Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (9/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/3)-(9/6/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/3)-(9/6/8/3/2)-(9/6/8/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/8/3)-(2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/3)-(2/9)-(6/4/5/1/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-2   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9/4/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/9)-(2/9/4/1/6)-(2/9/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9)-(6/4/5/1/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/9)-(6/4/5/1/3)-(12/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/4/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1/3)-(6/4/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1/3)-(6/4/5/1/3)-(6/4/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/5/1/3)-(12/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/1/3)-(12/1)-(6/1/4/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-4   WIN (12/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (12/1)-(12/1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/1)-(12/1/4/3)-(12/1/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (12/1)-(6/1/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (12/1)-(6/1/4/5)-(2/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-5   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/5)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/5)-(2/3)-(11/8/2/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6/9)-(2/3/6/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(11/8/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(11/8/2/7)-(9/6/2/10/11) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-7   WIN (11/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/8/2/7)-(11/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/8/2/7)-(11/8/2/7)-(11/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/8/2/7)-(9/6/2/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (9/6/2/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/10/11)-(9/6/2/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/10/11)-(9/6/2/10/11)-(9/6/2/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAD ACTOR Dec22 Nov13 Nov02 Oct12 Jul24 (mejia del)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00    
2  TIGERITO Dec07 Sep07 Aug19 Jul19 May06 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 8.00 ★    
3  OVER CALENDARED Dec22 Nov17 Sep09 Aug25 Jul16 (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
4  BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK Dec22 Sep21 Aug19 Aug02 Jun22 (short t)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
5  SHERLOCKED Dec22 Dec08 May19 May06   (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 122 20.00    
6  NORDIC LIGHT Dec09 Oct19 Aug30 Aug04 Jul01 (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  MIGHTY RIOT Oct26 Oct03       (warpool sha)CHIRINOS ROIMES 122 30.00    
8  COMMAND CENTRAL Oct01 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Mar12 (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
9  B G LEE Dec07 Nov13 Oct12 Aug22 Jul27 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
TP-2   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH LIKE ICE Dec17 Nov20 Nov10 Oct13 Sep05 (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 ★    
2  HAPPYSECRET Dec07 Nov10 Oct12 Sep24   (wohlers lau)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
3  KILMOREY Dec03         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 10.00    
4  CAPTIVE STAR Dec07 Sep18       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 ★    
5  ONE STORMY LADY Oct04 Aug28 Apr29 Apr10   (hancock)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
6  FAST GAL Jul17         (romans da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
7  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Dec11 Nov17 Nov10 Oct31 Oct05 (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 120 50.00    
8  TWELVE SHARP Nov10 Oct01       (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
9  CONNELMAURA Dec07 Oct26 Sep22     (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 10% 9.40    
 
TP-3   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALLEY VISTA Dec02 Nov18 Oct09 Sep25 Aug28 (campbell )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
2  KICK IT CHARLIE Dec07 Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
3  RAULITO Dec07 Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 120 30.00 7% 13.40    
4  INHERENT POWERS Dec22 Oct24 Sep08 Aug12 Jul26 (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
5  CHIEF HOWCOME Dec07 Nov09 Sep30 Aug31 Aug16 (mcpeek g)OUZTS W 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
6  DUDLEY Nov17 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Sep27 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  SHOTGUN JOE Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Sep27 Aug30 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00    
8  BENNY BOO BOO Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 (godsey marshall)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
9  BARSTOW Dec07 Nov16 Nov03 Sep25 Sep15 (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00    
10  DAY IN THE COUNTRY Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 Jul30 Jun10 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 5.00    
11  PULL ME BACK Sep08 Jul28 Jul08 Mar31 Mar02 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
 
