Handicappers' Racing Form
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Ellis Park
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (5/11/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (8/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (8/10/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (11/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-8   Win (3/11/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (16/6/2/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAYOU MAGIC Jun05 Feb09 Dec23 Sep15   (hill f)MONCADA IRVING 108 6.00    
2  SITKA Jun09 Apr05 Feb24 Jan13   (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
3  LEND IT TEWMEY Jun14 May19 Sep14 Aug18 Jul14 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  TOWN BRANCH Jun02 May21 Apr15 Mar05 Feb11 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  LIBERTANGO Jun01 May07 Feb09 Jan12 Dec16 (fletcher kevin)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
6  TAP THE CANDY Sep15 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-2   07/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY DASH May04 Apr07 Mar08     (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
2  MUNYHUNGRY May26 May11 Nov18     (parker donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  ROYAL SALUTE Jun08 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 Jun22 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 2.50    
SCR  GOLDENTOWN Jun02 Apr19 Mar07 Jan15 Oct22 (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
5  DROBNY May17 Mar07 Feb12 Jan12 Dec09 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  GAGLIARDI Jun12 Apr13       (mott i)TORRES A 118 6.00    
7  MOR JAZZ Nov19 Oct26 Sep17 Aug12   (humphries thom)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  GLYNE BEACH         (camejo jose)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  LET'S BOUNCE Apr30 Apr13       (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  GET AHEAD NOW Jun05 Apr30 Jan11 Dec10 Oct13 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
11  CURLIN GUNNER Jun08 May02 Mar23 Jan13 Dec15 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 6.00 29% 2.50    
12  FASTER Apr27 Mar02 Dec21 Nov11   (tooley jenni)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE STRIKE Nov23 Oct26 Sep29 Sep10 Aug06 (santamaria carlos)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  READY TO REIGN Jun18 May06       (colebrook b)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  KAUAI BREEZE May08         (correas ig)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  THREE POINT STRUT Jun22 May16 Apr17 Mar15 Feb04 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
ELP-3   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SENSE Jun14 Apr30 Mar20 Jan27 Nov25 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  I GOTTA BOLT Jun14 May11 Apr17 Mar20 Feb23 (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00    
3  BYZANTINE Jun01 Apr27 Mar22 Feb16 Jan12 (morse randy)TORRES A 123 8.00    
4  MISSY BEE Jun19 Apr30 Apr11 Mar15 Feb29 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 20.00    
5  SHE'S MAGIC Jun14 Jun01 May11 Nov12 Sep21 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
6  FLORIS Mar29 Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 (duvall e)CASTANON L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELLA FRANCES Apr30 Mar27 Feb29 Feb03 Jan13 (beckman whit)TORRES A 123 4.00    
8  COLLECT A LIL Jun19 Jun01 Apr30 Mar16 Feb28 (roberson denn)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 10.00 12% 7.70    
 
ELP-4   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL CORDOBES Jul04         (chavez)FRANCA ERIELTUN 119 30.00    
2  MAX MISCHIEF         (asmussen steve)TORRES A 119 8.00    
3  BORROWED TIME         (brisset rodol)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
4  JUJUBEE         (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  IMPROBABLE CAUSE         (andrade hugo)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00    
6  FIRST RESORT         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  SHOGUN (IRE)         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
8  CHARLIE TOLU Jun13 May24 May01 Apr17   (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 39% 1.60    
9  EXTRADITION         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
10  TREW VIOLENCE         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 20% 3.90    
11  HAUNTED FLAME         (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
 
ELP-5   07/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRANK JR Jun06 May04 Apr06 Mar09   (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN BUCK Jun13 May26 Apr27 Mar28 Nov27 (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
3  ORESTES Jun19 May29 Sep29 Sep08 Aug06 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00    
4  TWIRLING TROILLET Jun23 Jun13 May26 Apr05 Mar23 (king barry )TORRES A 118 12.00    
5  CASHMEUP Jun15 May25 Apr27 Feb17 Nov09 (miller jerom)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00    
SCR  RIGEL May25 Apr21 Mar06 Feb03 Jan04 (sancal murat)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.50    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY Jun06 Apr28 Mar16 Apr29 Feb25 (mott i)TORRES A 123 3.50    
8  GOD OF WINE May25 May01 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 (davis christo)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 5.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  NOBLE GENTLEMAN Apr07 Mar20 Feb09 Dec22 Dec09 (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
10  GAMETIME GLADIATOR Jun15 May01 Mar16 Feb18 Jan28 (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
11  INTERLOCK EMPIRE May23 May05 Apr13 Mar23 Feb25 (colebrook ben)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 8.00 5% 17.60    
 
