Handicappers' Racing Form

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Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (3/4/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-2   Win (1/2/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-3   Win (5/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-4   Win (2/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-5   Win (12/6/9/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-6   Win (1/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CNL-7   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CNL-8   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-9   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-10   Win (4/2/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CNL-11   Win (9/10/11/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CNL-1   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH PEBBLE Jun15 Mar11 Jan14 Oct29 Sep24 (alvarado diane)RUIZ JORGE 122 30.00    
OUR STRONG VOWS Jul27 Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 Sep07 (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00    
Z FIRST Jul15 Jun16 May13 Feb25 Jun26 (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 124 1.40 60% 0.70    
TRANSLATE Aug03 Jul07 Nov20 Oct29 Sep05 (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 10% 8.50    
BEACH HOUSE Jul21 Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 (mccutchen jason)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00    
BAHAMIAN MOON Jul27 Jul07 Apr19 Mar11 Feb18 (bowersock maria)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LADY IN HEELS Jul21 Jun13 Dec31 Nov25 Oct06 (bowersock maria)CASTANON L 122 6.00    
TREVESS Jul22 Jun17 May12 Apr22 Mar17 (cazares la)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
MOOR STRENGTH Jul22 Jun17 May25 Apr20 Mar24 (santillana fran)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-2   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YATTA Jul07         (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
COTINGA Jul13         (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
THE MYTH May13         (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
BEYOND OSCAR Jun08         (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
DOOBLAY Jul19 Jul09       (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 118 8.00    
SPIRIT IN THE MIST (FR)         (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
MO FOX GIVIN         (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
SURPRENANT COCCA         (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
LIAM'S MESSAGE Jun25 May27 May12 Apr28   (gutierrez faustio)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50    
 
CNL-3   08/12/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY APPOINTED Jul15 May24       (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
PASSIONFORQUALITY         (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
FRIENDSHIP ROAD Mar03 Jan21 Apr21 Mar23 Feb27 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
DETERMINED FIRST Jul13         (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 118 8.00    
HECKLED Jul08 Jun15 May03 Apr07 Feb26 (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.20 58% 0.70    
HAINT BLUE (FR) Aug10 Jul09 Jul08 Jun03 May04 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00    
BILOXI BLUES Apr08 Feb26 Jan29 Nov10   (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE)         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-4   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UTAH BEACH         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50    
KING COVEE Jul22 Jul08       (godsey den)ROCCO S 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
INTEGRATION         (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Jul13 Jun24 Mar11     (tomlinson micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50    
VALENTIN C Jun30 Aug30       (escobar alison)AVILES YAN 124 30.00    
SCR  RAISE HIGH         (oliver victori)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
ELON Jul08         (bentley fenneka)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
VINTAGE YEAR Mar25 Feb16 Dec31 Dec17 Nov11 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
CNL-5   08/12/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAEL Jul14 Jun23 Jan20 Dec29 May28 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 5% 17.60    
WINSTON WOLF Jul09 Jun17 May17 Aug28   (oliver victori)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
SMALL FIELD Aug03 Apr22 Sep07 Aug29 Aug15 (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
TOLAGA BAY Jul14 Sep07 Aug30 Aug08 Jul18 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00    
SCR  BODECREAM Jun17 Apr29 Jan22     (de hora)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
KAZAN (IRE) Jul02 Jun23 Jun04 May06 Mar31 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
JOLLY BY GOLLY Jul22 Jun03 May13     (smith hamilton )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00    
DYNA MAST Jul21 Jul07 May25 Oct21 Sep06 (fout douglas)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
SMART STRIKER Jun30 Jun10 May04 Mar22 Jan06 (pompay terri)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7% 14.10    
10  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Aug04 Jun03 May04 Mar22 Jan29 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 125 8.00    
11  ANAMNESTIC Jul14 Mar26 Feb04 Jan06 Dec10 (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  CARRONADE Aug02 Jul14 Jun23 May31 May05 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
CNL-6   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT WASHINGTON May06 Apr01 Mar04 Dec26 Oct29 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
ALEX JOON Jul15 Apr23 Mar26 Nov18 Oct21 (schultz lindsay)BOYCE FOREST 125 3.50    
FEBRUARY SON Jul11 Jun20 May29 May19 Apr13 (granitz anthony )CASTANON L 123 30.00    
OCEAN CITY Jul15 May31 Apr20 Mar26 Feb18 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50    
NO ONE TO BLAME Jun25         (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 11% 7.80    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Jul14 Jun30 Jun14 Nov19 Oct29 (lawrence jam)SANCHEZ J 123 10.00    
STREET COPPER Jul14 Jun24 Nov07 Oct22 Sep23 (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 123 30.00 9% 10.70    
GLIDER Jul20 May04 Mar25 Feb25 Jan28 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 13% 6.40    
 
