Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/6)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/6)-(4/1/3)-(6/5/10/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/5/10/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/5/10/7/1)-(8/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/5/10/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/10/7/1)-(6/5/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/10/7/1)-(6/5/10/7/1)-(6/5/10/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/10/7/1)-(8/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/10/7/1)-(8/5/3/4)-(1/9/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4/9)-(8/5/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/3/4)-(1/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/4)-(1/9/6/7)-(3/11/5/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/2/7)-(1/9/6/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/6/7)-(3/11/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6/7)-(3/11/5/7/2)-(4/3/2/9/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/11/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/5/7/2)-(3/11/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/5/7/2)-(3/11/5/7/2)-(3/11/5/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/11/5/7/2)-(4/3/2/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/11/5/7/2)-(4/3/2/9/1)-(2/9/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-8   WIN (4/3/2/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/9/1)-(4/3/2/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/9/1)-(4/3/2/9/1)-(4/3/2/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/2/9/1)-(2/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/9/1)-(2/9/8)-(4/3/1/9/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-9   WIN (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/8)-(2/9/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/8)-(2/9/8/5/4)-(2/9/8/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/9/8)-(4/3/1/9/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-10   WIN (4/3/1/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/9/11)-(4/3/1/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/9/11)-(4/3/1/9/11)-(4/3/1/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATKINS Jan12 Dec17 Nov11 Jun15 May18 (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  TREATY Feb16 Jan15 Dec16 Oct12 Sep20 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00    
BUBBA CAN DANCE Feb03 Dec29 Nov30 Oct09 Aug08 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 1.60    
SCR  CHIEF CHEETAH Nov17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun25 (del cid)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
ACTION SEEKER Feb16 Jan13 Nov30 Oct16 Sep20 (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jan25 Jan04 Nov26 Aug23 Jul22 (barnett c)MELANCON G 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ITWASTHISBIG Feb23 Jan18 Dec21 Dec01 Nov11 (arnett g)VARGAS P 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
FG-2   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEARCH Feb16 Aug23 Jul21 Jul08 Nov30 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 125 6.00    
SHEHASANATTITUDE Feb21         (husak gary)MARQUEZ L 125 15.00 15% 5.50    
LINDA FAYE Feb08         (charles keit)TORRES A 117 10.00    
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Sep28 (mcgee paul)GRAHAM J 125 1.40 35% 1.90    
MORO MAESTRO Aug08         (leonard geo)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 6.00    
HARD EXIT Feb16         (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUMINOUS RULER Feb16 Dec31 Nov25 Oct19   (barnett c)RIQUELME J 117 4.00 19% 4.30    
ENGLISH LUNA Feb02 Jan11 Dec21     (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00    
 
FG-3   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NONCHALANT Feb04         (broberg karl)LANERIE J 117 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  GAMBE FORTE         (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 117 8.00    
NO BRAKE NEEDED         (barnett c)RIQUELME J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
AUTO DIAL Feb15 Jan11 Dec17 Nov24 Aug18 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
FURTHER EVIDENCE Jan28 Oct23 Sep24     (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.50    
AMERICA TOUGH Feb05         (schultz lind)TORRES A 125 8.00    
RUNNIN MUNNIN Feb09 Jan21 Nov19 Oct18 Sep22 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 4.00    
 
FG-4   03/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAHUILLA Feb15 Jan04 Oct26 Mar10 Feb15 (romero gerald )GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER STORMY Aug14 Jul26 Jun20 May29 May10 (cohn g)CARROLL DECLAN 122 20.00    
RUBY FOO Jan25 Jan07 Nov19 May03 Mar10 (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 6.00    
LANETTA Jan28 Feb15 Jan01     (kenneally)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
IM SINGLED UP Feb15 Jan25 Jan06 Dec14 Jun09 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Feb15 Jan04 Dec21 Nov23 Nov04 (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
MISS TAPPY TONE Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Nov04 Oct12 (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
LA VILLANA Oct26 Oct07 Sep12 Jun09 May11 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00    
LATE NITE LIZZIE Feb12 Jan20 Nov26 Nov05 Oct07 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 114 12.00    
10  CLEVER JOKE Feb15 Dec21 Nov23 Oct11 Jul23 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
FG-5   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLS Feb09 Dec31 Nov17     (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 8.00    
OVER PAID Jan04 Jun23 Jun03 May21   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
SOUNDS LIKE POWER Dec09 Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Aug05 (gelner jayde)TORRES A 119 4.50 10% 9.10    
DOUBLEDIAMOND DEAL Feb24 Feb01       (melancon donald)MCMAHON J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
STEEL ARGUMENT Feb02         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 8.00 18% 4.40    
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Feb16 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 Nov18 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
SPEIGHTFUL ONE Jan25 Jan04 Dec07 Nov17   (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 119 10.00    
BENJI STAR Feb17 Jan20       (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR Feb03 Dec31 Dec09 Nov17   (roberts roy)ROSIER R 119 4.50    
 
