Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (4/1/3/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2/10)-(4/1/3/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2/10)-(4/1/3/2/10)-(4/1/3/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2/10)-(3/11/13) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/2/10)-(3/11/13)-(7/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-2   WIN (3/11/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/13)-(3/11/9/13) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/11/13)-(3/11/9/13)-(3/11/9/13) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/11/13)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/11/13)-(7/2/4/3)-(6/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3/8)-(7/2/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/4/3)-(6/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/3)-(6/8/2/4)-(11/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-4   WIN (6/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/4)-(11/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/4)-(11/6)-(9/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-5   WIN (11/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/6)-(11/6/14) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (11/6)-(11/6/14)-(11/6/14) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (11/6)-(9/10/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/6)-(9/10/6)-(6/13/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TP-6   WIN (9/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/6)-(9/10/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/6)-(9/10/6/1/7)-(9/10/6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/10/6)-(6/13/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/10/6)-(6/13/7)-(10/9/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-7   WIN (6/13/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/13/7)-(6/13/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/13/7)-(6/13/7)-(6/13/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/13/7)-(10/9/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (10/9/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/3/5)-(10/9/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/3/5)-(10/9/3/5/1)-(10/9/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HER TIME IS NOW         (vanden britt)FELIX E 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  INCREDIBLE MARINI         (bogart r)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 15.00 11% 8.40    
3  QUEEN OF CHILL Dec29 Nov11 Sep30     (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  PINKY TUSCADERO Dec07         (hill f)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  MIDNIGHT XO Dec11 Nov22 Sep26 Sep14 Aug26 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
6  ONTOTHENEXT Dec29 Dec11 Sep23     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00    
7  MISS GOODBAR         (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
8  PRINCESS TONI Dec11 Dec02 Nov12 Nov02 Sep23 (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00    
9  THATSHOWSHEROLLS Nov22 Oct21 Oct13 Sep27 Sep14 (dyer jo)DE CRUZ 120 4.00    
10  ALI BALI B         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 10.00 10% 9.50    
 
TP-2   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRETCH RUNNER Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Jul13 (shetron phyllis)FELIX E 123 20.00    
2  LOVE TWENTY SIX Nov14 Oct02 Sep14 Aug17 Jul22 (godsey ma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
3  FOOCH Sep30         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116 2.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Dec28 Nov30 Oct21 Sep30 Sep07 (fulmer alliso)BECKMAN ALICE 116 20.00    
5  AMANI'S KITTEN Sep23 Sep09 Aug10 Jan23   (castillo rich)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00    
SCR  CALL WEST Nov30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Aug11 (nocero carmino)MOJICA JR 123 12.00    
7  FUTILE Nov02 Oct08 Sep23 Aug31 Aug18 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
8  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Nov21 Nov02 Oct13 Sep26 Sep08 (paquett)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
9  REMEMBER THE MAINE Nov26 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 Sep07 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 12.00 ★    
10  ESTILO VARONIL Oct11 Sep14 Aug05 Jul06 Jun11 (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 15.00    
11  DUEL FUEL Nov30 Oct24 Oct04 Aug21 May18 (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  AGGRESSIVITY Dec30 Nov13 Oct15 Sep23 Aug26 (garcia gena)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50 ★    
13  D'ARCHER Dec09 Nov18 Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 (delong b)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHANGE DIRECTION Dec21 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun14 (watkins m)OUZTS W 123 10.00    
 
TP-3   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF THE CUFF Nov11 Feb16       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
2  BOLD LOOKER Dec17 Nov03 Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  UNDER THE GUN Nov09         (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 6% 16.50    
4  UNCLE BERLEY Sep15 Aug23 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  VAIL OF HONOR Jan15         (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 122 20.00    
6  BOCO Dec28 Oct29 Sep18 Aug07   (hamilton tr)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00    
7  FORTITUDE SOUTH Dec08         (med)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
8  ELECTROMAGNETIC Nov03 Sep18       (castillo rich)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 ★    
9  AQUACAT Dec17 Sep25 Aug05 Jun24 Apr28 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
10  HE'S A ANGEL Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 (maci)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 20.00    
 
TP-4   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELOCIMO Dec30 Nov27 Jul12     (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
2  GANSITO         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  FLECHA VELOZ         (kenneally e)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
4  UTOPIAN TREASURE Dec22 Nov11       (schultz lindsa)SANJUR SANTO 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
5  KILBAHA (IRE) Dec09 Oct05       (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 120 10.00    
6  GOT THE BOB         (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 18% 4.50    
7  MYTHOMANIA Dec11 Oct05       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
8  STAN THE CAMERAMAN Nov11 Aug06       (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 18% 4.50    
9  VAMONOS Dec22 Dec02 Sep26 Sep07 Aug18 (brafford mich)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
10  LOOKA LOOKA Dec04 Jul16       (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 8.00    
11  TALKSCHEAP Dec22 Nov25 Nov09 Oct03 Sep18 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
 
