16 Jun19 May20 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 11% 7.80    
4  PATIENT CAPITAL Aug04 May03 Apr13 Mar11 Feb11 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Mar01 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Oct19 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
6  SKI COUNTRY Jun23 Jun02 May14 Apr16 Mar11 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
 
AQU-4   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SCREAMING UNCLE Feb24 Dec28 Dec16 Nov24 Oct13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  GUN MAESTRO Feb29 Jan18 Dec30 Dec17 Nov17 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.00    
SCR  SCREW LOOSE Feb29 Jan11 Dec02 Nov10 Sep21 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00    
SCR  FREEZE POP Jun15 May20 Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
4  FLASHY ALEX Mar21 Feb29 Feb03 Jan06 Dec17 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
5  SCOTTO Mar08 Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 Dec28 (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
6  RUN DIEM Z Sep18 Aug16 Aug04 Jun15   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BARGAINING POWER Mar21 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 Dec16 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
AQU-5   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE VELOCE Mar22 Feb10 Jan05 Dec09 Nov09 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  TERESA Mar21 Feb11 Jan13 Dec08 Oct12 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 118 12.00    
3  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW Mar15 Oct12 Jul26     (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
4  ACCELERINA Mar02 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 2.50    
5  UNCAPTURED QUEEN         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00 5% 18.20    
6  MANGIA Feb19 Feb10 Jan05 Dec16 Nov09 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
7  ZHEN LOU Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA         (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 113 30.00    
 
AQU-6   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY JAZZ Mar08 Feb24 Feb02 Nov15 Oct23 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
2  CUPIDS GIRL Mar01 Feb23 Jan11 Nov19 Oct22 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
3  JOEY THE FISH Mar08 Feb24 Feb16 Dec31 Dec10 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  TRIPLE P Mar15 Mar07 Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
5  JOLLY MISS JILL Mar24 Feb24 Feb17 Dec08 Nov16 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  VEGAS WEEKEND Mar22 Feb24 Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
7  PEACHY WEACHY Mar04 Feb06 Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
8  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Feb24 Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 Aug03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 28% 2.50    
9  GRINGOTTS Mar22 Feb02 Jan07 Nov24 Nov09 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
 
AQU-7   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISARMED Mar03 Jan28 Dec16 Oct29 Sep28 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  LISTENTOYOURHEART Mar02 Feb02 Dec31 Jun09 May06 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.50 11% 7.70    
3  SPUN AND WON Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 Dec15 Nov01 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
4  STOLEN BASE Mar07 Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 Oct14 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
5  TWISTED RIDE Oct27 Oct14 Sep03 Aug21 Jul01 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  JOEY FRESHWATER Feb09 Jan06 Aug22 Jul29 Jul16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
 
AQU-8   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRICE IS TRUTH Nov04 Oct04 Aug24 Jul27   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
1A  BREAK THE FALL         (de hor)RIVERA R 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
  (by MASTERY out of MINEFUL by MINESHAFT)
2  ROMANTIC CHARMER Mar07 Feb17       (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
3  BOSS TWEED         (contessa gar)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MS GRETCHS DESTINY by DANCE TO DESTINY)
SCR  GRAND OPENING (IRE)         (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of RIBBON CUTTER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  FREEDSDALE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  TOSCANO         (rivelli larry)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LAUDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  IRISH TENOR Mar10 Feb17 Jan18     (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BOOM BOOM THUNDER         (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  BOSUN         (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KIPLING'S JOY by KIPLING)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.