Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/2/5)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/3/4)-(4/6/8/5/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/6/8/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(4/6/8/5/1)-(4/8/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/6/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/5/1)-(4/6/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/5/1)-(4/6/8/5/1)-(4/6/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/8/5/1)-(4/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/5/1)-(4/8/2/5)-(6/4/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/5)-(6/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/5)-(6/4/5/2)-(3/9/1/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2)-(3/9/1/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2)-(3/9/1/8/6)-(6/10/12/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (3/9/1/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/8/6)-(3/9/1/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/8/6)-(3/9/1/8/6)-(3/9/1/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/1/8/6)-(6/10/12/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1/8/6)-(6/10/12/8/7)-(4/9/3/12/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (6/10/12/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/12/8/7)-(6/10/12/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/12/8/7)-(6/10/12/8/7)-(6/10/12/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/12/8/7)-(4/9/3/12/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/9/3/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/12/8)-(4/9/3/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/12/8)-(4/9/3/12/8)-(4/9/3/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE JOCK Oct23 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 6.00 5% 18.80    
2  ROAD TO STARDOM Oct07 Aug05 Jul08 May21   (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.00 53% 0.90    
3  KITTEN'S CLOWN Nov01 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug17 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00    
4  WORLDS ON HIGH Oct19 Sep27 Aug28 Aug15 Jul24 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00 19% 4.30    
5  COLLECT REDEMPTION Oct25 Oct04 Aug23 Mar04 Feb10 (sepulveda carl)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
6  SARATOGA BANKER Oct18 Sep17 Feb20 Jan15 Dec17 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50    
7  ALL ABOUT LUCKY Aug26 Jul12 Jun03 Apr15 Mar17 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
 
TAM-2   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALITY Sep23 Aug24 Jun18 May28 Dec21 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  DEFENDER GAL Oct05 Sep13 Jan06 Dec04 Nov05 (rini anthony)SPIETH S 118 2.50 14% 5.90    
3  STURDY GIRL Aug13 Jul15 Jun04 May20 Apr20 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50    
4  MARVELOUS LADY Mar05 Feb03 Dec08 Oct01 Aug05 (rondon-mora)ORTIZ A 118 6.00    
5  SHUT IT CALI Sep06 Aug18 May31 May03 Apr14 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.50 5% 17.50    
6  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Oct21 Aug04 Jun10 Apr08   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
7  BURN THE BREEZE Oct20 Sep24 Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
SCR  MARTINI'S AMICA Aug26 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 (amado )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00    
 
TAM-3   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUHL STAR Nov03 Sep22 Apr21 Apr08 Mar19 (agostini arthu)LINDSAY CHAD 120 12.00    
SCR  AZTEC LEGEND Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 111 15.00    
3  HIGH BROW Nov01 Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 (cahill f)BUSH V 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
4  HENRY'S WORLD Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Aug10 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00 8% 11.20    
5  RUNAWAY TOM Aug19 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May26 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
6  PYRON Oct18 Sep10 Aug06 Jun23 May25 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  INSTIGATED Nov03 Oct21 Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00    
SCR  RAGTIME BLUES Aug19 Aug05 Jul02 May13 Apr20 (hernandez sand)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
 
TAM-4   11/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Sep16 Mar11 Feb11 Jan11 Dec22 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Oct04 Aug22 Jul22 Jun18 Apr30 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
3  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul01 Apr27 (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 121 15.00    
4  DREAMSTER Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 Apr30 Mar26 (lightner)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  TOOLCAT Oct24 Oct05 Sep18 Aug23 Jul19 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 9% 10.20    
6  MORGS WORLD Oct21 Sep02 Aug05 Jul12 Jun18 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.50 25% 2.90    
7  WORLD TRAVELER Sep04 Aug16 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (sacco gregory )CASTANON L 121 10.00    
8  MOLLY'S ANGEL Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
9  LALOBA FEROZ Oct20 Aug19 Jun16 May05 Apr23 (cascallares )MORELOS E 121 15.00    
10  ANY PORT Sep22 Sep03 Apr02 Mar03 Jan04 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 10.00    
SCR  GYPSY REWARD Nov04 Sep03 Aug12 Jul20 Jun28 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00    
 
TAM-5   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND REPROACH Nov12 Oct15 Sep08 Aug24 Jul26 (seale christophe)FERRER C 119 3.00    
2  INDIO MARA         (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 119 10.00 12% 7.50    
3  MR. RUIZ Sep09 Aug25       (parra hernan)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 8.00    
4  D BUCKAROO         (jones dou)HERRERA R 119 12.00 24% 3.20    
5  JOSH'S DRAMA Sep09 Aug10 Jul20     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
6  JIGGERY POKERY Nov03 Oct13 Aug24 Jul26   (seale)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00    
7  IRON STREETS Aug10 Aug03       (mcgoey mon)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
8  CATALINA KID Nov09 Oct27 Sep14 Aug25 Aug04 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
TAM-6   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN LEA RUN Oct13 Sep04 Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00    
2  COMMANDER KEITH Oct09 Oct01 Sep09 Aug10 Jul01 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DREAM ASTRAY Oct09 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 Sep30 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
4  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 Aug10 Jun30 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00 7% 13.50    
5  CHIQUIRIN Aug26 Aug06 Jun02 May05 Mar18 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00 5% 18.30    
6  OFFSHORE AFFAIR Nov04 Oct07 Aug30 Aug10 Jul10 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 1.60 58% 0.70    
7  ERLAN Nov08 Oct31 Oct15 Sep01 Aug19 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 121 4.50    
8  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Jun30 Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 Feb01 (drake robert)MBATHA LUCKY 111 12.00    
 
