Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Tuesday - February 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/6)-(8/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/6)-(8/4/7/5)-(7/6/5/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-2   WIN (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/2/5)-(8/4/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/7/5)-(7/6/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/5)-(7/6/5/9)-(3/2/6/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (7/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/9)-(7/6/5/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/9)-(7/6/5/4/9)-(7/6/5/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/5/9)-(3/2/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/9)-(3/2/6/7/1)-(3/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/2/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7/1)-(3/2/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7/1)-(3/2/6/7/1)-(3/2/6/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7/1)-(3/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7/1)-(3/4)-(3/6/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(3/6/8)-(6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/1/4)-(3/6/8/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(6/7/2)-(3/7/4/8/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-7   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(3/7/4/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(3/7/4/8/5)-(2/9/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-8   WIN (3/7/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/8/5)-(3/7/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/8/5)-(3/7/4/8/5)-(3/7/4/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/4/8/5)-(2/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/5)-(2/9/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/5)-(2/9/5/8/7)-(2/9/5/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUJU NINETEEN Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Aug27 Jul31 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 9% 10.50    
SARAH'S VISION Dec27 Dec01 Oct28 Jul23 Jun10 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
SIR OVERANALYZE Jan27 Dec21 Nov30 May29 Mar24 (dandridge co)MURRAY M 121 20.00    
NORTHERNREFLECTION Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov25 Aug21 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
QUARTER RAT Dec27 Nov25 Oct27 Jul28 Jul07 (delahoussaye gl)LANERIE J 121 3.50    
J B GRAY Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Aug27 Jul31 (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
TSURIS Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 Aug28 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
FORT BONZ Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 Aug10 May10 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
FG-2   02/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICKIN CHIP Jan04 Dec23       (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ESKENFORMORE by ESKENDEREYA)
BRADFIELD BABY Dec30 Aug21 Aug05     (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CAROLINA SKY by SKY CLASSIC)
REGATTA BAY Jan19 Dec23       (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00    
  (by DAAHER out of LITTLE BUTTERCUP by LABEEB (GB))
EMILY'S BOY Dec30 Oct28       (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EMILY JO by TIAGO)
RED ROCK SOLUTION Dec21 Nov30       (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MISTERHOLYROLLER Jan25         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILD RANGER by U S RANGER)
CYPRESS GOLD Jan19 Dec30 Dec09     (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 120 4.50 5% 17.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PENROSE by LEMON DROP KID)
FREDDIE BY A NOSE Nov25         (rivelli larry)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of MAGGIES RANSOM by THUNDER GULCH)
TEMPLE OF PEACE Jan27 Dec30 Nov25     (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SEASONED by PULPIT)
 
FG-3   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Jan25 Dec30 Dec16 Aug12 Jul15 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
TWO DOT Jan21 Dec30 Dec08 Nov18 Jul04 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  MARK THE MOOSE Jan21 Dec08 Nov01 Sep13 Aug02 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 121 10.00    
JRUE BREEZE Jan25 Dec21 Dec07 Nov18 Oct20 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00    
SAILOR CHOW Jan27 Dec29 Dec06 Sep18 Aug07 (guillory henry )MCMAHON J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN RICHIE Jan11 Dec17 Nov24 Oct04 Sep04 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
GLENN'S JUMPER Dec30 Dec08 Jul29 Jun18 May28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
GALLANT BUCK Jan12 Dec21 Nov24 Oct17 Sep30 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00    
DESOTO'S WAR Dec30 Dec03 Aug06 Jun14 May04 (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Jan21 Dec30 Dec08 Jul20 Jul08 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 30.00    
 
FG-4   02/13/2024 4950ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TIME GEM Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 Nov23 Sep12 (johnston lan)MURRAY M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
OPTIMUS KAT Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 Oct13 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
OPTIMAL COURAGE Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 Oct16 (silva miguel)TORRES A 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
OF THE MOMENT Jan21 Dec29 Dec07 Oct21 Sep27 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
SCR  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jan25 Jan04 Nov26 Aug23 Jul22 (barnett c)MELANCON G 120 30.00    
NOBRAG JUSTFACT Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 Jun11 May24 (heitzman e)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
AFLEET ASCENT Dec08 Nov24 Sep10 Aug04 Jul22 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00 6% 15.50    
CHARLIE G Nov24 Sep02 Jul20 Jun15 May25 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 8.00    
NILES CHANNEL Jan21 Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 Aug28 (savoie sherman)CURTIS BEN 124 3.50    
10  CHAOSMOS Jan21 Dec29 Dec02 Nov17 Nov03 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
11  SMOKEY HARBOR Jan07 Jun24 May29 Mar04 Feb11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00    
SCR  HERD IMMUNITY Jan25 Jan07 Dec16 Nov17 Oct13 (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
SCR  YOLANDA WHO Jan13 Nov19 Nov09 Oct15 Sep24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 115 4.50    
 
