Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(2/5/4)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/8/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/8/2/9)-(5/1/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/9)-(5/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/9)-(5/1/6/4)-(1/9/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(1/9/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4)-(1/9/6/8)-(4/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/8)-(1/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/8)-(1/9/6/8)-(1/9/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/6/8)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6/8)-(4/3)-(4/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-9   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REASONED ANALYSIS Oct01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by UPSTART out of WE LOVE LUCY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  MALARCHUK Sep28         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of SEIZE THE RING by TIZNOW)
3  SPEED RUNNER Oct08         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SPEED SUCCEEDS by GONE WEST)
4  GUM ISLAND Nov24 Oct01       (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STAGE STOP by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
5  SOCIETY MAN Jul22         (gargan dan)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
6  ELIMINATE Oct27 Aug12       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by CURLIN out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
 
AQU-2   12/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNIQUE INSIGHT Nov11 Oct06       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80    
2  UNION BULLDOG Oct21         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  GET READY TO ROCK Sep22 Sep02 Aug19     (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
4  SHEER DOMINANCE Nov14 Oct17       (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 13% 6.90    
5  ALLEGRINI Nov17         (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  SHAMROCK SHAKE Oct27 Sep02 Jul29     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
7  DUNE ROAD         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
AQU-3   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Nov10 Sep28 Aug20 Jul20 May14 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
2  FREDDYMO FACTOR Nov25 Nov05 Oct08 Sep24 Aug14 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
3  FONTANAFREDDA Nov16 Oct12 Sep17 Jul23 May07 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 7% 13.10    
4  LIBERTY FLAME Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May11 Apr23 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MERAVIGLIOSO Nov18 Oct20 Sep02 Aug24 Jul27 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
6  DIVA BANKER Nov10 Oct20 Sep28 Aug20 Aug03 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 4.00    
7  BEHIND THE COUCH Nov08 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jun26 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
 
AQU-4   12/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCENCY Nov11 Jul21       (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.40 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CROWNING AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  LORD VICENTE (ARG) Aug20         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DEAR BELA by INDYGO SHINER)
3  EGYPT Oct20 Feb18 Feb11     (de hor)RIVERA R 116 3.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  AMANI'S TIGER Oct14 Sep09 Aug13 Jul13 Jun09 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  VENGE Nov24 Oct13 Jul01 May21 Apr21 (ribaudo rober)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
6  AUTHORIZE Nov11         (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SIGN by OLYMPIO)
 
AQU-5   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVING PICTURES Nov16 Oct13 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 2.00 26% 2.90    
1A  CHARGER Nov16 Oct15 Sep22 Jul16 Jun24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 ★    
2  BRUNATE May28 Apr01 Mar11 Jan12 Dec10 (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 6.00 18% 4.70    
3  MACH ONE May21 May13 Apr16 Jan26 Dec29 (persaud eddi)HARKIE K 122 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT WORKER Jun18 May13 Apr29 Apr13 Mar26 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 6.00    
5  WARTAPPED Nov19 Oct31 Oct04 Sep06 Aug09 (delauro edward )DAVIS KATIE 117 30.00    
6  SORPRESO Nov17 Oct24 Oct11 Sep11 Aug28 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
7  JOHN'S PROTEGE Nov16 Oct03 Aug09 Jun21 May05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00    
8  BIG SAVE Nov16 Oct13 Sep15 Apr16 Mar24 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
9  PERSISTENT DANGER Nov14 Oct10 May24 May09 Apr25 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
 
AQU-6   12/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO TONIGHT         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 21% 3.90    
2  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Nov11 Oct19 Sep17 Aug18 Aug03 (donk david)RIVERA R 114 5.00    
3  MAD BANKER Nov11 Oct04 Aug11     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00    
4  HOW U DOIN Nov21 Oct30 Oct18     (sau)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RETAIL MAN Oct22 Oct04       (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  SAHANATIEN         (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Nov11         (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
8  BRACA Nov11         (giglio gina)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
 
AQU-7   12/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING DAYLIGHT Nov16 Oct05 Aug11 Jun23 May19 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 ★    
1A  BON ADIEU Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 Jul15 Jun16 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 116 1.80 66% 0.50    
2  MIM Nov09 Oct06 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
3  DUCKPHAT Nov03 Aug18 Jul26 Jul03 May28 (davis robbie )SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
4  I FEEL THE NEED Oct18 Jul22 Jun16 Apr28 Apr15 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
5  MISS KRISTY Oct28 Sep03 Aug06 May18 Mar26 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
6  JOLLY MISS JILL Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 Aug12 Jul16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 5% 17.40    
SCR  DREAM ROAD Nov19 Oct01 Sep02 Aug19 May06 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
8  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Nov18 Oct26 May18 May12 Apr21 (klesar)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Aug19 Sep30       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
AQU-8   12/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHALI MAGIC Oct19 Sep01 Jun23 Jun03 Apr21 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 119 4.00    
2  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Oct19 Sep01 Aug03 Jun01 Jan08 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
3  MISSING FORTUNE Nov08 Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 Aug11 (sau)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  PEAK OF CHIC Nov15 Sep25 Jun12 May25 May04 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  STONE CREATOR Apr21 Mar03 Feb09 May27 Apr29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00    
6  TEMPERMENTAL Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 Aug11 Aug03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
 
AQU-9   12/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST CLASS CAT         (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
2  RED BUTTERFLY Oct06 Aug16 Jul23 Jun15 Nov27 (de hor)RIVERA R 117 5.00 17% 5.00    
3  RUN CHATA Nov19 Apr06 Jan21     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
4  GEORGE'S VICE May13 Mar05       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Nov25 Nov10 Jul23 Jun24 May13 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 119 4.50    
6  MAXING THE BANK Oct26 Sep15 Jun24 Jun16   (parker josep)HOWELL TALBERT 122 30.00    
7  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Oct26 Sep14 Sep17     (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
8  TERESA Oct12 Aug10       (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
SCR  KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE Nov17 Sep02 Aug16 Aug10   (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.