Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (9/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-4   Win (3/6/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/3/5/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-6   Win (7/5/6/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (3/6/5/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-8   Win (10/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (1/2/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULLY SUBSCRIBED         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
FIRE'S OUT         (duarte jorge )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
VESPERA Sep15         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
D' ARGONAUT         (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
SHARP SMILE Jul21         (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  KISS ME SLOW Jul21         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00    
ICE CREAM BOAT Aug23         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 8% 10.80    
MOODY GIRL         (giddings mel)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLLECTED SPECIAL Jun22 May12 Apr26 Mar21 Feb04 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 118 4.50    
WATASHA Sep20 Nov12 Sep27 Aug17 Jun25 (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Sep14 Aug22 Jul14 Jun28 May19 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00 18% 4.50    
MAGIA NERA Sep14 Aug18 Jul14 May12 Apr05 (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
HE'S GOT IT Sep15 Aug15 Jan27 Jan04 Dec10 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
J J'S JOKER Sep21 Aug11 Jun29 May12 Mar10 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
HEARD ON THESTREET Sep20 Sep02 Jun29 Jun07 Apr28 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE Sep27 Sep15 Aug31 Aug02 Jun29 (pregman jr)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Sep14 Aug30 Aug07 Jun29 Jan27 (toscano t)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/13/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 Knickerbocker Purse ($175K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDISTRICTING (GB) Dec02 Oct28 Jul08 Jun03   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
ANDTHEWINNERIS Sep20 Aug21 Jul20 May06 Apr07 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
FORT WASHINGTON Sep01 Jul20 Jun15 May09 Dec30 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50    
RECKONING FORCE Sep07 Aug17 Jun19 May18 May02 (walsh p)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  IRISH PROPHET Aug17 Jul21 Feb10 Jan06 Dec03 (drysdale neil)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
SIEGE OF BOSTON Aug29 Aug04 Jun15 May04 Mar02 (toner j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  FILM STAR Sep21 Aug03 Jul11 Dec28 Nov24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 0.80    
 
BAQ-4   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE CARA Sep21 May02 Apr19 Mar16 Feb29 (barrera oscar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TETA'S TROTTER Sep27 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Jun06 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
WINE RESPONSIBLY Aug16 Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 Sep04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
BOLD HOPPERTUNITY Nov15 Oct13 Sep17     (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 15.00 7% 13.50    
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Sep21 Aug21 Jul20 Jun08 May05 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
YORK TAVERN Sep21 Aug18 Jul14 Jul05 Jun15 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
I SEE YOU LOOKIN Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 Apr27 Mar09 (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 120 10.00 9% 10.40    
SCOTTO Oct03 Jun16 Jun01 May02 Apr04 (jones eduard)BONILLA CRISTINA 122 30.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul24 Jul06 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYING BY OMISSION         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
1A  BANNER EIGHTEEN (FR) Sep19         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50    
VOW TO RESILIENCY Sep15         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
ALL NIGHT REVIVAL Sep15 Aug04       (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
WINNING STREEP Sep08 Aug15       (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
LAURELIN         (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 8% 11.40    
POINT TO THAT STAR Sep20 Aug25 Jul13     (milne joan)OLVER MADISON 119 50.00    
SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP Sep15 Aug15       (walsh p)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50    
SCR  VEKOMA'S WAR         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
KATERINA RISTOVA Sep27 Aug22 Jul31 Jul13 Jun16 (chichakly amira)PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00    
SCR  LUCKFORYOU Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 May16   (romero jesus)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
11  WORTH CONSIDERING         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  PARTY QUEEN Sep11         (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/13/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRODERICK         (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
