Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/8/9/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-2   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-3   Win (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (9/1/2/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (1/9/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (1/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B D SAINTS Jul14         (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
GET SPOOLED         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  COLD PLUNGE         (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
DILLON         (schettino )DAVIS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
DANCING MISCHIEF Jun16         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SPECIALAGENTJONSON Jul07         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCOOP THE POT         (hennig mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
FROZEN FOUR         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 24% 3.10    
UNAUDITED Jun23         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Jul16 Jun23       (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENEGAL Jul27         (contessa c)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
 
SAR-2   08/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEEKY TICO Jul03 Jun04 May13 Apr07 Mar18 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00    
SCR  NORGAY Jul16 Jun18 May21 May13 Apr20 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 125 10.00    
BERT BERT BERT Jul03 Jun01 May11 Apr07 Jan26 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
SCR  BLU GROTTO Jul03 May13 Feb17 Jan07 Dec18 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 9% 10.30    
INVISIBLE WAR Jul14 Jun17 May13 Apr19 Mar26 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50 60% 0.70    
CUMBERLAND BLUES Jul21 Jul03 Jun22 Jun04 May13 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50    
UNION LIGHTS Jul03 Jun04 May06 Apr08 Feb26 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 3.00 7% 14.00    
CENTRAL PRIDE Jun25 Jun04 May05 Apr22 Apr01 (persaud randi)TORRES A 118 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINTHOODFORBRIAN Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 Dec16 Nov25 (klesaris steve)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00    
1A  INEVTABL CONECTION Jul14 Jun11 Mar17 Jan21 Dec21 (klesaris steve)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
JESTER'S SONG Jun24 May12 May05 Mar10 Dec17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
BIG VENEZUELA Jul01 May28 May14 Apr16 Mar26 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LORD GATLING Jul01 May13 Apr16 Mar26 Feb02 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Jul07 May19 Apr27 Mar31 Jan14 (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
IMPLEMENTATION Apr15 Oct27 Oct08 Aug23 Jul09 (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
CAMM' DUKE Jun09 Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan21 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jun16 Apr30 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 36% 1.80    
SCR  VALLARAND Jul02 Jun22 Jun02 May18 Apr13 (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00    
THISLADYIS THE LAW Jun02 Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 Aug10 (reynolds patr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 7% 12.80    
GREATEST LOVE Jul20 Jun22 Apr20 Mar17 Feb26 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00    
RUN DEVIL Jun02 May11 Mar26 Mar18 Feb19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
TRADE SECRET Jun22 May18 Apr20 Mar24 Feb19 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
R TENDERONI Jun28 Jun13 May09 Apr04 Mar13 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
ITS COLD IN DEHERE Jun02 Mar31 Mar24 Feb17 Feb10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-5   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMBUKTU Jul01 May11 Apr13 Feb26 Jan26 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50 30% 2.40    
LET'S GO BIG BLUE Jun10 Nov26 Oct29 Sep17 Aug19 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  BARREL OF QUESTS Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr08 Sep04 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
THETHRILLOFVICTORY Jun18 Jun03 May06 Oct27 Sep16 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
GEM MINT TEN Jun18 May14 Apr07 Feb26 Jan26 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
MR. KRINGLE Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 Jan18 (terranova john)TORRES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME IT ON DADDY Jul02 Jun09 Oct30 Sep29 Sep05 (albertrani t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
NO REGARD Jul09 Jun04 May19 Apr22 Nov27 (hennig mar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
ONE HEADLIGHT Jun01 May06 Apr14     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  EDDIE THE GREAT Jul04 Jun02 Dec11 Oct30 Oct20 (barker edw)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr15 Nov05 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR Jul02 Jul15 May30     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00    
SCR  ORTUS Jul04 Jun09 May06 Mar17   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00    
SCR  CUT THE CORD Jul13 May31 Mar11 Jul16 Jun27 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00    
SCR  MODERN MIDAS Jul01 May14 Apr16 Mar19 Feb12 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jul03 Jun03 May05 Mar10 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
SAR-6   08/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOZY COLBY Jul19 Jun23       (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
1A  MO TWILIGHT Jul16         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50    
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Jun16 May29 Apr12     (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 15.00    
SCR  HAPPY BAYTOWN Apr12         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
GALA BRAND         (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
DESTINY STAR         (hamm timothy)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  STUCK ON YOU May12         (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  LITTLE MINSKY         (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 15.00    
SHORESY Jul13         (schoenthal phil)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 18.30    
HIDDEN CLASS         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LESLIE'S LOOT May04         (chapman james )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
10  TEMPTING LADY         (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
11  GOATS ON A TREE Jul07         (d'angelo jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
SCR  LADY PROSPECT         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  ALTHENA         (paragallo jennifer)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OK HONEY Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 May29 May26 (chicha)HUAYAS (JASON) 122 10.00 7% 14.10    
1A  HAPPY SOPHIA Jul07 Jun02 Mar19 Feb05 Jan08 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 119 10.00    
RIBOT'S VALENTINE Jun01 Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Oct01 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
DIVA BANKER Jul04 May07 Apr13 Mar19 Mar03 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Jul09 Jun10 May14 Apr16 Mar17 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  SILVER FIST Jul07 May29 Apr23 Oct01 Sep23 (lawrence james)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
SECURITY CODE Jul07 May29 Apr16 Mar24 Feb17 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
TEMPERMENTAL Jun16 May29 Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 (englehart chris)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jul02 Jun01 May11 Apr13 Mar31 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNTOWN May13 Apr22 Mar26 Feb25 Jan29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00    
PIPELINE Nov05 Aug27 Jul23 Apr22   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 0.60 42% 1.40    
MYSTIC NIGHT Jun02 May13 Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 10% 9.10    
GALT May28 Apr29 Mar12 Jun03 Mar26 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
BOLD ENDEAVOR Mar31 Mar03 Jan15 Dec31 Oct16 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
RUGGS Jun27 May19 Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/03/2023 7920ft TURF RC13 FIRM Glens Falls Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR LIKE GODDESS Jun09 Apr28 Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.60 61% 0.60    
VIRGINIA JOY (GER) Jun09 May05 Mar04 Nov05 Sep03 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 7% 14.40    
AMAZING GRACE (GER) Jun09 May05 Apr01     (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
MCKULICK (GB) Jun09 May05 Oct15 Sep17 Aug07 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
SOPRAN BASILEA (IRE) Jul01 May20       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 6% 16.70    
ELEGANT TASTE Jul21 Jun30 Jun14 May18 Mar31 (smith lawr)DAVIS A 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
VERGARA Jun17 May20 Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
 
SAR-10   08/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKINGONACHANCE Jun11         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
WHISKEY AND WINE Jul14 Feb25 Nov12     (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ACADEMY CHOICE Jun18 May13 Apr23     (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
SPOOFY Jun09         (baker char)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
THE GOLDEN ONE Jul21 Jul01 Jun11 May14 Apr23 (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
SINALOA Jul21 Jul08       (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  WAR PRINCE Jun03 May13 Apr23 Sep16   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
P MONEY Jan27 Dec30       (klesaris rober)TORRES A 114 12.00    
RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Jun11 Apr07 Dec15 Nov18 Sep25 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 11% 7.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.