FG-6   03/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TRUE GENTLEMAN Jan11 Dec15 Nov05 Sep08 Jun24 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 4.50 54% 0.80    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of WILD STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
GREAT RUNNER Feb15 Jan25 Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET SHIRLEY MAE by BROKEN VOW)
GOLDENTOWN Jan15 Oct22       (forster t)GRAHAM J 117 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MEDAGLIA GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GHOST PRINCE         (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 117 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SCHON by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BOLT ACTION May21         (stall albert)TORRES A 125 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AMERISTRALIA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
MO RUM Feb15         (stall m)MCMAHON J 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COR COR by SMOKE GLACKEN)
GOOD APPLE         (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MISSALANEY by BADGE OF SILVER)
KING OF THE PALACE Feb13 Jan13 Nov18 Sep29 Aug20 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SIRCAT SALLY by SURF CAT)
MOONLIGHT ROAD Jan01 Nov19 Oct07     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of EARLYBIRD ROAD by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  HOGSLAYERS R I P Feb22 Jan11 Dec01 Sep30 Aug31 (pessin l)CURTIS BEN 125 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCATTER GUN by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GLOBAL STAGE Apr14 Feb10       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAKE A MEMO by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
FG-7   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTIFIED GEM Dec15 Aug14 Jul02 Jun19 May14 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
THE CALLING STONE Feb15 Jan28 Nov01 Aug12 Aug03 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
OLIVIA G Feb08 Jan28 Dec29 Dec09 Nov17 (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
TENSAS LU LU Feb07 Jan11 Dec01     (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
SHE HAS IT ALL Feb16         (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 125 6.00 10% 9.40    
DON'TCALLMEPATSY Mar15 Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 Sep04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
BANDIT'S PRIDE Feb15 Aug12 Aug03 Jun17 Jun02 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
CUSTOM DESIGN Jun02 May10 Apr14 Feb05 Dec17 (pitzer flo)ALBERT S 122 15.00    
MY ROYAL PRINCESS Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 Jul02 May28 (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00    
SCR  DAISY DE ORO Feb08 Dec09 Aug13 Jul20 Jun19 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
11  SISTER ELLA Feb10 Jan18 Nov16 Oct06   (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 117 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
FG-8   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED ROSE Feb04 Dec29 Nov17 Jul17 Jun03 (johnson b)GRAHAM J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
THE PRINCE'S SPUR Nov24 Sep28 Sep03 Jul16 Jun10 (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
FROMANOTHAMUTHA Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 Nov19 Sep28 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
BRIGADE COMMANDER Jan27 Jan15 Dec16 Sep30 Sep09 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
MAASAI WARRIOR Feb25 Jan15 Sep28 Sep03 Aug04 (leonard george )MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
SILVER HEIST May04 Mar09 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
JOINT VENTURE Jan21 Dec15 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 120 20.00    
RECKER POINT May04 Apr16 Mar12 Feb19 Jan14 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
FREDDY J Feb12 Dec30 Dec03 Sep30 Aug27 (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  SUNDAY BREEZE Jan27 Dec17 Oct24 Mar22 Mar03 (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 15.00    
 
FG-9   03/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC2 YIELDING Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL ALACRAN Feb10 Jan13 Nov25 Sep03 Aug04 (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
VERY SATISFACTORY Nov30         (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 46% 1.20    
ROUSSETTE Feb04 Dec15       (stall m)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
FUNNYFLAME Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 Nov23 Nov02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
SPINNING HEART Jan21 Dec24 Oct20     (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
SHARP STRIKE         (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 117 12.00    
NOW IMA BELIEVER Feb02         (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00    
SIR EXTON Jan21 Dec23 Nov25 Oct26   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOPE JOE'S RIGHT Jan21 Dec15 Nov12 Sep21   (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
10  DOUBLE NEAT Dec23 Nov25       (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
11  DROBNY Feb12 Jan12 Dec09 Nov04 Oct12 (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
SCR  COWBOY CAUSE Dec08 Nov15       (litfin ver)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Jan12 Dec15 Nov04 Sep24 Jul15 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
SCR  B FIFTY TWO Jan21 Dec14 Nov24     (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
 
FG-10   03/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT CROWN Feb17 Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 Nov21 (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 121 8.00 11% 8.40    
TSURIS Feb13 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 5.00    
JUJU NINETEEN Feb13 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Aug27 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
SARAH'S VISION Feb13 Dec27 Dec01 Oct28 Jul23 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 121 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MIND ON MY MONEY Feb17 Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 Dec01 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
J B GRAY Feb13 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Aug27 (balderas al)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00    
SHANKINSTINE Feb18 Jan20 Dec19 Nov16 Sep12 (ramirez e)STOKES J 121 8.00    
IT'S A BIRD Feb16 Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 Oct19 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 12.00    
FORT BONZ Feb22 Feb13 Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 (mojica a)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 6% 15.40    
10  INSPECTOR ED Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 Nov24 Oct11 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 12.00    
11  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Feb17 Feb01 Dec27 Dec07 Nov08 (patt jr)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUARTER RAT Feb13 Dec27 Nov25 Oct27 Jul28 (delahoussaye gl)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.