FG-5   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURVEILLANCE Jan19 Jul01 May26 May04 Apr15 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 3.00    
WILLTORUN Dec31 Nov17 Oct21 Aug04 Jun23 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
MARSALIS Aug11 Jul01 Nov23 Nov04 Sep22 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.20 67% 0.50    
MORELLO (NZ) Jan19 May06 Mar18 Feb17 Dec30 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
KAVOD Jan19 Dec23 Nov23 Oct07 Sep20 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50    
 
FG-6   02/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBT PAID Jan12 Nov22 Oct13 Sep20   (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 4.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of PRISONER'S DILEMMA by BLAME)
BALTIMORE HEART Jan12 Dec16       (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of FLIGHT PATTERN by STRAIGHT LINE)
PATRIARCHAL Jan12         (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 72% 0.40    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HAPPY MOTORING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MAP TO THE STARS         (mcgee paul)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of INCLUDE ME OUT by INCLUDE)
BRONTE DIEM         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of ZAMSWEET by ZAMINDAR)
SHERIFF JOE Jan18 Nov25 Oct28 Sep13 Aug25 (stidham )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 5% 18.50    
  (by CURLIN out of RECOLLECTION by CHEROKEE RUN)
KING OF THE PALACE Jan13 Nov18 Sep29 Aug20 Jul17 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SIRCAT SALLY by SURF CAT)
LOST IN THE SAUCE         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SARATOGA SUMMER by SMART STRIKE)
NOBLE EAGLE         (beckman wh)TORRES A 120 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BIG MEESH by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
SCR  LINZER Jan18 Dec22 Oct29 Oct07 Aug25 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 2.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MACAROON by TAPIT)
SCR  PARTYVICIOUS         (stall m)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of BUSY BEV by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  DIAMOND LORD         (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  GLACIAL POWER Jul08         (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
SCR  HIGGINS BOAT Jan20 Jun01       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
SCR  CRUEL ENDEAVOR         (johnston lan)MURRAY M 120 8.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of EBONY CAT by CAT'S CAREER)
 
FG-7   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARRYMEN Jan06 Dec20 Nov07 Sep19 Aug09 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
SHOGUN BE FAST Sep17         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
BEAR RIVER Jan18 Nov22 Nov09 Oct07 Sep10 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 Oct29 Oct07 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
CATS BY FIVE Jan18 Nov28 Oct11 Aug30 Aug11 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
DONCHO Dec30         (lovell miche)TORRES A 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
AGOO Dec23 Nov25 Oct22 Sep17   (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
FG-8   02/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Mardi Gras Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANA'S BEAUTY Dec23 Dec02 Oct25 Sep25 Aug29 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CITY SIREN by CITY ZIP)
SCR  CARIMBA Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 Sep24 Jul05 (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of STAR OF GALLANTRY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
OVA CHARGED Jan06 Dec09 Apr15 Mar05 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CHARGED COTTON by DEHERE)
REDIFINED Nov25 Nov03 Aug12 Jun03 Mar29 (lovell miche)TORRES A 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MRS. BOSS by WILD EVENT)
BRANDON'SMYLAWYER Jan06 Nov03 Sep01 Nov26 Oct01 (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of IVORY PEARL by PULPIT)
POPPY FLOWER Nov17 Jul22 Jun09 May07 Apr14 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
OEUVRE Jan06 Nov18 Oct21 Sep07 Jul26 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SWEET TEMPERAMENT Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 Oct12 Jun24 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 9% 10.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SWEET BASIL by PULPIT)
BREEZE EASY (GB) Jan06 Dec08 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 (catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POLAR CIRCLE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
10  JUMPIN JUDY Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 Nov01 Oct18 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of STAGE DIRECTION by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  LADY HIDEAWAY Nov03 Sep15 Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LITTLE BULL RUN by HOLY BULL)
SCR  NAUGHTY LOTTIE Jan13 Dec22 Mar03 Feb11 Dec30 (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SCARLET EMERALD by DESERT PARTY)
 
FG-9   02/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSTERVILLE PUBLIC Jan18 Dec20       (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RESTLESS RIDER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PRETTY ANA Jan18         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of QUIET GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CHURNING BERNI Dec21 Nov25 Nov03     (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
FASTA LAVISTA BABY Jan18 Dec21 Nov15 Oct21 Sep27 (scherer t)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of VERY FASHIONABLE by OLD FASHIONED)
MISCHIEVOUSNESS Jan18 Dec17 Nov05 Sep16   (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of WILD FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LOOKING FOR GINNY         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of G MOM by DYNAFORMER)
STERLING LUCK Jan19 Dec21 Sep20     (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
OH MY MIA Jan20 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29   (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
MONTCLAIR ROAD Dec31 Nov11 Sep21     (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 8% 11.90    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DOTHRAKI QUEEN by PURE PRIZE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.