Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Sunday - June 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/6/1)-(4/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(4/5/6)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(6/5/2)-(6/7/9/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BEL-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/7/9/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/7/9/3/2)-(1/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BEL-5   WIN (6/7/9/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/3/2)-(6/7/9/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/3/2)-(6/7/9/3/2)-(6/7/9/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/9/3/2)-(1/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9/3/2)-(1/4/2)-(5/2/7/3/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/2/7/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/2/7/3/9)-(1/6/11/7/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-7   WIN (5/2/7/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3/9)-(5/2/7/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3/9)-(5/2/7/3/9)-(5/2/7/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/7/3/9)-(1/6/11/7/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/3/9)-(1/6/11/7/2)-(7/9/8/1/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
BEL-8   WIN (1/6/11/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/11/7/2)-(1/6/11/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/11/7/2)-(1/6/11/7/2)-(1/6/11/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/11/7/2)-(7/9/8/1/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BEL-9   WIN (7/9/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/1/2)-(7/9/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/1/2)-(7/9/8/1/2)-(7/9/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL THE CAVALRY         (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 19% 4.30    
  (by KHOZAN out of SONG AND DELIGHT by SONGANDAPRAYER)
REAPPLY May12         (chapman k)ESCOBAR E 119 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of CELESTIAL SMILE by TIZNOW)
ROCK STAR BOY         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GORGEOUS IN RAGS by UNION RAGS)
DREW D'ORO May12         (chapman jame)TORRES A 114 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SIPMYCHARDONNAYNAE by BODEMEISTER)
EVERY FOUR YEARS         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 47% 1.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ACCEPTING by SCARLET IBIS)
 
BEL-2   06/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANG TIGHT May13 Apr15 Mar30 Feb17 Feb05 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNION LIGHTS May06 Apr08 Feb26 Jan07 Dec17 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50    
MO REWARDS Apr29 Apr16 Feb11 Jan27 Dec18 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 126 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  ENCOURAGE May19 Apr23 Oct21 Oct01 Sep05 (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50    
CHEEKY TICO May13 Apr07 Mar18 Mar03 Jan27 (barrera osca)TORRES A 121 5.00    
CUMBERLAND BLUES May13 Apr29 Mar18 Feb19 Dec29 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
BEL-3   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINNING DRIVE May26 Mar26 Feb26 Feb09 Jan19 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
MOTION TO STRIKE May07 Apr15 Mar04 Jan05 Dec10 (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
SCR  O'TROUBLE Apr20 Apr07 Mar25 Feb09 Jan21 (levine bruce)TORRES A 118 2.00    
THREE TWO ZONE May18 Mar07 Jan28 Dec30 Aug27 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
PRINTRACK May07 Mar25 Feb12 Dec16 Oct25 (dipr)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 8.00 29% 2.50    
JALEN JOURNEY Apr20 Mar04 Feb24 Feb13 Feb04 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
LEDDY May19 Feb11 Dec17 Nov05 Sep24 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
 
BEL-4   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REUNION TOUR May20 Apr29 Mar30 Mar18 Feb26 (ferraro )DAVIS A 125 12.00    
CLASH A. J. Apr30 Apr22 Apr01 Mar24 Mar17 (jones edua)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 4.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  BAD WATER May20 Apr23 Mar31 Jan04   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY May26 Mar18 Mar10 Jan14 Dec11 (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
CENTRAL PRIDE May05 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb17 (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
GINNSU WARRIOR May14 Apr29 Apr02 Feb09 Jan15 (toscano john)TORRES A 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
LET FREEDOM SPRING Apr29 Apr01 Mar12 Feb27 May21 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00    
 
BEL-5   06/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEREGOESMYMIRACLE May14 Apr02 Sep29 Sep15 Aug13 (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 5.00    
ELEVATED CAUSEWAY May11 Apr15       (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKIN THE BELLE May27         (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 12.00 7% 14.20    
ETERNAL GLORY Apr29 Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Jan06 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 118 20.00    
STJAMES May11 Mar24 Feb02 Dec29 Nov10 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
PEJA DU May11 Apr21       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
STEADY SCHEMING May11 Apr13       (morley thomas)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
NIEUWENDYK May14 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 Jan19 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
GLOBALIZATION         (summers chad)MULLEN RICHARD 118 5.00 7% 13.20    
 
