Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - May 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(1/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/5/6)-(9/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(9/10)-(1/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (9/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/10)-(9/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (9/10)-(1/5/6)-(10/3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(10/3/5/8)-(9/2/10/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-6   WIN (10/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/8)-(9/2/10/1/7)-(1/3/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/2/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/10/1/7)-(9/2/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/10/1/7)-(9/2/10/1/7)-(9/2/10/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/2/10/1/7)-(1/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS HALIME May22 May06 Apr24 Mar22 Mar01 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 17% 4.90    
RIGHT TRAPPE May09 Mar25 Feb12 Jan15 Dec16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
LIBERTY BELLE Apr13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan28 Dec21 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
BOURBON BUNS May02 Mar07 Feb20 Jan24 Dec29 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80    
SOMUCHSUGAR Apr25 Apr10 Mar16 Feb06 Jan19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
NINJA KITTEN May09 Mar07 Jan31 Jan12 Dec29 (londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
 
TDN-2   05/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC MO May15 Mar23 Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
SWEET LEMON DROP May08 Dec06 Nov12 Oct24 Sep19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 14% 5.90    
OFTEN ENOUGH May08 Apr27 Apr13 Apr06 Mar23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA May15 Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
JUDGE HEAD May15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
NAMBITI May09 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 Mar01 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00    
 
TDN-3   05/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT LASS May09 Mar02 Feb08 Jan10 Dec15 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 61% 0.60    
FIONA May06 Apr05 Feb20 Jan05 Dec15 (erdel )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
SPECIAL BEACH May15 Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Jan09 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.50    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE Sep27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun22 Mar21 (skerrett jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50    
MAOILIN May15 May02 Dec28 Nov23 Nov12 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 119 4.50 10% 9.30    
KINGSTON TIME Apr27 Dec28 Nov21 Oct18 Oct10 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   05/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO RAY         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of SHOW ME THE ROSES by STORM CAT)
MISS MARY JEAN May11 Apr24 Mar27 Mar09   (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 15.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
SCR  BROKEN JEWEL Feb06 Jan10 Dec29     (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
HALO EFFECT May11 Dec13 Nov30 Sep29 Sep12 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 20.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
MOST ADORABLE May11         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS May11 Apr24 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
SCR  LOFTY COWTOWN Aug31 Aug15       (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOFTY LIZZY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  HONEYBEE STINGS May11 Apr24 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of LAVENDER PATCH by ARTIE SCHILLER)
MANDOLIN BREEZE May11 Nov30 Nov12 Oct31 Oct13 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by LITTLE LUTE out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
10  TITEBLUEJEANS May11 Apr24 Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of RANSOM BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  MOBIL MEMORY Oct29 Aug31 Aug15     (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
  (by MOBIL out of MYGIRLFRIDAY by LUNARPAL)
 
TDN-5   05/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKS HONEY Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
DISCLOSURE May10 Apr15 Mar22 Mar13 Oct14 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
FAT DADDY May16 May02 Nov28 Nov10 Oct14 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
LAZARUS PROJECT May16 May08 Dec05 Nov08 Oct22 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
JOHN'S ROCK May16 May02 Apr11 Mar13 Feb08 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
FIRST CITIZEN May10 May02 Apr11 Mar30 Mar13 (vecchio car)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50 12% 7.30    
 
TDN-6   05/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYING BALL Apr27 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 (suarez javier)TORREALBA JG 119 10.00    
SWEET JILL'S JACK May16 Apr12 Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
ATILANO'S THUNDER May10 Apr24 Apr12 Dec07 Nov09 (brown t)RIVERA R 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  CONTROLLER May11 Apr27 Apr12 Oct29 Sep26 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 5.00    
THE GOSPEL OF MARK Apr12 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan12 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARCH MAGIC Apr27 Apr12 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00    
ANIMO ROBERTO May23 Mar29 Mar14 Jan24 Jan09 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 4.50    
MUSIC GEM Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Mar06 Feb23 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOING PRIMETIME Jan31 Jan12 Dec14 Dec06 Nov30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 30.00    
10  CASUAL ATTIRE Dec30 Oct29 Sep22 Aug02 Jul11 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 57% 0.80    
 
TDN-7   05/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE KID'S PRAYER         (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KISS THE KID out of SUSIE'S PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
I'M JAC'D Jan24 Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 Nov21 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
MY TWO JAKES May11 Apr24 Apr06 Mar16 Oct10 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
GHOSTLY REVIVAL May11 Apr24 Mar16 Mar09 Feb14 (romero jo)BRICENO M 114 20.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BOLD NICKY May11 Apr24 Mar27 Mar16 Mar09 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
RATATAT Sep21         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 20.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
SHESANOTHERSONG Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 Jul05 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
WAY OF THE WORLD May11 Apr24 Oct29 Aug31   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREELEY'S WORLD by MR. GREELEY)
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ         (meyers shane)VELEZ J 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
10  POLLY PRISSY PANTS Sep29         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 7% 13.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
 
TDN-8   05/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET AMIGO Dec12 Nov09 Oct10 Sep06 Aug02 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 40% 1.50    
UNCLE KEVIN Jan26 Dec28 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 (reust m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
THE COACHMAN May08 Apr26 Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 5.00 14% 6.00    
EXONERATED PREZ May03 Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
FIRST SONG Nov23 Oct24 Sep22 Aug30 Aug10 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50    
RELISH THE RIDE May06 Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
MUTINY May09 Apr26 Mar20 Jan30 Jan11 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  LUCKY STREAK May11 Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 Aug02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.