Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - May 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/5)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/1)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(5/4/1)-(4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/5/1)-(1/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/2/6)-(3/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/4/2)-(9/6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(9/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (9/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/7)-(9/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/7)-(9/6/4/7)-(9/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOAH MY BABY Mar28 Mar14 Feb24 Feb08 Jan10 (poole m)AVILES YAN 115 5.00    
TADZIO Mar28 Mar05 Sep06 Aug15 Jul27 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 117 4.50    
HARSH TRUTH Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 Dec11 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
WILDCAT PRIDE Nov27 Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 Mar02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 66% 0.50    
YIPPEE KI YAY Mar28 Feb24 Feb14 Jan25 Dec28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
RAY'S EMPIRE Apr09 Feb14 Jan30 Dec28 Jul06 (szczepanski )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGIE'S DEAR ONE Apr22 Apr08 Mar20 Sep04   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80    
CORAL RIVERS         (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 2.00 66% 0.50    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 (schuster robi)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Apr22 Apr08 Mar07 Nov28 Nov13 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50    
PITY PURCHASE Nov13 Oct28 Oct10 Sep21   (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS SPRING Jul10 Jun20 May29 May11 Nov09 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
HEART OF AN ANGEL Nov02 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
C C'S CLEAR CREEK Mar07 Feb20 Jan22 Dec05 Nov14 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
TWELVE MINUS ONE Mar13 Feb22 Jan02 Dec18 Dec05 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
JIMMY JUNGA Oct23 Sep06       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
TURBO TRIP         (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 69% 0.50    
 
TDN-4   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORLEANS STORM Apr24 Mar25 Mar13 Mar04 Feb24 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE RONS ROCKET Apr04 Jan30 Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
ANIMO ROBERTO Mar25 Mar06 Feb21 Dec30 Dec14 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.00    
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Oct21 Oct04 Sep13 Aug10 Aug24 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
STARS N SPACE Apr04 Mar06 Feb06 Jan15 Dec26 (overho)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-5   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL BANDIDO Apr03 Mar19 Mar11 Mar04 Feb20 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
TOYI Apr24 Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Feb29 (genovese ric)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 6.00    
DESTINO Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 Feb15 Jan25 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 3.50    
O ROMEO Apr07 Mar10 Dec15 Nov21 Nov01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
THE RED MAN Apr30 Jan17 Oct08 Sep16 Aug11 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-6   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILIN' FOR GEMS Apr22 Mar25 Feb29     (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
STRIKING LAD Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
GO TOTHE PRINCIPAL Apr09 Mar25 Feb29 Feb01 Jan02 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.80    
MY HOMBRE Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar17 Mar07 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
FORMYBOYS Apr08 Mar17 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
EQUITY CAT Apr09 Mar25 Mar07 Feb15 Jan23 (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW'S PRIDE Apr03 Mar06 Jan31 Nov24 Nov09 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
AURA OF GOLD Apr03 Jan24 Nov09 Sep03 Aug08 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Mar26 Mar11 Feb06 Dec20 Nov03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 121 4.50 38% 1.70    
POKER PARTNER Apr29 Mar19 Mar11 Feb15 Jan24 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 117 3.00 22% 3.50    
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Apr14 Mar22 Mar14 Feb25 Feb10 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60    
 
TDN-8   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS VALENTINA Apr24 Apr11 Jan10 Dec12 Nov09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
KERRI'S MIRACLE Apr24 Apr11 Jan10 Dec12 Aug24 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
SCR  DANES LAST SONG Jan04 Dec21 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 5.00    
KAT TRAX Apr11 Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 Feb27 Feb19 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
MOBIL MEMORY Apr24 Apr11 Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
SALUTE THE KID Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 Jun14 May11 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BETTER HALF Jan08 Dec21 Nov28 Oct06 Sep22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
RONNI'S WIND Oct06 Sep14 Aug31 Nov12 Oct29 (hester haley)BRACHO A 119 5.00 42% 1.40    
10  C MORE PRIDE Apr03 Mar04 Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.