Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/4/2)-(5/6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(5/6/3/1)-(2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1)-(2/1/6)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(7/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(7/3/2)-(3/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWELTER Jan24 Dec30 Dec12 Dec04 Nov15 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
2  VAIL OF HONOR Jan24 Dec27 Dec16 Nov15 Oct30 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
3  DIXIE GIANT Feb01 Jan24 Dec29 Nov05 Oct27 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20 56% 0.80    
4  RUBINSTEIN Jan24 Jan10 Dec27 Dec06 Nov16 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
5  CAPTURE MI Oct04 Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 Jun03 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING JACK Jan22 Jan01 Nov07 Oct31 Oct15 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   02/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLYATTHESHOE Jan01 Nov21 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 12.00    
2  MAJOR LLOYD Jan24 Jan10 Dec06 Nov13 Dec14 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 7% 13.00    
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 Dec05 Nov08 (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 3.50    
4  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Dec27 Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 Oct02 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  EMPEROR'S GOLD Jan24 Jan01 Dec06 Nov05 Sep26 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  DUEL FUEL Feb05 Jan22 Jan10 Jan02 Dec27 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 3.00    
 
MVR-3   02/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY SUNRISE Dec27 Dec12 Nov19 Nov06 Oct24 (vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE EQUINEST Feb08 Jan15 Dec12 Nov15 Oct31 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
3  AWESOME ENOUGH Jan01 Dec21 Dec04 Nov09 Nov01 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 6% 15.00    
4  UNBRIDLED VICTOR Dec21 Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 Oct24 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
5  MAX FOSTER Jan25 Jan02 Dec10 Nov22 Oct30 (englehart jef)BRACHO A 126 1.40 40% 1.50    
6  SEEING RED Jan15 Jan01 Dec12 Dec04 Nov16 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  MAS ORO Jan11 Dec19 Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 1.80    
 
MVR-4   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS CLOWN Dec30 Dec13 Nov28 Nov02 Oct09 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
2  TRULY INCLUSIVE Jan24 Dec20 Nov13 Oct25 May06 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
3  LADY FORTUNE Jan24 Dec30 Nov22 Nov02 Sep18 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
4  ANGEL WINGS Jan24 Dec30 Dec21 Jul06 Jun15 (flores israel)DIAZ I 124 1.60    
5  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jan24 Dec30 Nov28 Nov02 Oct12 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
SCR  WEEKENDING Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Nov28 Aug29 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FIRE Dec19 Dec04 Nov02 Oct06 Sep13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  AUNT BEE Dec21 Nov16 Oct05 Sep22 Aug12 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
3  CUE THE BAND Jan04 Jul13 Jun24 May24 Apr24 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00    
4  POWER BANKER Nov14 Nov02 Jul17 May26 May11 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
5  OUT FOR FUN Jan24 Dec30 Dec21 Nov02 Oct03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIVA POWER Jan04 Dec19 Nov16 Oct28 Oct02 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
7  CROSSED UP Jan18 Dec19 Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-6   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET SEDUCTION Feb05 Dec27 Dec13 Dec05 Nov15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
2  LUCKY TUESDAY Jan25 Jan04 Sep28 Aug15 Aug02 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
3  JILL BABE Jan08 Nov26 Nov06 Jul16 Jun21 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  MALIBU MARLEE Jan04 Dec10 Nov15 Nov07 Oct10 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
5  PALACE MAGIC Dec12 Dec05 Nov18 Oct31 Sep26 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHELLY THE ROCKET Feb05 Jan08 Dec13 Nov29 Nov19 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
7  CAGUA Feb05 Dec27 Nov28 Oct11 Sep11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
 
MVR-7   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Feb03 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 Jun07 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
2  MAKES SENSE TO ME Nov16 Oct28 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 8% 11.60    
3  CURIOSITY KILLS Jan30 Jan08 Dec05 Nov07 Aug20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  FLAXEN Jan30 Jan03 Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 (zielinski ric)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
5  FIONA Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 May31 May06 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
6  CHARGINA Jan30 Jan08 Dec18 Nov01 Aug16 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
7  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Dec18 Nov28 Nov15 Oct11 Sep04 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
MVR-8   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTITUDE Aug17 Jul24 Jun24 May24 May03 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 1.60 18% 4.60    
2  CAUSE OF LOVE Jan25 Jan02 Dec13 Nov20 Nov02 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
3  RAINBOW SHIP Jan25 Jan08 Nov02 Oct02 Sep11 (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Dec19 Nov20 Nov02 Sep13 Aug22 (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
SCR  EARLY BLOOMER Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 Oct06 Sep22 (barker scott )TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
6  TWERK Dec19 Nov28 Nov02 Oct02 Sep18 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
7  JETTIN PEGASUS Jan04 Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 Nov01 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.