Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - May 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/10/4)-(5/7/10/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(3/5/6)-(7/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/1/5)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(6/3/5)-(4/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(4/10)-(6/8/7/9/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/10)-(4/3/10/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/10)-(4/3/10/6/1)-(4/3/10/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/10)-(6/8/7/9/4)-(2/3/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/8/7/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/9/4)-(6/8/7/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/9/4)-(6/8/7/9/4)-(6/8/7/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/9/4)-(2/3/1)-(1/4/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM MAC Mar20 Feb02 Dec17 Oct07 Aug26 (schuster rob)ROSARIO L 119 10.00    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN Jan31 Jan18 Dec27 Nov08 Oct24 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 12.00    
3  YONDERING Nov23 Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 Sep12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
4  SPECTACULAR ROAD Apr04 Feb15 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRIKE A BEAT Mar27 Mar08 Feb07 Jan19 Jan02 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
6  YO BERBS Apr03 Mar15 Feb09 Jan24 Jan05 (brown t)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
7  REINSURE Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  DON'T MAKE ME BEG Apr08 Sep22 Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 114 3.50 8% 11.80    
9  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Feb27 Feb01 Jan17 Dec29 Dec21 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
10  DIAMONDS ENJOY Mar02 Feb07 Jan18 Dec12 Nov07 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED LYON Mar15 Nov23 Oct20 Sep18 Aug21 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
2  ARCHARCH CAT Apr04 Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Oct16 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 3.00    
3  CAJUN BAYOU Apr03 Mar20 Feb09 Jan11 Dec07 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
4  THE EQUINEST Mar20 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 (bailey ri)BRICENO M 114 4.50    
5  ON SPOT Apr05 Feb07 Dec09 Nov12 Oct26 (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  WHEN IN ROME Mar20 Feb07 Jan30 Jan23 Jan02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
TDN-3   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY BALL Apr06 Mar09 Feb28 Jan26 Dec12 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 11% 7.90    
2  MISTER MOBIL Mar20 Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
3  TIZ A RUSH Sep20 Sep07 Jul25 Jun30 Jun01 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
4  GOLDEN MONEY Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec12 May03 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 ★    
5  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Feb28 Nov28 Nov09 Oct04 Sep16 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  RONNI'S STORM Apr06 Mar23 Feb15 Feb02 Jan16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
7  ROYAL'D Dec03 Oct04 Aug18 Jul19 Jul05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
8  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 Feb22 Sep19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY KITTEN Mar08 Feb11 Jan25 Jan05 Dec03 (brooks geral)AYALA J 119 15.00    
2  PRIVATE CONNIE Apr04 Mar06 Feb23 Feb02 Jan16 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
3  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Apr07 Mar16 Mar04 Feb18 Jan21 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 115 1.80 33% 2.10    
4  CONSIDER ME Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Jan13 Nov30 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 5.00    
5  OX DOC Nov04 May19       (hetric)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 10% 9.00    
6  SCRATCHOFF Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
TDN-5   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOES A ROCKIN Apr06 Mar23 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 ★    
1A  CAPTAIN RILEY Apr11 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
2  JUST CHESTER Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 (bird danny)TORREALBA JG 118 30.00    
3  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Apr06 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Nov28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 5.00 ★    
4  OHIO EAGLE Sep15 Sep05 Aug02 Jul22 Jun30 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 65% 0.50    
5  PRECIOUS JULES Dec03 Nov12 Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00    
6  HENRY THE CAT Mar23 Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 Sep06 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 4.00 ★    
7  PLATE IT UP Apr11 Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 Feb09 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00    
8  THE MAN CAN Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 10.00    
9  MOBIL AT LAST Mar14 Dec21 Dec12 Nov22 Nov03 (diehl can)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 3.50    
10  FURTHERINSTRUCTION         (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K KID Apr06 Dec30 Dec22 Oct29 Oct12 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 8.00    
1A  LINO'S KID Mar22 Feb26 Jan16 Dec19 Nov29 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
2  CONSTITUTION COAL Mar30 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan19 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 117 10.00    
3  BUCKEYE RED Mar30 Mar06 Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 119 20.00    
4  LOTSA MATCHA Mar20 Feb21 Jan19     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 10.00 7% 13.50    
5  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Sep06 Aug03 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 12.00    
6  INTO GOLD Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Dec19 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
7  CAVALETTO Apr06 Feb09 Jan04 Dec03 Nov01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 11% 8.10    
8  STAGE NAME Apr13 Feb21       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
9  WILDCAT EXPRESS Oct13 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 Jul05 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 3.50 9% 9.90    
10  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Mar30 Feb15 Jan16 Dec12 Nov29 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Apr04 Mar14 Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 7% 12.90    
2  CUTLER Sep22 Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  UNYIELDING Apr04 Feb27 Dec27 Jun25 May16 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Mar30 Mar01 Feb20 Feb01 Jan02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
5  YOU ARE AWESOME Mar22 Mar09 Feb27 Sep13 Sep05 (morales m)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 ★    
6  ROSAS WAY Apr03 Mar16 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
7  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Apr11 Mar16 Feb21 Jan16 Dec13 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I WANNA WIN Oct29 Sep27 Sep07 Aug13 Jul18 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 2.00    
1A  CHANNEL FURY Oct14 Oct04 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  SO DIALED IN Apr15 Mar22 Mar13 Dec06 Nov12 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00    
3  GOOD ON YA Feb08 Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Nov09 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
4  NICE ACE Oct23 Sep19 Aug22 Aug03 Jul26 (girten tim)RIVERA R 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  LAZARUS PROJECT Dec05 Nov08 Oct22 Oct10 Sep29 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 10.00    
6  WOODLAND WALK Oct22 Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 May30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  ENERGIZER Mar13 Dec06 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.