Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont Park
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-3   Win (6/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-4   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-5   Win (2/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-6   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-7   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-8   Win (1/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-9   Win (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-10   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-11   Win (11/10/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BEL-1   05/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE IN MOTION Apr16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 (skelton da)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 15.00    
DREAM ROAD Mar24 Nov26       (persaud eddie)HARKIE K 125 20.00    
BUSHWICK Apr08 Feb20       (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
STRANGE FRUIT Apr23 Mar31 Jan20     (reynolds patrick )DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
KARA PARA Apr20 Feb12 Jan28 Dec16 Nov18 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
BERNT AGAIN Feb12 Jan14 Nov26 Oct08 Sep15 (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
RED HOT CHICK Apr08 Sep17 Aug17     (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 26% 2.80    
OAK LOVES A FIGHT Apr20 Nov26 Oct08 Sep24 Aug12 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
FRANCA Apr06 Sep15       (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 111 15.00    
SCR  GIGGLING GHOST Apr14 Mar19 Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 (quick patr)DAVIS A 125 15.00    
SCR  SPERSS Apr14 Jan14       (bond james)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Apr14 Feb10 Jan19 Nov26 Oct29 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00    
SCR  APEROL SPRITZ Apr14 Feb26 Jan12     (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
SCR  JANNIE MAE Apr14 Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul17 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 10.00    
SCR  ORANGE FREEZE Apr15 Sep15 Aug18     (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ROSIE Apr06 Mar24 Jan12 Dec03   (englehart s)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
 
BEL-2   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIGITAL FUTURE Apr20 Jan27 Dec17 Nov04 Oct06 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
AMERICAN LAW Apr01 Jan08 Nov18 Apr21 Mar20 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  TRASH TALKER Apr20 Mar19 Apr07 Mar05 Feb20 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00    
HARRODSBURG Mar26         (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 1.80 29% 2.50    
BATTUTA D'ORO Mar27 Mar03 Feb18 Jan25 Nov06 (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
LISTENTOYOURHEART Apr07 Feb17 Jan21 Aug26 Jul10 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 1.60    
 
BEL-3   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGENDARY LORE Apr22 Mar17 Dec18 Nov25 Apr23 (morey william)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
HOT ROD LINCOLN Apr23 Mar31 Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 (rodriguez rudy )OLVER MADISON 113 10.00    
B C GLORY DAYS Mar25 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 124 8.00 6% 15.70    
PAPI ON ICE Apr07 Mar25 Mar18 Mar05 Feb12 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 10.00    
BASIC TRUTH Mar25 Feb09 Jan05 Dec02   (reynolds patr)MARTINEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
IN THE UNION Apr14 Apr17 Mar02 Jan30 Jan08 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
UNION LIGHTS Apr08 Feb26 Jan07 Dec17 Nov06 (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 3.00    
 
BEL-4   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRACIOLE Apr22 Mar24 Mar04 Feb05 Jan13 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
PINEAPPLE MAN Jun25 May30 Mar31 Feb11 Jan01 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.00 16% 5.10    
MAJESTIC TIGER Apr01 Mar10 Jan26 Jan12 Dec10 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  CLASH A. J. Apr30 Apr22 Apr01 Mar24 Mar17 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00    
NINETEEN OYSTERS Mar31 Feb24       (summers)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
RADIO RED Mar04 Feb09 Jan07 Sep05   (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
ZEEBEAR Apr15 Mar26 Feb12     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
BEL-5   05/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Mar26 Feb26 Feb04     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
ORTUS Mar17         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.00 46% 1.20    
FERRIS MULER Mar26 Jan26 Dec10     (hosang p)RICHARDS G 118 50.00    
AWESOME FORCE Apr14 Feb26 Jan26     (diprima grego)MARTINEZ R 118 50.00    
LT. MITCHELL Oct09 Sep05       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
TONY O Apr14 Nov11 Oct27     (donk david)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
MALIBU MYSTERY         (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Apr21 Oct08 Aug25     (danner )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00    
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN Apr14         (miceli michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
10  CAPTAIN PARTY Jul08         (weaver george)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00 32% 2.10    
11  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY         (brion keri)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00    
12  CAESAR'S GHOST Feb17 Dec31 Dec02 Nov09   (caramori eduardo)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
SCR  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD         (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
 
