Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-3   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (12/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-10   Win (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/29/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LU'S REDEMPTION Oct01 Aug30       (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
HANDLE ON YOU Oct01 Aug30       (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 31% 2.20    
TONGUE TWISTER         (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SAVING MEMORIES         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIL' HAYADOIN         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
DUSK Oct01 Aug27       (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 39% 1.50    
LEARNING TO FLY Oct01         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
STARLIGHT DANCER         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
FABULOUS FOX         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 7% 12.90    
10  BARONESS BOURBON Oct01         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  TSUKIMI Sep28         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION Aug13         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SCR  MARCO T. Sep04 May11       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60    
SCR  WILD MAGIC         (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00    
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF Oct01 Sep01 Aug09     (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
SCR  NECESSARYANDPROPER Oct01         (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Mohawk Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA GOLD Aug27 Aug05 Jul03 May29 Mar04 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00    
CITY MAN Oct06 Aug27 May29 May06 Jan28 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.80 28% 2.60    
SCR  CALL ME HARRY Sep21 Aug19 Jul20 Jul03 Apr30 (dutrow richard)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS Oct06 Aug27 Jul20 Jun10 Apr06 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.60 39% 1.50    
SCR  KAZ SUGAR BANK Aug10 Jul12 Jun01 May11 Apr06 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 50.00    
JERRY THE NIPPER Oct06 Aug27 Jul30 Jul03 May29 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
RUSE Oct04 Sep02 Aug05 Jul03 Jun17 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 50.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maid Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRICKY TEMPER Oct27 Oct08 Aug27 Aug09   (englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
BERNIETAKESCHARGE Aug16 Aug02       (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
MY MANE SQUEEZE Sep24 Sep01 Aug10     (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 11% 8.10    
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Sep24 Aug27 Jul27     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 60% 0.70    
CARA'S TIME Sep24 Aug27 Jun23     (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
VALENTINE GIFT Oct01         (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 6% 17.10    
KAZ' ROSE Aug23         (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Sep25 Sep11       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED Sep28 Sep01 Jul28 Jun24 May28 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  STEELERSFANFORLIFE Jun22 Jun02 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 (gyarmati leah)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
KING MOONRACER Sep01 Aug20 Jul04 Jun24 May28 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  ROUGH DRAFT Sep15 Aug17 Jul13 Jun17 Apr15 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
SINFUL DANCER Apr15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct14 Oct07 (figueroa davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
SCR  YARROW Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 Nov20 Oct22 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
SCR  ME 'N SAP Sep01 Aug02 Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
RUNNINGWSCISSORS Sep28 Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 May04 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  BIG PACKAGE Jun15 May04 Sep02 Jul21 Jun23 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE Sep16 Jul13 Jun17 Jan07 Nov18 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
12  RADIO RED Sep21 Aug23 May29 May06 Mar04 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
13  ZEEBEAR Sep28 Sep21 Aug05 Jul15 May29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
14  FACTUALLY CORRECT Oct20 Aug27 Aug18 Jul04 Jun25 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Empire Distaff Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL ANTICS Sep24 Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 Jun04 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Oct04 Aug09 Jul20 May26 Apr30 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
SUNSET LOUISE Aug09 Jul16 Jun16 May04 Oct30 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
SWEET MYSTERY Oct05 Aug24 Jul26 Jul02 May04 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
VENTI VALENTINE Oct02 Aug09 Jun24 May29 Dec17 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00    
TOUGH STREET Oct04 Aug30 Jul29 May18 Mar25 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
ICHIBAN Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jun25 Apr15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
BAQ-6   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Ticonderoga Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA CHROME Oct12 Sep22 Sep04 Aug23 Jul29 (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 50.00    
SWEETIE Sep14 Jul03 Jun15 May11 Apr06 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPUNGIE Sep22 Aug27 Dec17 Oct30 Sep25 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
SCR  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Sep22 Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 May26 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
SCR  CAN'T FOOL ME Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Oct29 Sep30 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
ITSAKEYPER Sep17 Aug31 Jul23 Jun16 May12 (albertrani thom)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY RUMOUR Sep22 Aug27 Aug02 Jul04 May29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.00    
SILVER SKILLET Sep15 Aug16 Jul15 Jun10 May11 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 73% 0.40    
SCR  WATERVILLE Oct13 Sep04 Aug12 Jul15 May29 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
10  AMANDA'S FOLLY Sep04 Aug27 Jul26 Jul02 May20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Iroquois Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Oct12 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (cash russell)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
VALLELUJAH Aug30 Aug11 Jul07 Feb05 Jan08 (davis robb)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
BANK ON ANNA Aug11 Jun25 May12 Dec04 Oct06 (serpe m)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00    
FUNNY HOW May14 Apr07 Feb12 Jan07 Nov20 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 4.50 29% 2.50    
STERLING SILVER Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 Jun25 May29 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 123 0.60 34% 2.00    
CAIRO SUGAR Oct06 Jul24 Jul02 Jun21 May26 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  SECURITY CODE Oct07 Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 May29 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
LEELOO Sep30 Aug26 Mar18 Feb24 Jan27 (correas ignacio )LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
BAQ-8   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Sleepy Hollow Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GRANDE O Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug18 Jul07 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 0.80 32% 2.10    
BONNE CHANCE Sep24 Sep04       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 30% 2.30    
AGGELOS THE GREAT Sep24 Sep14 Jul28     (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
SKYLER'S STARSHIP Sep24 Aug23 Jul07     (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SOLO'S FURY Oct05 Sep04       (englehart jerem)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DETECTIVE TOM Sep24 Aug24       (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
B D SAINTS Oct04 Sep17 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
MISCHIEF JOKE Oct16 Sep21 Aug23 Jul28 Jun23 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
TWO'S A CROWD Oct04 Sep10 Aug20     (ryan s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
10  WINE RESPONSIBLY Oct14 Sep04       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Hudson Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JEMOGRAPHY Oct14 Sep04 Aug13 Feb26 Feb10 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 121 20.00    
TODAY'S FLAVOR Oct07 Sep22 Aug11 Jun10 Apr30 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 17% 5.10    
SCR  BE THE BOSS Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 Jul04 Jun09 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
OCEAN'S RESERVE Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Jul23 Jun17 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00    
WIN FOR GOLD Sep28 Sep04 Aug17 Jul15 Jun11 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
AMUNDSON Aug23 Jun09 Apr30 Mar05 Jan22 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
THIN WHITE DUKE Oct07 Sep02 Aug23 Aug05 Jul26 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50    
NY TRAFFIC Sep15 Aug12 Jul30 Jun17 Apr29 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
ROTKNEE Sep15 Aug11 Jun09 May19 Apr21 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
BAQ-10   10/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Empire Classic Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S WISDOM May29 Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
SCR  AGGREGATION Oct04 Aug23 May11 Jul18 May30 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
LOBSTA Sep20 Aug13 Jul24 May29 May20 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
OLYMPIC DREAMS Sep03 Aug02 May29 May11 Apr06 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
BARESE Sep04 Aug11 Jul01 May29 May06 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 126 12.00 7% 14.00    
DRAKE'S PASSAGE Oct06 Aug27 Jul03 Dec08 Nov13 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
SHERIFF BIANCO Oct01 Sep21 Sep15 Aug11 Jul16 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
UN OJO Oct06 Sep10 Aug02 Jan19 Dec31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
CICCIOBELLO Oct07 Sep09 Aug31 Aug12 Jul03 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00    
10  STRAIGHT ARROW Oct15 Sep15 Aug23 Aug05 Jul02 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.