Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-2   Win (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (2/4/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   04/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND WILLOW Mar25 Mar08 Feb20 Jan24 Jan12 (silva-martine)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
D K'S CROWN Mar25 Mar01 Feb18 Feb09 Jan18 (villamar cand)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
LIVING VICARIOUSLY Mar13 Mar01 Nov05 Oct09 Aug03 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
TRIBAL IMPACT Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
W. WHITEHOUSE Mar19 Mar13 Feb26 Dec08 Nov29 (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 124 15.00    
ZATTER Feb20 Feb02 Jan18 Jan07 Dec13 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
CALIBOGEE Feb09 Dec26 Nov28 Sep12 Aug08 (pearman jaymie)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
 
TUP-2   04/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST ACCLAMATION Mar05 Feb13 Jan16 Dec04 Sep22 (fearon johnat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
TAKIN SHOTS Mar12         (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
SLOWDOWNTOGOFAST Oct11         (hone bar)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  WHEREDIDITGO Mar20 Mar12 Jan21     (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00    
ZARAGOZA Mar17 Feb25 Jan16     (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 3.50    
ANOTHER TEN Mar05 Feb01 Jan10     (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 2.00 23% 3.30    
THE COMRIE RULE Mar20 Mar12 Dec26 Nov30 Sep25 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
TUP-3   04/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATAR Mar14 Feb27 Feb13 Dec21 Dec01 (owens kory)VERGARA P 119 3.00 11% 7.70    
AMERICAN BLAZE Mar11 Feb10 Jan19 Dec28 Oct12 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  AIR JOCK Mar06 Feb14 Jan05     (mcfarlane dan)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 43% 1.30    
I AM FREAKY FAST Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Apr28 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  MOHAMAD Mar11 Feb27 Feb14 Jan26 Jan09 (brow)DA FAUSTO 119 15.00    
SPECIAL MOMENT Mar11 Feb18 Feb07 Jan18 Oct22 (hone bart)CORBETT W 119 4.50    
ANOTHERFORBROOKS Mar14 Feb14 Jan14 Dec27   (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00    
 
TUP-4   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR THUNDER Mar06 Feb14 Jan14 Dec27 Dec08 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 4.50    
NEW CHASER Mar05 Feb19 Jan24 Jul24 Jun26 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
PARTYOFSIXTEEN Mar19 Feb22 Feb11 May02 Apr13 (barr)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00    
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Mar18 Feb11 Jan19 Jan02 Dec22 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
TOOL TIME Mar05 Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 Nov04 (palma milton)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
CHICKEN N BISCUIT Oct02 Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Jun25 (esquibel mark)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00    
DANNY ZUKO Mar05 Feb19 Jan07 Dec13 Nov25 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 12.00    
GO LAKER GO Mar18 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 Sep17 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TUP-5   04/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE GO HOME Jan24 Nov28 Sep05 Aug12 Jul03 (pierce michae)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
LIMITED HEATWAVE Mar12 Feb20 Feb06 Jun05 May08 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 6% 16.20    
TWICE FOOLED Mar04 Feb06 Jan17 Dec26   (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 69% 0.40    
THE O G Feb18         (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 3.50    
CAPIAT Mar21 Mar06 Jan05     (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 118 8.00    
AGADOR SPARTACUS Mar12 Feb20 Jan30 Jan20 Dec31 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50    
UNUSUAL DANCER Mar19 Feb25 Jan09 Dec14 Jan14 (dillenbeck br)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 10.00    
 
TUP-6   04/04/2023 1320ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT FANNY Feb27 Jan18 Dec14 Aug24 Jun26 (woolley benni)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.50 12% 7.10    
MACCHIATO D'ORO Mar14 Feb08 Dec20 Sep19 Sep05 (campo stacy)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
TIM'S BUDDY Mar18 Feb19 Jan31 Jan12 Jan05 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
KIND OF GALLANT Mar08 Jan31 Dec19 Jun11 Jun03 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00    
NOEL'S ANGEL Dec15 Nov23 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 (silva rodrigu)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUTISM CAN DO Feb09 Dec22 Sep17 Aug22 Aug06 (wolf ashlee)OSUNA MARTIN 122 12.00    
LEEDSLIMIT Mar12         (figueroa juan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
CAPITAL EXPENSE Mar18 Feb19 Jan31 Dec14 Sep02 (baze robert)ANAYA V 122 4.50    
MADIGAN SQUEEZE Mar29 Feb09 Nov14 Sep17 Sep03 (wolf ashlee)DEONAUTH P 117 15.00    
 
TUP-7   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRROR IMAGE Mar05 Feb15 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 12.00    
MISTER MCLEAN Mar08 Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 Sep17 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
GOLD RUSH CANDY Mar19 Mar06 Feb22 Feb07 Jan20 (baze lisa)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
HIT THE SEAM Mar21 Jul04 Mar21 Feb17 Jan27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50    
SWING WEST Mar08 Nov17 Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 122 6.00    
J T'S A. T. M. Mar20 Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan26 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
RECKONING DAY Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Dec18 (wool)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   04/04/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMER GIRL Mar11 Feb16 Jan26 Jan10 Sep16 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
TWELVE STARS Mar11 Feb14 Jan10 Dec03 Nov12 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
FAT AND FURIOUS Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan10 Dec13 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
TA TA FOR NOW Mar05         (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
SHEZ OUR ARCH Mar19 Feb25 Dec17 Oct30 Oct15 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50    
GOLD COAST GIRL Feb28 Jan07 Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00    
SECRET MISTRESS Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan11 Dec19 (sanderso)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.50 18% 4.70    
PEPPER MILL Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Nov29 Nov04 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 116 6.00 8% 12.10    
MISS GHISLAINE Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Jan02 Jul01 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00 5% 18.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.