TAM-7   11/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE JUDGE AND JURY Nov05 Sep06 Aug04 Jul06 Nov14 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
2  CROCODILEHUNTER Oct08 Sep02 Aug17 Jul15 Jun18 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
3  WORA Aug05 Jul02 Jun02 Nov11 Oct09 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 45% 1.20    
4  EXPROMPT (FR) Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 (campbell joel)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00    
5  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Nov09 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 30.00    
6  OUTLAW COUNTRY Oct13 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul09 (breen j)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  FREEDOM ROAD Oct08 Aug05 Jul16 Jun21 May21 (sacco gregory )CASTANON L 118 15.00    
8  STORM THE COURT Oct04 Sep14 Aug19 Oct02 Aug21 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 6% 16.50    
9  BOHEMIAN BOY Jun11 May28 May07 Jan01 Dec03 (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
10  INTER MIAMI Aug16 Jul29 Jun28 Jun07 May22 (rhone bernell)FERRER C 120 20.00    
SCR  LORD BERRIER Oct21 Oct04 Sep06 Aug12 Jul06 (de ka)MARIN A 122 10.00    
SCR  CRUZIN MAN Sep10 Aug10 Jun16 May11 Apr02 (crich)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00    
SCR  TAP EM Oct13 Sep15 Aug02 Jun28 Jun14 (sacco d)FERRER C 120 12.00    
SCR  MADDY'S DREAM Apr08 Jun17       (vazque)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 
TAM-8   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY LANCER Nov01 Oct18 Oct06 Aug24 Aug05 (sepulveda carl)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
2  R D BLESSING Jul01 Apr22 Apr15 Jan27 Jan01 (drake robert)MBATHA LUCKY 110 30.00    
3  KILLARGUE'S GIRL Oct06 Sep09 Jul01 Jun04 May20 (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 120 20.00    
4  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Oct26 Sep27 Jul27 Jun24 May27 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
5  SHADY BABY Oct04 Aug30 Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 (mendieta aleja)MARIN SAMUEL 120 30.00    
6  SAWEETIE GIRL Aug19 Jun30 Apr02 Feb24 Jan29 (d'angelo jos)MORELOS E 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
7  MIGHTY GIN GIN Sep28 Aug31 Aug03 Apr23 Mar16 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  COUNTRYGIRL PRIDE Oct19 Sep13       (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
9  WIN OR CELLAR Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Aug31 Apr30 (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 15.00    
10  WATER FIGHT Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 May26 May03 (mendieta ale)BATISTA A 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
11  LIL ANNIE ROSE Oct08 Aug06 Jul01 Jun04 Mar25 (ubide max)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
12  BELLA ROMANCE Jul01 May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar19 (mcgoey moni)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 4.00 17% 4.70    
13  ARMONIA Jul08 Jun10 May21 Apr23 Mar23 (suarez wlaima)SOSA LAUREANO 111 4.00    
SCR  NUCCI Jul14 Jun17 Apr20 Jan20 Jan12 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 5.00    
 
TAM-9   11/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORONOVA Oct28 Sep27 Sep16 Aug16 Aug05 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
2  HELLO SUCKER Jul01 Jun03 May12 Apr28 Apr15 (mcgoey moni)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 30.00    
3  DON'T LET ME DOWN Jul26 Jun24 May21 Apr21 Mar15 (rodriguez da)ARROYO S 118 5.00 8% 11.90    
4  BALLINDINE Oct06 Sep09 Aug12 Jun03 Apr16 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
5  LORD OF THE NILE Oct06 Jul01 May06 Apr19 Apr05 (dobber arnoud )CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00    
6  LAPINSKI UNION Oct13 Aug10 Mar02     (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
7  FROSTY WARRIOR Aug26 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 Apr28 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 15.00    
8  AWESOME HONOR Aug13 Jul01 May06 Apr23 Apr14 (corde)DOMINGUEZ G 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  TRULY MISCHIEF Oct11 Sep15 Aug26 Jul06 Jun21 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
10  PRALINE'S CAT Nov04 Oct20 Sep16 Sep09 Aug16 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 111 30.00    
11  CHICO CHARLIE Aug18 Jul23 Jun11 Mar15   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
12  SIR LUMPALOT Oct28 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THE TUNE Jun30 Apr29 Apr05 Mar04 Feb11 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 10.00    
SCR  THIRD MOON Oct08 Sep13 Jun11 May19 Apr08 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.