Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - October 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITEITONTHEICE Oct12 Sep22 Aug10 Jul02 May21 (fernandez e)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
2  LUCKY BOSS Oct08 Sep05 Jul23 Jun12 May19 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 4.00 ★    
3  CHASING RAINBOWS Sep14 Aug21 May07     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  LIBERTY STAR Oct02 Aug26 Jul14 Jun25 Apr23 (gaudet lacey)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
5  FLINT RIDGE Sep22 Jul30       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 ★    
6  MAHAAMEL (IRE) Oct14         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
7  LANSDOWNE (GB) Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 May30 May08 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL null      
8  FILIPPO Aug22 Mar13 Feb20 Jan13   (thornbury jeff)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 ★    
9  EYES OF GLORY Oct09 Sep13 Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 121 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLACY Sep07 Aug24 Jul23 Jun18 Jun04 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  MR. MARIAH Oct03 Sep21 Aug19 Jul31 Jul15 (pittman bon)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00    
SCR  FLY HOME Oct05 Sep10 Aug16 Jul03 Jun02 (preston randy)MCKEE J 124 6.00    
4  GOLDEN LUNA Sep24 Jul31 Jun19 May22   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  BOURBON ON FIRE Oct08 Sep18 Aug13 Jun24 Jun05 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.00 12% 7.60    
6  PERJURY Oct06 May06 Apr16     (cross r)MOJICA JR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUPE Oct05         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 15.00    
8  INFINITE ZEAL Oct06 Sep20 Sep06     (minnock g)OUZTS W 121 30.00    
9  SILVESTRE Sep28 Aug30 Aug11 Jul20 Jun21 (cambray ignacio)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
10  BUCKY BIK COIN Sep28 Sep03       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 12% 7.70    
 
KEE-3   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A. P. AVATAR Oct11 Aug30       (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 20.00    
2  ONE GIANT LEAP         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
3  GOLDEN BANDIT Oct07         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
4  SIR Oct07 Sep08       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 12.00 9% 10.30    
5  BOUDIN Sep30         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  COAL BOSS Sep24         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
7  WASHINGTON'S UNION         (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
8  MR BOB Aug25         (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 ★    
9  HILL OF TARA Aug06 Jul02 Jun19 May05   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 ★    
 
KEE-4   10/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEES GET DEGREES Sep18 Aug25 Aug13 Jul22 Jun19 (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Sep11 Jul11 Jun27 May23 Apr30 (von kel)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00    
3  MEAN JAKEY Sep22 Jul08 Jun19 May07 Apr23 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 5% 18.50    
4  FLAGS UP Sep24 Aug20 Jun19 May22   (baker jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
5  RUNAWAY HARRY Sep03 Aug13 Jul07 Jun15 May25 (wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
SCR  A LITTLE WILD Oct06 Sep20 Aug28     (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  STONEVICIOUS Oct14 Apr02 Feb26 Jan01   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
8  WELLMAN Sep13 Aug11 Jul05 Apr23 Apr10 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00 10% 9.10    
9  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Sep21 Jul03 May29 May04 Mar24 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
KEE-5   10/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTONS Sep08 Jun28       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
2  SOUTHLAWN Sep17 Jul31 Jun03     (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
3  MURKY Sep08         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  C C CRUISE CONTROL Oct07 Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 Jun17 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 8.00    
5  HEAVENLY SUNDAY Sep27         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  KATIE GOT LUCKY Sep07 Aug23       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
7  WAVE SKIPPER Sep14 Aug10       (greenhill jeff)PARKER L 118 30.00 6% 16.40    
8  AZTEC NIGHTS Oct09 Aug21 Aug05     (catalano)SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
9  AROUND THE SUN Oct14         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 ★    
10  STAR WISHER Sep28         (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 30.00    
11  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) Oct04         (delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 19% 4.30    
12  ALL ABOUT ME Sep28 Aug27 Aug10 Jul09 Jun15 (stidham micha)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
SCR  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) Oct01 Sep04 Jul31     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER COOL STORM         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
2  SCARLET STRIPE Oct01 Aug13       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  PARENTS PRIDE Sep03 Aug14       (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 16% 5.10    
4  SUNNY RIVER Oct15 Sep17 Aug07 Jun19 May19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.40 31% 2.20    
5  RAVELLA         (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
6  SEIZE THE MARQUET         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
7  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX Oct01 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 (king l)CASTANON L 124 20.00 ★    
8  FIDDLE Sep14 Aug27       (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 10% 9.50    
 