TP-4   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMAKAN BOURBON Nov30 Nov18 Oct08 Sep16 Aug24 (minnock wayn)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  MRS. NUSHI Nov27 Nov18 Oct20 Oct08 Sep16 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
3  MY TOMMY LEE Dec09 Nov30 Nov03 Oct19 Sep23 (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 ★    
4  MISS NUCKOLS Nov28 Oct10 Aug23 Aug01 Jul16 (godsey c)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 ★    
SCR  COOL CAROL Nov10 Sep23 Aug24 Jul29 Jun29 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
6  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Nov18 Feb12 Jan09     (anderso)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
7  PROTOMAGIC Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Jul11 Jun30 (wisner tracey )SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
8  LUCKY US Dec09 Nov30 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 120 15.00    
SCR  GREEN BANANAS Dec09 Nov11 Oct23 Sep30 Sep16 (manley steve)ORM CORY 120 12.00    
10  U SO MONEY BABY Sep17 Sep01 Aug14 Jul31 Jun30 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
11  YELLOW CREEK ROAD Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Oct13 Sep24 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00    
12  ARLYNE'S CROWN Nov10 Oct21 Sep05 Aug20 Aug04 (wong jonathan)ELLIOTT JANE 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SEA MONSTER Oct08 Sep05 Aug22 Jul20   (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  BIA BOLT RUNNER Dec21 Dec03 Nov08 Oct24 Oct11 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
TP-5   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONEGAL ARROW         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of THIS CAT CAN DANCE by VINDICATION)
2  SCAT TU TAP Nov18 Oct23 Oct02 Aug27   (ortiz al)MCENTEE GRACE 120 6.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
3  MONBA QUAKE Dec09 Oct09 Sep24     (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 50.00    
  (by MONBA out of STRAWBERRY QUAKE by RICHTER SCALE)
4  ACCIDENTAL HERO Nov09 Oct19 Sep13 Aug09   (asmussen ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 6% 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of PARDONMECOMINGTHRU by CHATAIN)
5  NOTED TALENT         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
6  MIRANDA RIGHTS Dec02 Oct15 Sep03 Jul16   (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of IN JAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ACCIDENT Dec16 Nov26 Nov16 Oct30 Oct09 (short t)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
8  RAVEN'S NEST Dec09         (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MY KITTY by CATIENUS)
9  CONNECT ME Dec02 Nov09 Oct22 Sep22 Jul30 (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of LET'SLEAVEITATTHAT by BODEMEISTER)
10  RISKY CHOICE Nov16 Aug09 Jul15     (spicer jame)PETERSON FERRIN 120 50.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of RISK CONTROL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  DEVILS RED Oct21 Sep29       (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
12  YES POINT         (mckeever an)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of CANIGETAYESMA'AM by SALUTE THE SARGE)
SCR  RIVER IN EGYPT         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  BOUDIN Nov17 Oct28 Sep30     (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 ★    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ALGOWILD by ALGORITHMS)
 
TP-6   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGERITY Dec08 Nov25 Oct21 Oct02 Aug20 (foster eric)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
2  BALI BELLE Dec07 Oct17 Oct07 May27 Apr24 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  MAYBE LATER Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 Sep01 Aug24 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  KICK OUT THE JAMS Dec08 Oct13 Sep29 Sep20 Sep09 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL SHIP Dec07 Oct23 Oct05 Sep22 Aug30 (danner d)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 ★    
6  TAP DANCING LADY Dec22 Dec11 Nov24 Oct28 Sep15 (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 120 5.00 ★    
7  HEAVENLY HELLOS Dec11 Oct28 Sep05 Jul22 May18 (hernand)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
8  COMMANDERS PALACE Dec01 Sep21 Jun04 May15 Apr23 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
9  CHEROKEE SONG Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 Nov12 Oct13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00 ★    
 
TP-7   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Dec21 Nov11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug09 (king l)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISS MATCHMAKER Dec02 Oct24 Sep08 Jul21   (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
3  MONOCACY Dec16 Nov25 Nov18 Nov03 Oct20 (king barr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  IT'S GREEK TO ME Dec04 Nov18 Jun11 May22 Apr17 (manley steve)ORM CORY 120 30.00    
5  ECLIPSED Dec16 Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 Sep15 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
6  CHARLEE O Dec14 Oct03 Aug27 Jun04 May07 (waltz brian)FELIX E 120 4.50    
7  SEEKING SECA Nov25 Oct01 Sep06 Aug06 Jul07 (hernand)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUICK CONVERSATION Dec16 Oct24 Oct03 Mar18 Feb25 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
9  WICKED WONDER Nov25 Oct29 Jul16 Mar16 Feb06 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.50    
10  FREDERICIA Oct30 Aug28 Jul23 Jun25 Jun02 (klopp randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
11  ABITIBI Dec21 Dec03 Oct28 Sep23 Jan08 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
TP-8   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMIZME Dec14 Oct24 Sep30     (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of SOMETHING FIERCE by VALIANT NATURE)
2  SILENT REVENGE         (dyer john)FELIX E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SILENCER by QUALITY ROAD)
3  FORTY WINKS Nov30         (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of EVROBI by TABASCO CAT)
4  THREE SPORT COATS Nov20 Jul31       (hancock)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of ONE MINUTE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  MISS J D Dec11 Nov23       (hamilton sarah)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PAQUITA COQUETA (CHI) by SCAT DADDY)
6  CHICA CHULA Dec14 Dec03 Oct29 Oct05 Sep20 (calvo kelsie)BECKMAN ALICE 113 4.50 6% 16.20    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  INSIDE GIRL Nov12         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CIOMARA by BROKEN VOW)
8  BOBBIE SOX         (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
  (by COACH BOB out of PAHIATUA by TRIBAL RULE)
9  MISS LIZZY Dec07         (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CARADINI by BERNARDINI)
10  WILL VIRGINIA DARE         (decker anna)HALDAR J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of WILL GRACIE SHINE by WILL HE SHINE)
11  CHICA DE ORO         (tomlinson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HOUR QUEEN by GILDED TIME)
SCR  MIDNIGHT MERCY         (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of DIVINE MERCY by BERNARDINI)
13  MS. THE LAW Dec17 Oct21       (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MY MY MY MARIA by CUVEE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.