BEL-6   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILM STAR Apr19 Feb24 Dec16 Oct22 Sep17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
VIENNA CODE Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 (willia)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 30.00    
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Apr07 Feb25 Feb10 Jan21 Jan14 (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 126 4.50 12% 7.40    
SON OF AN EX Mar18 Mar10 Feb18 Feb12 Jan26 (chin peter)DAVIS A 126 30.00    
BARESE Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 Aug26 Jul18 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.40 33% 2.00    
SOUTH STREET May15 Apr16 Feb24 Jan21   (mott william )MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00    
BEZOS Apr21 Mar25 Jan27 Dec30 Dec17 (goberdha)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 30.00    
 
BEL-7   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMAEUS         (jerkens james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
SCR  VESPUCCI         (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SUBROGATE Apr08         (duarte jr)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  HONOR KING         (abreu r)MORELOS E 118 10.00    
DISAPPEARANCE         (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
ABADIN         (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  RUN DIEM Z         (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
JUAN VALDEZ Oct13 Sep03       (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Apr21 Apr02 Mar24 Feb25 Feb12 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 117 50.00    
 
BEL-8   05/06/2023 4620ft TURF RC11 FIRM Elusive Quality Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANACONDA Apr15 Mar11 Feb04 Nov25 Nov07 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
SURPRISE BOSS Apr23 Mar19 Oct23 Aug14 Jul17 (romero rafael)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00    
VOODOO ZIP Apr13 Nov25 Oct01 Sep02 Jul02 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
LUCKY CURLIN Apr01 Feb26 Feb04 Dec11 Oct23 (abreu fernando)MORELOS E 118 10.00    
THIN WHITE DUKE Apr13 Nov25 Oct27 Oct01 Sep02 (donk david)VARGAS A 122 5.00 8% 11.10    
HEAVEN STREET Apr02 Sep10 Jul22 Jun22 Apr23 (walsh brendan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
OCALA DREAM Dec04 Oct30 Sep29 Sep05 Jul31 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
YES AND YES Apr13 Nov25 Oct01 Sep06 Aug05 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 7% 14.20    
HIGH OAK Mar30 Mar04 Mar05     (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
 
BEL-9   05/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC13 FIRM Fort Marcy Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNADRIVE Nov26 Oct09 Sep05 Aug06 Jul01 (morley thomas)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00    
KING CAUSE Mar25 Jan28 Dec31 Oct09 Sep14 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
OTTOMAN FLEET (GB)         (appleby charle)MULLEN RICHARD 122 1.60 20% 3.90    
FORT WASHINGTON Apr01 Mar04 Dec26 Oct29 Sep14 (mcgaughey claud)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 8.00    
ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Oct08 Aug27 Jul31 Jun11 May07 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
CITY MAN Jan28 Dec31 Oct30 Sep24 Sep05 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
KEYSTONE FIELD Apr01 Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 9% 10.70    
TIDE OF THE SEA Nov10 Sep16 Aug24 Jul28 Jun03 (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SCR  LAW PROFESSOR Apr01 Feb18 Jan07 Nov05 Oct01 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 0.50    
 
BEL-10   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC13 FAST Ruffian Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASS THE CHAMPAGNE Apr15 Feb18 Jan14 Feb03   (weaver george)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 4.00    
MOMMASGOTTARUN Apr07 Apr02 Mar17 Jan26 Jan12 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
TIMELESS JOURNEY Apr02 Mar12 Jan26 Dec30 Nov27 (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
IDIOMATIC Mar25 Feb16 Jan04 Dec07 May06 (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
KATHLEEN O. Apr02 Feb18 Nov25 May06 Apr02 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
GERRYMANDER Apr07 Sep24 Aug20 Jun25 May06 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
 
BEL-11   05/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) Mar18 Oct15       (sisterson jack)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 12.00    
LEFTEMBEHIND Mar17 Oct27 Sep29     (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
DREAMPOINT Jan12 Dec15 Nov18 Oct21 Sep24 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 125 12.00    
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Apr07 Nov26 Sep23 Aug10   (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 13% 6.90    
STOW ON THE WOLD Oct16 Aug26       (donk david)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
SCR  INDIAN MISCHIEF Mar26         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
SCR  KID KREESA         (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
VINCE THE PRINCE Apr14 Jul27       (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
ATLANTA'S ACUNA Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 Sep05   (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00 10% 8.70    
10  JOINT RESOLUTION Nov20 Apr07       (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50 15% 5.60    
11  ONE HEADLIGHT Apr14         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
12  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Oct27 Sep16 Aug19     (maker m)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
13  LOCKE AND KEY Apr16 Mar12       (catanese c)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00    
SCR  MORETHANAFEELING Mar26 Feb26 Jan25 Dec08   (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.