Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/6/2)-(7/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(7/3/5)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(6/5/1)-(2/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(2/1/7)-(1/6/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(1/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(1/6/8/5)-(5/9/6/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5/3)-(1/6/8/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/5)-(5/9/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/5)-(5/9/6/10)-(10/2/7/1/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/10)-(5/9/6/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/10)-(5/9/6/10/1)-(5/9/6/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/6/10)-(10/2/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/10)-(10/2/7/1/9)-(1/7/4/5/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-8   WIN (10/2/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/1/9)-(10/2/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/1/9)-(10/2/7/1/9)-(10/2/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/7/1/9)-(1/7/4/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/7/4/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5/6)-(1/7/4/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5/6)-(1/7/4/5/6)-(1/7/4/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMING DIFFERENCE Dec31 Nov15       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BERNADREAMY by BERNARDINI)
1A  UNIQUE INSIGHT Dec31 Nov11 Oct06     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  ALLEGRINI Dec08 Nov17       (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PERDY by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  FIRST TRUMPET Jan27 Dec16 Oct15 Aug26 Aug10 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
4  EUSEBIUS Jan05 Nov12       (mccarthy mich)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of AWESOME ASHLEY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  CAROLO RAPIDO Dec31         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CATHRYN SOPHIA by STREET BOSS)
 
AQU-2   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTENNA Dec03 Nov26 Oct14 Aug26 Jul29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
2  ANNA'S WISH Jan01 Dec13 Nov18 Sep27 Sep03 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 6% 16.60    
3  SUN AND WIND Jan19 Dec16 Oct20 Sep15 Aug24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
4  CLASSIC DIVA Jan18 Nov26 Nov09 Sep07   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
5  BUSTIN TIME Feb09 Oct28       (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
6  PROGENY Jan01 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Sep16 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-3   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG LIGHT Feb10 Jan13 Dec31 Dec07 Nov26 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
2  UNION LIGHTS Feb04 Jan12 Jan01 Dec01 Oct15 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 2.50 ★    
3  NORGAY Dec31 Dec01 Jul16 Jun18 May21 (barrera )DAVIS A 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
4  DISAPPEARANCE Feb10 Jan13 Jan01 Nov25 Nov02 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 8.00    
5  STREET COP OFFICER Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 Nov14 Oct25 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIDNIGHT WORKER Feb03 Jan12 Dec10 Jun18 May13 (chichakly ami)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
7  CHEEKY TICO Feb10 Dec31 Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 115 1.20 43% 1.40    
 
AQU-4   02/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT CANDY Jan13         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of RED HOT BERTIE by TABASCO CAT)
2  AUTUMN'S TURN Feb04         (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
3  MONARCH Jan14         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00    
  (by TAPIT out of OUR MAJESTY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
4  WAKE UP LAUREN Nov03 Sep17       (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WEB O' GOLD by HARD SPUN)
5  JUST MUSIC Jan19 Dec28 Nov04 Oct14 Jul30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 24% 3.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
6  PRINCESS VINO Jan28 Dec31 Dec01     (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LUNAR GAZE by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-5   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE WITH ME BABE Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 Jul23 Jun24 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
2  LADY BANKER Jan18 Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 51% 1.00    
3  ROSEMARY POTATOES Dec31 Nov25 Aug20 Jul13 Jul02 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
4  LEMON TAFFY Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Mar05 Feb15 (henry nevi)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00    
5  DEVILLY Jan19 Dec31 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50 ★    
6  PROPER GRAMMAR Dec10 Nov30 Jul28 May12 Nov19 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00    
7  PAUCILOQUENT Jan19 Aug16 Jun24 May18 Apr22 (bond harol)RIVERA R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 Sep14 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
 
AQU-6   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE RULES Dec29 Nov17       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80    
1A  ERIC FROM MIAMI Jan13 Nov03 Oct14 Sep17 Aug18 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.80 58% 0.70    
SCR  JEFFERSONS OCEAN Dec02 Oct20 Oct05     (friedman mit)HARKIE K 120 50.00    
3  IRIE MAN Feb02 Dec29       (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 ★    
4  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Jan13         (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
5  ARCO AUGUSTA Feb04 Jan14 Dec29 Oct13 Sep04 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEPTUNE BEACH Jan13 Dec02       (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
7  MAMA'S DREAM Feb02 Nov12 Sep21     (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
8  AIR FORCE CROSS         (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
9  MANNY PENNY Feb02 Jan13 Dec17     (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLDTHEFLIGHT Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 Oct09 Sep06 (kirby john )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 ★    
2  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Jan26 Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 Aug01 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 118 15.00    
3  PRINCE OF JOY Jan26 Jan04 Dec15 Dec01 Oct15 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00    
4  BLU GROTTO Jan12 Jan01 Dec01 Oct13 Sep22 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 12.00    
5  KEYSTONE FIELD Jan27 Jan12 Nov15 Oct14 Aug06 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  MINISTERIAL Jun18 Apr20 Feb24 Dec30 Oct13 (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  CRITICAL THREAT Jan26 Jan14 Dec09 Oct28 Sep09 (chichakly a)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 15.00    
8  LIFE AND LIGHT Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 Oct28 Oct14 (pringle edm)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 50.00    
9  DADDY KNOWS Jan26 Dec17 Nov19 Jun11 May11 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
10  PIT BOSS Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 Oct28 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR PHIL Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 Jul16 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00    
SCR  GUT FEELING Jan12 Dec29 Nov11 Oct07 Sep14 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maddie May Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARA'S TIME Jan14 Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 17.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
2  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Jan14 Dec14 Oct29 Aug16 Aug02 (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
3  BARONESS BOURBON Jan19 Dec10 Oct29 Oct01   (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
4  LANDED Dec17 Sep28       (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Jan12 Sep01       (mcpeek kennet)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MIDNIGHT IN GIADA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  MUNNY GRAB Dec30 Nov16 Oct22 Sep01   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
7  WALK WITH ME Dec16 Nov09       (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 8% 12.20    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MIGHT BE by POSSE)
8  BLUE EYED WARRIOR Dec28 Oct28       (giddings melan)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  RUMINT Jan14         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUMINT by MUTAKDDIM)
10  MY MANE SQUEEZE Jan14 Oct29 Sep24 Sep01 Aug10 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 44% 1.30    
  (by AUDIBLE out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
AQU-9   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD REUNION Jan04 Dec09 Nov10     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  DOLLY'S BANK Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Nov19 Oct27 (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
3  WANNA WINNA Jan05 Apr21 Mar26 Feb26 Jan06 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00    
4  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Jan06 Dec09 Aug02     (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
5  WAFLR Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Nov17 Nov04 (donk david)RIVERA R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLUORESCENT BAY Feb10 Jan04 Aug23 Jul07 Jun03 (davis g)RUIZ ELISEO 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  WATCH HILL Jan26 Jan05 Nov17 Oct15 Aug20 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 8% 11.20    
8  COMPROMISER Jan26 Jan01 Dec16 Dec07 Jul28 (grossman )CAMACHO JR 122 30.00    
SCR  QOROKWE Feb03         (sells rachel)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.