ELP-6   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARCOURT Jun06 Apr27 Mar23     (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
2  MIDWAY VOW May19 Mar28       (asmussen steve)TORRES A 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
3  SO FAR SO GOOD Jun12         (moger jr)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
4  ROSE ALABAMA Jun12 May17 Mar30     (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
SCR  NIGHT CRY         (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  LA FORET         (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
7  CORRI FELICE Jun02 May16 Apr26 May05 Apr21 (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY ABERDEEN Jun16 May26 Apr20 Mar13 Jan19 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
SCR  DARK FURY Jun06 Apr27       (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00    
 
ELP-7   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOFFEE APPLE Apr21 Feb21 Jan17 Dec14   (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
2  ON COMMAND Jun15 May11 Apr12 Mar03 Dec17 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SCR  MO CHAT Jun18         (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
4  MY SEXY BLONDE Jun07 Mar07 Feb21 Jan10 Nov25 (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 30.00    
5  FEELING BEACHY Sep04         (casse w)LANERIE J 118 15.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  WHAPPEN Jun09         (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  PUBLIC ASSEMBLY Nov04         (brown c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
8  FASHION AFFIRMED         (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00    
9  BEDAZZLE 'EM Jun09 May01 Apr05 Jan14 Nov18 (mott i)TORRES A 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
10  PENNY'S SMILE May25 Apr20       (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 ★    
11  SCREAMING MIMI May27         (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  ADRASTEIA Jun15 Mar28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct27 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR May25 Apr05 Mar01 Jan24 Dec13 (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  ITS SATISFACTUAL Mar28 Jan26 Nov29     (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  MISS HEBRIDES         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  WHERE'S THE WINE Jun08 Feb28       (catalano m)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERASOL SUGAR Jun15 Jun01 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 120 15.00    
2  LITHE SPIRIT May27 Apr27 Mar17     (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
3  TWEETSTER Jun01 May03 Mar29     (casse w)LANERIE J 120 4.50 64% 0.60    
4  BELLA HAZE May10 Apr04 Nov25 Oct06 Sep10 (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE Jun08 May09 Apr05 Mar07 Feb10 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
6  HOME GAME May30         (morey e)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  MIAH MIAH Oct28 Sep01       (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
SCR  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY Jun08 Apr12       (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
9  RIPERTON Dec13 Oct15 Sep16 Aug13 Jul22 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 6.00    
10  SABRINA Jun01 Apr18 Dec17     (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
11  PEIGNOIR Nov10 Oct15 Aug26 Jul31   (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 7% 13.50    
 
ELP-9   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKY JOY Jun16 May02 Mar30 Feb17 Jan06 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 124 1.60    
2  LOU'S LEGACY Jun13 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 (andrade hugo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  MIDWAY LIGHTS May27 Mar09       (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 15.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGNS JOY May29         (maker michael )TORRES A 118 20.00    
5  SWEET FREEDOM May26 Dec15       (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
6  OSCARWORTHY Feb29 Jan28       (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  TELESCOPIC Jun08 May10 Apr06 Feb23 Jan26 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  SAN MARTIN Jun08 Apr24       (sancal murat)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
9  SICILIAN DEFENSE Feb24 Jan13       (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
10  HALF DOME (IRE)         (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED PLEASURE May18         (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  PROVISIONAL Aug26         (matejka pavel)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
13  TEEN IDOL Apr13 Feb24       (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWO BEERS BY TEN May13 Apr30 Mar30 Mar01   (maker j)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00    
15  HIGGINSVILLE Jun06 Apr07 Mar09 Jan01 Oct26 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
16  STORMIN TANDA Jun01         (stall m)TORRES A 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.