CNL-7   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUNCER Jul08 Jun10 Mar29 Oct07 Sep03 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 116 1.60 50% 1.00    
O'CONNER SUNSET Jul14 Jun16 May25 Mar19 Feb19 (jones e)HO WESLEY 114 6.00    
FREE SOUL Jul14 Jun10 Oct01 Sep06 Aug01 (munoz carlos)RUIZ JORGE 114 30.00    
TOP RECRUIT Jun04 May20 Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 (maker j)KARAMANOS A 116 3.50    
SCR  ON THE MARK Aug03 Jul19 Jul02 May04 Mar31 (shankle joanne)TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 30.00 5% 17.80    
FROSTED DEPARTURE Jul02 May20 May06 Feb25 Jan28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 117 1.20 20% 4.10    
 
CNL-8   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 FIRM Secretariat Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER KNOTT (GB) Jul08 Jun03 Nov04     (appleby charles)SPENCER P 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
GIGANTE Jul15 Jul01 May17 Nov26 Oct09 (asmussen steve)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
NAGIRROC Jul07 May20 Apr07 Dec30 Nov04 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
MO STASH Jul01 May06 Apr07 Mar11 Nov04 (oliver victori)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
NORTHERN INVADER Jul01 Jun04 May06     (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
MAJOR DUDE Jul07 Jun02 May06 Mar25 Feb04 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
SCR  MORE THAN LOOKS Aug11 Jul07 Jun17 Apr28 Mar31 (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  TEE AT ONE Jul15 May06 Apr07 Mar10   (alvarado dia)SANCHEZ J 119 12.00    
 
CNL-9   08/12/2023 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Beverly Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEV ROVER (IRE) Jul15 Jul01 Oct08 Aug21 Jul24 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 125 2.00 47% 1.10    
JAN'S GIRL Jul15 Jun25 May07 Nov18 Oct22 (cazares la)GALLARDO A 123 12.00    
ROMAGNA MIA (GB)         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00    
MISE EN SCENE (GB) Jul27 Jun16 Apr22 Dec26 Nov05 (walsh p)SPENCER P 123 8.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  DIDIA (ARG) Jun09 May05 Mar25 Aug16 Jul18 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00    
GINA ROMANTICA Jun17 Oct15 Sep18 Aug25 Jul14 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  ROCKY SKY (IRE) Aug11 Nov25 Oct02 Aug25 Aug03 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
 
CNL-10   08/12/2023 6600ft TURF RC14 FIRM Arlington Million Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG TIDE Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr02 Jun10 (lauer michael)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
NEVER EXPLAIN Jul30 Jun17 May20 Mar01 Jan18 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 6.00 20% 3.90    
SET PIECE (GB) Jul01 Jun03 May04 Nov26 Oct08 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
ATONE May20 Mar25 Jan28 Nov10 Oct08 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 22% 3.50    
ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Jun10 May06 Oct08 Aug27 Jul31 (brown c)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00    
MASTER PIECE (CHI) Jul04 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 Nov05 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRONG QUALITY Jun10 Apr13 Feb25 Jan20 Nov19 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
CATNIP Jul22 Jun17 May27 Apr26 Oct26 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
ADHAMO (IRE) Oct08 Aug27 Jul23 Jun11 May07 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 12% 7.60    
10  WIN FOR THE MONEY Jul20 Apr29 Mar15 Apr02 Mar12 (casse mark)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00    
11  SANTIN Jul02 Jun03 May06 Mar25 Nov26 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00    
 
CNL-11   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHA CHA MISSION Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 Oct13 Sep25 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
COMPASS FIRE Jul13 Jun24 Jun03 May12 Mar31 (seale christopher)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
UP TO SOMETHING Jul16 Nov20 Oct09 Sep08 Jul09 (oliver victori)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
WATCH THIS BIRDIE Jul13 May19 Apr15 Feb18 Dec10 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00    
PRETTYKEEN Jul13 Jun11 May25 Apr28 Apr02 (cazares la)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00    
FUNNY ENOUGH Jul22 May21 Apr02 Mar15 Feb17 (russo j)CASTANON L 123 20.00    
WINTER PRINCESS Jul07 Sep29 Sep21 Jul13 Jun18 (klesaris ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
GALILEI Jul15 Jun24 May27 Nov19 Oct30 (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 125 6.00    
TEQUILERA Jul14 Jun24 May20 Apr23 Dec04 (matz michae)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 47% 1.10    
10  THISNAMEISOKAY Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr20 (cooper steve)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
11  FISH MOONEY Jul23 Dec23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 123 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  JOYA DEL SUR Aug02 Jul15 Jun25 Sep06 Aug29 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.