ST. ERLING Aug25 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21   (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
MY MAN MAGOO Sep20         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
MOMENT'S NOTICE Sep14 Aug17 Jul13     (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
SOCIAL HOUR Aug17 Jul20       (pletcher todd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 8% 11.20    
CITY OF OSCARS Sep05 Aug17       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 49% 1.10    
MCHALE Sep14 Aug17       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
PURE MONEY Sep14         (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
10  KING EXPRESS Sep05         (casse mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TURK AND WENDY Sep05         (beattie m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  GRIFFIN'S WHARF         (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDPERFORMANCE Sep13 Aug18 Jul19 Jun06 Mar29 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DISAPPEARANCE Sep02 Aug05 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 (barrera s)OTERO AAROM 114 8.00    
STRONG LIGHT Oct03 Sep14 Sep07 Jun29 May18 (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
HIGH TIDE Sep21 Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 May26 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 34% 2.00    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Sep29 Jul26 Jun28 May12 Mar24 (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00    
MILTON THE MONSTER Sep14 Aug18 Jul13 Oct14 Jul08 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
DADDY KNOWS Aug29 Jul31 Jun21 May27 Apr26 (schettino dom)MARTINEZ R 124 12.00 25% 3.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Sep29 Sep14 Jul19 Jun29 Jun21 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00    
CUMBERLAND BLUES Sep14 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 May18 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 3.00    
BARESE Oct03 Sep19 Aug25 Aug01 May09 (kantarmaci ilkay)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
10  OPTIC WAY Sep29 Aug21 Jul19 Jun28 Mar30 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5% 18.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOOKY LADY Sep13 Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 May24 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BON ADIEU Sep20 Aug14 Aug03 Jun09 May11 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 126 12.00    
SNOWY EVENING Sep26 Aug22 Jul24 Jul07 Jun28 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
MUNNY GRAB Aug14 Jul24 Jun08 Apr28 Apr06 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
BUSY MORNING Sep26 Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 Apr18 (abreu r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BROCKNARDINI Sep07 Aug14 Jul13 Sep30 Sep16 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
BEING BETTY Sep22 Jun14 Apr27 Nov17 Sep15 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
DREAM CENTRAL Aug08 May24 Nov09 Oct19 Jun25 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
SCR  BERNT AGAIN Aug22 Jul24 Jan28 Dec14 Oct27 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00    
COLLABORATION Sep02 Aug14 Jul07 Oct13 Sep14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
10  OVERACTING Jul24 Jun09 Apr27 Oct27 Sep04 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  MAGGIE T Sep13 Aug02 Jul07 May02 Apr05 (giangiulio michelle)RIDER TBA 122 5.00    
SCR  SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug22 Jul11 Jun09 Apr25 Mar24 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 122 4.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Aug07 Jul11 Jun09 Mar30 Mar24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   10/13/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLIGHT DANCER Sep14 Jul07 May19 Oct29   (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
SAINTE CHAPELLE Aug25 Jul05 Nov17 Sep24   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  PAMPLONA RED Sep02 Aug01 Jun14 May04 Apr06 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Sep02 Aug18 Jul24 Jul04 Jun09 (giddings mel)RIVERA R 120 10.00 8% 11.20    
LADY LAOBAN Sep14 Jul05 Jun08 Nov17 Aug27 (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
THE SPLENDID ONE Aug11 Jul04 Jun09 May11 Mar29 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
HAYES BAY Aug18 Aug01 Aug17     (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
COACH SESSA Sep14 Oct12 Sep02 Aug02   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6% 15.60    
CHERBOURG Sep02 Jan26 Dec13 Sep14   (lerman s)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
10  LA FIERE Aug17 Jul19 Jun14 Apr13   (donk dav)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
11  HOLDER CLOSE Sep14 Jul24 Jun22 Jun09 Feb16 (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 120 20.00    
SCR  SHE IS ALL BUSINES Sep14 Jul27 Oct12 Sep15   (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Sep14 Jul26 Feb16 Feb02 Dec30 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
SCR  ASHDALE         (bond harold )RIVERA R 120 12.00    
SCR  FOCUS POCUS Aug23 Jun16 May16 Apr06 Sep01 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Sep26 Aug23 Apr14 Mar29 Feb02 (rodriguez gusta)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.