BEL-6   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY FLAME May11 Apr23 Apr02 Dec15 Nov18 (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
LONDON GOLD Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 (pers)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 12.00 9% 10.70    
MURSAL May19 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
APRIL ANTICS Apr23 Apr07 Mar19 Feb19 Feb05 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 126 4.00 14% 6.20    
SIMPLE SUGAR Mar30 Feb20 Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 (giglio gina)TORRES A 119 8.00    
RACING COLORS May11 Apr23 Mar30 Feb20 Jan29 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00    
SCR  RAFFINITY Apr23 Mar30 Mar17 Feb20 Jan13 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00    
 
BEL-7   06/04/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNING CONNECTION May21 Apr27 Apr02 Mar11 Jan19 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
BORN A GAMBLER May14 Apr22 Jul15 Jun18 Apr03 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
URBAN MYTH Mar15 Feb19 Feb16     (brion keri)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRAYER BOOK May21 Oct27 Oct07 Jul22 Jun18 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 124 20.00    
MORE THAN WORK May21 Apr22 Feb03 Dec31 Dec03 (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00 39% 1.50    
PARQUETRY May11 Sep23 Sep05 Aug10 Jul16 (tagg barcla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
PENNER ASH (IRE) May26 Apr22 Oct12 Sep08 Aug16 (martin carlos )ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.00 14% 6.20    
NO REGARD May19 Apr22 Nov27 Oct21   (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
BLAME D RULE MAKER Apr15 Feb25 Jan07 Oct02 Sep08 (duarte jr)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PIONEERING SPIRIT May11 Apr22 Apr02 Mar24 Jun24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
SCR  ENDOWED Nov19 Oct21 Sep25 Aug28 Jul30 (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 124 2.50    
 
BEL-8   06/04/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Mar10 Dec24 Jul02 Jun09 Apr24 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
THINKABOUTIT May21 Apr27 Mar24 Feb26 Jan21 (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
TURN OF EVENTS May04 Dec03 Oct27 Sep14 Aug06 (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
BALLYDOOLEY (GB) May14 Jan21 Jan01 Oct27 Sep30 (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
SCR  STREET COPPER Nov07 Oct22 Sep23 Aug23 Jul14 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 12.00    
BRING ME A CHECK May19 Apr24 Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 11% 7.70    
SOULMATE May13 Nov20 Sep23 Jul31 Jul09 (pregman jr)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STANDUP May14 Apr29 Apr07 Mar25 Mar08 (ferraro )DAVIS A 120 30.00    
ORIGINAL Feb05 Jan18 Dec30 Oct27   (terranova jo)TORRES A 115 15.00    
10  HIGH TIDE Jul14 May13 May06 Apr16 Feb04 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
11  SCILLY CAY May13 Apr30 Mar25 Mar05 Feb17 (reynolds patr)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA May19 Apr30 Mar24 Dec11 Oct09 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE May21 Apr29 Mar30 Feb09 Jan20 (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SCR  LAFITTE'S FLEET May21 Apr27 Apr01 Feb26 Jan26 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
SCR  GLORY ROAD May27 Apr27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 3.00    
 
BEL-9   06/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKART Mar11 Feb12 Jan21 Jan08 Dec01 (ryerson jame)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWO CHUCKLES Jan08 Dec17 Dec02 Oct27   (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR. BUSTA May14 Apr20 Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 12.00    
SCR  MODERN MIDAS May14 Apr16 Mar19 Feb12   (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00    
ERIDROMOS Jul31 May28       (lugov)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
STRATEGYFORYOU May19 Apr23       (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00    
RED D G P May11 Apr23 Jan19 Jan12 Apr23 (ferraro james)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
TUNNEL VISION May13 Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 Dec31 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
BIG BOULDER May19         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
10  THIRTY OYSTERS May14 Mar10       (englehar)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.