KEE-7   10/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY RADLER Sep07 Aug10 Jun29     (campbell )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
2  SATIN DOLL Aug13 Jul23       (o'neill doug)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 16% 5.10    
3  BABY GOT BACKSPIN Sep25 Aug13 Jul01     (arnold george)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
4  TWO MINUTE DRILL Sep30 Aug26 Jul14     (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
5  WILLOW BEND Sep23 Aug13       (colebrook ben)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
6  KEY OF LIFE (IRE) Oct07 Aug13 Jun25     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
7  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA Oct07 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
8  FLAMAND Oct06 Aug30 Aug06     (lopez elias)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 8% 11.40    
9  TIME FOR CHAMPAGNE Sep28         (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  ALVA STARR Sep07         (brinkman)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM Aug26 Aug07 Jul01     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
KEE-8   10/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIFORNIA ANGEL Oct15 Sep05 Mar12 Feb19   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEA MONA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  FRIPPET Sep23 Jul03 May21 Apr22 Apr02 (thomas jonathan)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of WHITE CLOVER by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  OAKHURST Sep06 Aug07 Jun25 Apr14 Feb09 (nevin michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
4  MY PHILLY TWIRL Sep29 May06 Apr02 Feb16 Jan19 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  DOLCE ZEL (FR) Aug20 Jul22 May06 Apr09 Mar12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOLCE ATTESA by DR FONG)
6  MAJESTIC GLORY (GB) Sep18         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of BELLA NOUF by DANSILI (GB))
7  LADY PUCHI Oct14 Sep06 Aug06 Jul14 May20 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ANNABIRD by FLOWER ALLEY)
8  BUBBLE ROCK Sep13 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
9  SPARKLE BLUE Sep06 Jul02       (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILK N' SAPPHIRE by SMART STRIKE)
10  HEAVENLY HELLOS Sep05 Jul22 May18 Apr08 Apr02 (hernandez rey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 50.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of RICH FIND by EXPLOIT)
11  TURNERLOOSE Sep24 Sep05 Aug07 May06 Mar26 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GOALTENDING by A.P. INDY)
12  BICAMERAL Sep04 Aug07 Jun12 Apr15 Jan23 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HUMBLE SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
13  SUNROOF Jul31 Mar07 Jan08     (santamari)LEPAROUX R 118 50.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of FELICIDADES by CONGRATS)
SCR  DIAMOND WOW Sep11 May07 Feb05     (biancone )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 5% 18.50    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of PATRIOTIC DIAMOND by HAT TRICK (JPN))
 
KEE-9   10/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS OF CAIRO Oct09 Aug14 Jun29     (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 12.00 10% 9.10    
2  TAP DANCING LADY Sep15 Jul08 Jun18 May06 Apr02 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  POWDER RIVER Sep15 Jun30 Jun04 May06   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00    
4  XTREMA Sep14 Aug14 Jul10 Jun09 May03 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00    
5  EMMELINE Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 May21 (mattine john)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
6  MOON SWAG         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
7  GERRI B Aug24 Jul27 Jul09 Jun11 May14 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
8  MICROCAP Sep29 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May06 (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
9  BIG BAD DIVA Sep21 Jul23 Apr22 Apr07 Feb10 (simms jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 5% 17.70    
 
KEE-10   10/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOB'S EDGE Sep10 Jul02 Jun04 Apr16 Mar19 (jones l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00    
SCR  FORE LEFT Oct01 Sep08 Jul23 Jun12 May15 (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00    
3  PROVEN STRATEGIES Sep02 Jul23 Jun19 Apr30 Mar13 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
4  BOLDOR Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 May30 Mar25 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
5  OUTADORE Sep13 Aug13 Jul05     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARK OF THE Z Oct07 Aug20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun04 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 123 8.00    
7  FRANCATELLI Feb19         (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  HOLLIS Sep04 Aug06 Jul02 May21 Mar19 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 46% 1.20    
9  INHALATION (GB) Aug02 May28 Apr24     (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
10  TOTALLY BOSS Sep10 Aug07 May28     (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
11  CHARCOAL Oct08 Sep10 Aug07 Jul13 Jun11 (wisner tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00    
12  BREAKING THE RULES         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
13  UNIFIED REPORT Sep08 Jul02 Apr30 Apr08 Mar12 (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  ROCKCREST Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 Jul13 Jun05 (burke r)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 ★    
15  KNOCKER DOWN Oct14 Sep09 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 118 6.00    
SCR  CITY DRIFTER Oct07 Jul23 Jun21 May31 May15 (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.