TP-5   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRING LILACS         (devaux cheri)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LILACS AND LILIES by BODEMEISTER)
2  BOLTS BABE Nov13 Oct09 Oct02 Aug07   (won)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ROCKPORT BABE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  HAPPY HELEN Dec07         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
4  MISCHIEVOUS DOLL Dec07 Nov02       (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of AMERICAN DOLL by TIZNOW)
5  CALL ME TONI Dec11         (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
6  HARMONICA Nov26 Oct12       (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SINGING KITTY by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
7  KISS IT GOODBYE Dec11         (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LOOKOUT LADY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO Dec01 Nov02 Sep14     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
9  GIVING SPIRIT Dec07 Oct05 Sep07 Aug03   (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HALLIE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  TIME TO RACE Dec14 Sep23       (nihei miche)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TIME FOR HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
11  MISS PEABODY Dec03 Nov12 Oct16 Sep01   (newton tro)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of ROCKET GIRL by UNCLE MO)
SCR  MALLY'S MONSOON Nov23 Jul22       (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 9% 10.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of COWGIRL MALLY by GONE WEST)
SCR  IGUAZU FALLS Dec15 Nov30 Nov02     (huffman pat)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SECRET GARDEN (IRE) by DANEHILL)
14  CHASING AFTER YOU Dec21         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RUNNINWITHTHEWIND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
TP-6   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROOME (IRE) Dec07 Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  TRADEOFF Nov19 Nov03 Sep27 Sep09 Aug26 (cline ro)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
3  PRESTONSBIRD Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug20 (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
4  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Dec29 Nov13 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 15.00    
5  KOBE BEACH Dec28 Oct04 Sep16 Sep01 Jul29 (rodriqu)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
6  THISPOINTINTIME Dec19 Dec02 Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 14% 6.00    
7  FOMO Dec29 Dec07 Oct21 Sep18 Aug25 (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 ★    
8  WHERE'S LUCKY Jun25 May27 May06 Apr30 Apr02 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
9  SENSE SHINES Sep03         (ward a)SANJUR SANTO 120 1.00 41% 1.50    
10  LAND REMEMBERED Dec29 Dec07 Sep12 Aug22 Jul29 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
TP-7   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MY MUNNY Dec21 Nov30 Nov17 Nov02 Oct25 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
2  SKYLERVILLE Sep30 Sep10       (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
3  ROC'S PRINCESS Dec14 Nov03 Oct02 Sep18 Aug14 (gowan willia)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
SCR  DE JORIA Dec10 Oct29 Sep22     (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SILVER SEA Dec03 Oct29 Sep10 Jul09 May25 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
6  HER WORLD (IRE) May28 Apr15       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.00 34% 1.90    
7  ONLY KIDDING Dec14 Oct19 May15 Apr22 Mar06 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
8  DAME JOVIALE Dec21 Nov27 Nov03 Oct15 Sep18 (sims matt)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
9  PISTOLPACKINPOLLY Nov20 Jun11       (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
SCR  BELPERRON Dec08 Nov19 Oct23 Aug07 Jul16 (manley steve)ORM CORY 120 15.00    
11  BEL ARIA Dec16 Oct24 Sep08 Jul30 Jul23 (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 116 20.00    
12  SEIZE THE MARQUET Dec15 Oct28       (oliver )DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
13  LAUGH AND PLAY Dec21 Dec01 Oct19 Sep08 Aug05 (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE Dec21 Dec07 Oct27 Sep01 Jul09 (king barr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
TP-8   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY NIGHTLY Dec22 Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 Jul15 (hamilton )BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Dec01 Sep14 Aug22 Jul22 Jun17 (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
3  MARKITOFF Jan01 Dec16 Dec03 Sep28 Aug19 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  SNAKE BITE Dec16 Dec07 Jul20 Jun30 Mar19 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
5  AWESOME D J Dec29 Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 Jul08 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUBDUED Nov30 Nov16 Oct24 Oct12 Sep28 (gerteis)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
7  HONKY TONK HERO Dec22 Nov28 Oct27 Sep02 Aug24 (haehn r)FELIX E 120 20.00    
8  CAPPY HOUR Dec22 Sep07 Aug14 Aug03 Jun23 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
9  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) Dec22 Dec08 Nov30 Oct22 Aug23 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
10  JOKER ON JACK Dec03 Oct07 Aug08     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
11  EL CHEAPO Dec29 Jul15 Jun01 May24 May10 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
12  FULCO Nov28 Oct24 Sep28 Sep08 Aug03 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
13  REUX (GB) Dec16 Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 Jul10 (ortiz al)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00    
SCR  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Dec29 Dec16 Nov22 Nov08 Oct19 (howard d)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.